Skip to main content
Log in

Tracking embodied carbon flows in the Belt and Road regions

Journal of Geographical Sciences Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

In the past few decades, economic globalization has driven rapid growth of cross-border trade and a new international division of labor, leading to increasing inter- country embodied carbon flows. Multi-region input-output (MRIO) analysis is used to identify embodied carbon flows between major world regions, including seven regions along the Belt and Road (BR), and the spatial distribution of production- and consumption-based carbon intensities. The results show that current embodied carbon flows are virtually all from BR regions to developed countries, with more than 95% of world net embodied carbon exports coming from BR regions. Consumption in the United States and European Union countries induce about 30% of the carbon emissions in most BR regions, indicating that the former bear a high proportion of consumers’ responsibility for the carbon emitted in the latter. For this reason, measuring environmental responsibilities from consumption rather than a production- based perspective is more equitable, while developing countries should be given a louder voice in the construction through dialogue and cooperation, in part in the context of the Belt and Road Initiative, of an inclusive global climate governance system.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price includes VAT (France)

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Institutional subscriptions

References

  • Ahmad N, Wyckoff A, 2003. Carbon dioxide emissions embodied in international trade of goods. OECD Science Technology & Industry Working Papers, 25(4): 1–22.

    Google Scholar 

  • Antweiler W, Copeland B R, Taylor M S, 1998. Is free trade good for the environment? Nber Working Papers, 91(4): 877–908.

    Google Scholar 

  • Chen G Q, Han M Y, 2015. Global supply chain of arable land use: Production-based and consumption-based trade imbalance. Land Use Policy, 49: 118–130.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Chichilnisky G, 1994. North-South trade and the global environment. American Economic Review, 84(4): 851–874.

    Google Scholar 

  • Copeland B R, Taylor M S, 1994. North-South trade and the environment. Quarterly Journal of Economics, 109(3): 755–787.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Copeland B R, Taylor M S, 2004. Trade, growth, and the environment. Journal of Economic Literature, 42(1): 7–71.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Davis S J, Caldeira K, 2010. Consumption-based accounting of CO2 emissions. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107(12): 5687–5692.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dunford M, Liu W D, 2016. Uneven and combined development. Regional Studies, 51(1): 69–85.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grossman G M, Krueger A B, 1991. Environmental impacts of a North American Free Trade Agreement. Social Science Electronic Publishing, 8(2): 223–250.

    Google Scholar 

  • Han M Y, Chen G Q, 2018. Global arable land transfers embodied in Mainland China’s foreign trade. Land Use Policy, 70: 521–534.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Han M Y, Chen G Q, Li Y L, 2018. Global water transfers embodied in international trade: Tracking imbalanced and inefficient flows. Journal of Cleaner Production, 184: 50–64.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Han M Y, Dunford M, Chen G Q et al., 2017. Global water transfers embodied in Mainland China’s foreign trade: Production- and consumption-based perspectives. Journal of Cleaner Production, 161: 188–199.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hao Q, Zuo Y, Li L et al., 2017. The distribution of petroleum resources and characteristics of main petroliferous basins along the Silk Road Economic Belt and the 21st-Century Maritime Silk Road. Acta Geologica Sinica, 91(4): 1457–1486.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hudson R, 2016. Rising powers and the drivers of uneven global development. Area Development and Policy, 1(3): 279–294.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kowalski P, Shepherd B, 2006. South-South trade in goods. OECD Trade Policy Papers, 4.

    Google Scholar 

  • Lenzen M, Moran D, Kanemoto K et al., 2012a. International trade drives biodiversity threats in developing nations. Nature, 486: 109–112.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lenzen M, Kanemoto K, Moran D et al., 2012b. Mapping the structure of the world economy. Environmental Science & Technology, 46: 8374–8381.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lenzen M, Moran D, Kanemoto K et al., 2013. Building Eora: A global multi-regional input-output database at high country and sector resolution. Economic Systems Research, 25: 20–49.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lenzen M, Murray J, Sack F et al., 2007. Shared producer and consumer responsibility: Theory and practice. Ecological Economics, 61: 27–42.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Li F Y, Liu W D, Tang Z P, 2013. Study on inter-regional transfer of embodied pollution in China. Acta Geographica Sinica, 68(6): 791–801. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Li Y L, Han M Y, 2017. Embodied water demands, transfers and imbalance of China’s mega-cities. Journal of Cleaner Production, 172: 1336–1345.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lin B, Sun C, 2010. Evaluating carbon dioxide emissions in international trade of China. Energy Policy, 38(1): 613–621.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu H G, Liu W D, Fan X M et al., 2014. Carbon emissions embodied in value added chains in China. Journal of Cleaner Production, 103: 362–370.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu W D, Dunford M, 2016. Inclusive globalization: Unpacking China’s Belt and Road Initiative. Area Development and Policy, 1(3): 323–340.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu W D, Li X, Liu H et al., 2015a. Estimating inter-regional trade flows in China: A sector-specific statistical model. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 25(10): 1247–1263.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Liu Z, Guan D, Wei W et al., 2015b. Reduced carbon emission estimates from fossil fuel combustion and cement production in China. Nature, 524: 335–338.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Marco F, David V, 2006. A South-South survival strategy: The potential for trade among developing countries. World Economy, 31(5): 663–684.

    Google Scholar 

  • Mastrandrea M D, Field C B, Stocker T F et al., 2010. Guidance note for lead authors of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report on Consistent Treatment of Uncertainties.

    Google Scholar 

  • National Development and Reform Commission, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Ministry of Commerce of China, 2015. Vision and Actions on Jointly Building Silk Road Economic Belt and 21st-century Maritime Silk Road. Beijing: Foreign Languages Press. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

  • Peters G P, Hertwich E G, 2008. CO2 embodied in international trade with implications for global climate policy. Environmental Science & Technology, 42(5): 1401–1407.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schwerhoff G, Sy M, 2017. Financing renewable energy in Africa: Key challenge of the sustainable development goals. Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews, 75: 393–401.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • United Nations, 2013. A new global partnership: Eradicate poverty and transform economies through sustainable development. Final Report of the UN High-level Panel of Eminent Persons on the Post-2015 Development Agenda, 30.

    Google Scholar 

  • Wang C, Wang F, 2017. China can lead on climate change. Science, 357(6353): 764.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wiedmann T, Lenzen M, Turner K et al., 2007. Examining the global environmental impact of regional consumption activities: Part 2: Review of input–output models for the assessment of environmental impacts embodied in trade. Ecological Economics, 61(1): 15–26.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • World Bank, 2012. World Development Indicators (accessed January 2018 at http://databank.worldbank.org/data/reports.aspx?source=world-development-indicators).

  • Wyckoff A W, Roop J M, 1994. The embodiment of carbon in imports of manufactured products: Implications for international agreements on greenhouse gas emissions. Energy Policy, 22(3): 187–194.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhang N, Liu Z, Zheng X et al., 2017. Carbon footprint of China’s belt and road. Science, 357(6356): 1107.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zhu Y, Tian Z, Liu J et al., 2016. Low Carbon Energy Systems in China: Visioning Regional Cooperation Through the Belt and Road. Singapore: Springer.

    Google Scholar 

  • Zou J L, Liu C L, Yin G Q et al., 2015. Spatial patterns and economic effects of China’s trade with countries along the Belt and Road. Progress in Geography, 34(5): 598–605. (in Chinese)

    Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Weidong Liu.

Additional information

Foundation: National Key Research and Development Program of China, No.2016YFA0602804; National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41701135

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Han, M., Yao, Q., Liu, W. et al. Tracking embodied carbon flows in the Belt and Road regions. J. Geogr. Sci. 28, 1263–1274 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-018-1524-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-018-1524-7

Keywords

Navigation