Abstract
Urban expansion models are useful tools to understand urbanization process and have been given much attention. However, urban expansion is a complicated socio-economic phenomenon that is affected by complex and volatile factors involving in great uncertainties. Therefore, the accurate simulation of the urban expansion process remains challenging. In this paper, we make an attempt to solve such uncertainty through a reversal process and view urban expansion as a process wherein the urban landscape overcomes resistance from other landscapes. We developed an innovative approach derived from the minimum cumulative resistance (MCR) model that involved the introduction of a relative resistance factor for different source levels and the consideration of rigid constraints on urban expansion caused by ecological barriers. Using this approach, the urban expansion ecological resistance (UEER) model was created to describe ecological resistance surfaces suitable for simulating urban expansion and used to simulate urban expansion in Guangzhou. The study results demonstrate that the ecological resistance surface generated by the UEER model comprehensively reflects ecological resistance to urban expansion and indicates the spatial trends in urban expansion. The simulation results from the UEER-based model were more realistic and more accurately reflected ecological protection requirements than the conventional MCR-based model. These findings can enhance urban expansion simulation methods.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Adriaensen F, Chardon J P, De Blust G et al., 2003. The application of ‘least-cost’ modelling as a functional landscape model. Landscape and Urban Planning, 64: 233–247.
Al-Ahmadi K, See L, Heppenstall A et al., 2009. Calibration of a fuzzy cellular automata model of urban dynamics in Saudi Arabia. Ecological Complexity, 6: 80–101.
Barredo J I, Kasanko M, McCormick N et al., 2003. Modelling dynamic spatial processes: Simulation of urban future scenarios through cellular automata. Landscape and Urban Planning, 64: 145–160.
Berling-Wolff S, Wu J, 2004. Modeling urban landscape dynamics: A case study in Phoenix, USA. Urban Ecosystems, 7(3): 215–240.
Chardon J P, Adriaensen F, Matthysen E, 2003. Incorporating landscape elements into a connectivity measure: A case study of speckled wood butterfly. Landscape Ecology, 18: 561–573.
Cheng J, Masser I, 2003. Modelling urban growth patterns: A multiscale perspective. Environment and Planning A, 35: 679–704.
Costanza R, Ruth M, 1998. Using dynamic modeling to scope environmental problems and build consensus. Environmental Management, 22: 183–195.
Couclelis H, 1987. Cellular dynamics: How individual decisions lead to global urban change. European Journal of Operational Research, 30(3): 344–346.
Clarke K C, Hoppen S, Gaydos L, 1997. A self-modifying cellular automaton model of historical urbanization in the San Francisco Bay area. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 24: 247–261.
Foltête J C, Berthier K, Cosson J F, 2008. Cost distance defined by a topological function of landscape. Ecological Modelling, 210(1/2): 104–114.
Grimm N B, Grove J M, Pickett S T A et al., 2000. Integrated approaches to long-term studies of urban ecological systems. BioScience, 50(7): 571–584.
Haregeweyn N, Fikadu G, Tsunekawa A et al., 2012. The dynamics of urban expansion and its impacts on land use/land cover change and small-scale farmers living near the urban fringe: A case study of Bahir Dar, Ethiopia. Landscape and Urban Planning, 106(2): 149–157.
He C, Okada N, Zhang Q et al., 2006. Modeling urban expansion scenarios by coupling cellular automata model and system dynamic model in Beijing, China. Applied Geography, 26: 323–345.
He C, Okada N, Zhang Q et al., 2008. Modelling dynamic urban expansion processes incorporating a potential model with cellular automata. Landscape and Urban Planning, 86: 79–91.
Knaapen J P, Scheffer M, Harms B, 1992. Estimating hatitat isolation in landscape planning. Landscape and Urban Planning, 23: 1016.
Lambin E, Geist J, 2001. Global land use and land cover change: What have we learned so far? Global Change News Letter, 46: 27–30.
Li L, Sato Y, Zhu H, 2003. Simulating spatial urban expansion based on a physical process. Landscape and Urban Planning, 64: 67–76.
Li X, Yeh A G O, 2000. Modelling sustainable urban development by the integration of constrained cellular automata and GIS. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 14: 131–152.
Li X, Yeh A G O, 2002. Neural-network-based cellular automata for simulating multiple land use changes using GIS. International Journal of Geographical Information Science, 16: 323–343.
Liu X, Li X, Shi X et al., 2008. Simulating complex urban development using kernel-based non-linear cellular automata. Ecological Modelling, 211: 169–181.
López E, Bocco G, Mendoza M et al., 2001. Predicting land-cover and land use change in the urban fringe: A case in Morelia city, Mexico. Landscape and Urban Planning, 55: 271–285.
Mundia C N, Murayama Y, 2010. Modeling spatial processes of urban growth in African cities: A case study of Nairobi City. Urban Geography, 31(2): 259–272.
Nagendra H, Munroe D K, Southworth J et al., 2004. From pattern to process: Landscape fragmentation and the analysis of land use/land cover change. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 101: 111–115.
Pain G, Baudry J, Burel F et al., 2000. Land Pop: Un outil d’étude de la structure spatiale des populations animals fragmentées. Revue Internationale de Géomatique, 10: 89–106.
Pickett S T A, Cadenasso M L, Grove J M et al., 2001. Urban ecological systems: Linking terrestrial ecological, physical, and socioeconomic components of metropolitan areas. Annual Review of Ecology and Systematics, 32: 127–157.
Ray N, Burgman M A, 2006. Subjective uncertainties in habitat suitability maps. Ecological Modelling, 195: 172–186.
Ray N, Lehmann A, Joly P, 2002. Modeling spatial distribution of amphibian populations: A GIS approach based on habitat matrix permeability. Biodivers. Conserv., 11: 2143–2165.
Stevens D, Dragicevic S, Rothley K, 2007. iCity: A GIS-CA modelling tool for urban planning and decisionmaking. Environmental Modelling & Software, 22: 761–773.
Verburg P H, de Koning G H J, Kok K et al., 1999a. A spatial explicit allocation procedure for modelling the pattern of land use change based upon actual land use. Ecological Modelling, 116: 45–61.
Verburg P H, Schot P, Dijst M et al., 2004. Land use change modelling: Current practice and research priorities. GeoJournal, 61(4): 309–324.
Verburg P H, Veldkamp A, Fresco L O, 1999b. Simulation of changes in the spatial pattern of land use in China. Applied Geography, 19: 211–233.
Weber C, Puissant A, 2003. Urbanization pressure and modeling of urban growth: Example of the Tunis Metropolitan Area. Remote Sensing of Environment, 86: 341–352.
Weddell P, 2002. Urbanism: Modeling urban development for land use, transportation, and environment planning. Journal of American Planning Association, 68(3): 297–313.
White R, Engelen G, 1993. Cellular automata and fractal urban form: A cellular modelling approach to the evolution of urban land-use patterns. Environment and Planning A, 25: 1175–199.
Wu F, Webster C J, 1998. Simulation of land development through the integration of cellular automata and multicriteria evaluation. Environment and Planning B: Planning and Design, 25: 103–126.
Yu K J, 1996. Security patterns and surface model in landscape ecological planning. Landscape and Urban Planning, 36: l–17.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
Foundation: National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41001385; 12th Five-year National Science Supported Planning Project, No.2012BAJ15B02
Author: Ye Yuyao (1980–), PhD and Associate Professor, specialized in sustainable regional development and urban planning.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Ye, Y., Su, Y., Zhang, Ho. et al. Construction of an ecological resistance surface model and its application in urban expansion simulations. J. Geogr. Sci. 25, 211–224 (2015). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-015-1163-1
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11442-015-1163-1