Abstract
A method is introduced in this paper to study the effect of future climatic change on the economy. The researchers determine the economic output of climate change from historical data, and provide a method to quantitatively predict economic output of climate change by an economic-climatic model. A historical reciprocating examination is used to analyze output data for various crops in eight agricultural areas in China and meteorological data from 160 observatories in China from 1980 to 2000. The results show that the methods used are reasonable to a certain extent and good in application.
Article PDF
Avoid common mistakes on your manuscript.
References
Fu C B. Glob Planet Change, 2003, 37: 219–229
Ye D Z, Jiang Y D, Dong W J. Adv Atmos Sci, 2003, 20: 959–967
Gao X J, Zhao Z C, Giorgi F. Adv Atmos Sci, 2002, 19: 927–942
Ye D Z. Bull Chin Acad Sci, 1986, 1: 112–120
Ding Y H. Climate Change in China: Science, Influence, Adaption and Policy Research (in Chinese). Beijing: China Environmental Science Press, 2009. 1–455
Chou J M, Feng G L, Dong W J, et al. Clim Environ Res, 2004, 9: 597–603
Pan J H. World Econ Polic, 2003, 6: 66–71
Dong W J, Chou J M, Ye D Z. Adv Atmos Sci, 2007, 24: 336–342
Chou J M, Dong W J, Ye D Z. Chinese Sci Bull, 2007, 52: 1006–1008
Cobb C W, Douglas P H. Am Econ Rev, 1928, 18: 139–165
Solow R M. Quart J Econ, 1956, 70: 65–94
Solow R M. Econ Stat, 1957, 39: 312–320
Chou J M, Dong W J, Feng G L. Adv Atmos Sci, 2010, 27: 957–965
Climate Change and Crop Yield Writing Group. Climate Change and Crop Yield (in Chinese). Beijing: China Agriculture Technological Press, 1992. 1–2
Liu D M. J Chin Agr Resour Reg Plan, 2002, 23: 56–59
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
This article is published with open access at Springerlink.com
Rights and permissions
This article is published under an open access license. Please check the 'Copyright Information' section either on this page or in the PDF for details of this license and what re-use is permitted. If your intended use exceeds what is permitted by the license or if you are unable to locate the licence and re-use information, please contact the Rights and Permissions team.
About this article
Cite this article
Chou, J., Dong, W. & Feng, G. The methodology of quantitative assess economic output of climate change. Chin. Sci. Bull. 56, 1333–1335 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11434-011-4429-8
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11434-011-4429-8