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Science China Earth Sciences

, Volume 58, Issue 1, pp 25–35 | Cite as

Hyperresolution information and hyperresolution ignorance in modelling the hydrology of the land surface

  • Keith BevenEmail author
  • Hannah Cloke
  • Florian Pappenberger
  • Rob Lamb
  • Neil Hunter
Research Paper Special Topic: Watershed Science

Abstract

There is a strong drive towards hyperresolution earth system models in order to resolve finer scales of motion in the atmosphere. The problem of obtaining more realistic representation of terrestrial fluxes of heat and water, however, is not just a problem of moving to hyperresolution grid scales. It is much more a question of a lack of knowledge about the parameterisation of processes at whatever grid scale is being used for a wider modelling problem. Hyperresolution grid scales cannot alone solve the problem of this hyperresolution ignorance. This paper discusses these issues in more detail with specific reference to land surface parameterisations and flood inundation models. The importance of making local hyperresolution model predictions available for evaluation by local stakeholders is stressed. It is expected that this will be a major driving force for improving model performance in the future.

Keywords

hyperresolution models epistemic uncertainties models of everywhere communicating uncertainty flood risk 

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Copyright information

© Science China Press and Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2014

Authors and Affiliations

  • Keith Beven
    • 1
    • 2
    Email author
  • Hannah Cloke
    • 3
  • Florian Pappenberger
    • 4
    • 5
    • 6
  • Rob Lamb
    • 7
  • Neil Hunter
    • 8
  1. 1.Lancaster Environment CentreLancaster UniversityLancasterUK
  2. 2.Department of Earth SciencesUppsala UniversityUppsalaSweden
  3. 3.Department of Geography and Environmental Science, Department of MeteorologyUniversity of ReadingReadingUK
  4. 4.European Centre for Medium-range Weather ForecastsReadingUK
  5. 5.School of Geographical SciencesUniversity of BristolBristolUK
  6. 6.College of Hydrology and Water ResourcesHehai UniversityNanjingChina
  7. 7.JBA Trust, South Barn, Broughton HallSkiptonUK
  8. 8.JBA Consulting, South Barn, Broughton HallSkiptonUK

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