Abstract
We investigate some probabilistic properties of a new class of nonlinear time series models. A suffcient condition for the existence of a unique causal, strictly and weakly stationary solution is derived. To understand the proposed models better, we further discuss the moment structure and obtain some Yule-Walker difference equations for the second and third order cumulants, which can also be used for identification purpose. A suffcient condition for invertibility is also provided.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
An H Z, Chen S G. A note on the ergodicity of non-linear autoregressive model. Statist Probab Lett, 1997, 34: 365–372
An H Z, Huang F C. The geometrical ergodicity of nonlinear autoregressive models. Statist Sinica, 1996, 6: 943–956
Box G E P, Jenkins G M. Time Series Analysis, Forcasting and Control. San Francisco: Holden-Day, 1976
Brockwell P, Liu J, Tweedie R L. On the existence of stationary threshold autoregressive moving-average processes. J Time Ser Anal, 1992, 13: 95–107
Chan K S, Tong H. On the use of the deterministic Lyapunov function for the ergodicity of stochastic difference equations. Adv in Appl Probab, 1985, 17: 666–678
Chen R, Tsay R S. On the ergodicity of TAR(1) processes. Ann Appl Probab, 1991, 1: 613–634
Chen R, Tsay R S. Functional-coeffcient autoregressive models. J Amer Statist Assoc, 1993, 88: 298–308
Cline D B H, Pu H H. Stability of nonlinear AR(1) time series with delay. Stochastic Process Appl, 1999, 82: 307–333
Cline D B H, Pu H H. Stability and the Lyapounov exponent of threshold AR-ARCH models. Ann Appl Probab, 2004, 14: 1920–1949
Fan J, Yao Q, Cai Z. Adaptive varying-coeffcient linear model. J R Stat Soc Ser B Stat Methodol, 2003, 65: 57–80
Granger C W J, Anderson A. An Introduction to Bilinear Time Series Model. Gottinggen: Vanderhoech and Ruprecht, 1978
Granger C W J, Anderson A. On the invertibility of time series models. Stochastic Process Appl, 1978, 8: 87–92
Haggan V, Ozaki T. Modeling nonlinear vibrations using an amplitude-dependent auto-regressive time series model. Biometrika, 1981, 68: 189–196
Liebscher E. Towards a unified approach for proving geometric ergodicity and mixing properties of nonlinear autoregressive processes. J Time Ser Anal, 2005, 26: 669–689
Ling S. On probability properties of a double threshold ARMA conditional heteroskedasticity model. J Appl Probab, 1999, 36: 688–705
Ling S, Tong H. Testing a linear moving-average model against threshold moving-average models. Ann Statist, 2005, 33: 2529–2552
Ling S, Tong H, Li D. Ergodicity and invertibility of threshold moving-average models. Bernoulli, 2007, 13: 161–168
Liu J, Brockwell P J. On the general bilinear time series models. J Appl Probab, 1988, 25: 553–565
Liu J, Li W K, Li C W. On a threshold autoregression with conditional heteroscedastic variances. J Statist Plann Inference, 1997, 62: 279–300
Liu J, Susko E. On strict stationarity and ergodicity of a nonlinear ARMA model. J Appl Probab, 1992, 29: 363–373
Liu S I. Theory of bilinear time series models. Comm Statist Theory Methods, 1985, 14: 2549–2561
Priestley M B. State-dependent models: a general appoach to non-linear time series analysis. J Time Ser Anal, 1980, 1: 47–72
Pham T D, Tran L T. On the first order bilinear time series. J Appl Probab, 1981, 18: 617–627
Rao M B, Rao T S, Walker A M. On the existence of some bilinear time series models. J Time Ser Anal, 1983, 4: 95–110
Rao T S. On the theory of bilinear time series models. J R Stat Soc Ser B Stat Methodol, 1981, 43: 244–255
Terdik G, Subba Rao T. On Wiener-Ito representation and the best linear prediction for bilinear time series. J Appl Probab, 1989, 26: 274–286
Tong H. Threshold Models in Nonlinear Time Series Analysis. New York: Springer-Verlag, 1983
Wang H B. Nonlinear ARMA models with functional-MA coeffcients. J Time Ser Anal, 2008, 29: 1032–1056
Wang H B, Wei B C. Separable lower triangular bilinear model. J Appl Probab, 2004, 41: 221–235
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Chen, D., Wang, H. The stationarity and invertibility of a class of nonlinear ARMA models. Sci. China Math. 54, 469–478 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11425-010-4160-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11425-010-4160-y