Skip to main content
Log in

Interbank rules during economic declines: Can banks safeguard capital base?

  • Regular Article
  • Published:
Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

This paper studies the role of interbank credit within an agent-based model of the financial sector. Our main contribution consists in a behavioral foundation of banks demand and supply in the interbank market. We connect 100 heterogeneous banks that adapt their liquidity positions in the presence of shocks from the real economy via interbank deposits and interbank loans by using a common set of interbank rules. The key element in the model is the introduction of a Fermi–Dirac \(\kappa \) as a proxy of banks’ consistency in their behavior in the interbank market. For different growth–volatility scenarios we analyze, how the consistency interplays with the value of capital-base in the banking system. Overall, this paper provides simulation-based arguments that the interbank credit can safeguard capital-base during economic declines and that the interbank credit might be an important stabilizing factor for the real-world banking systems.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2

Data sources: Federal Reserve Board (2018)

Fig. 3

Data sources: European Central Bank (2018)

Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6
Fig. 7
Fig. 8
Fig. 9
Fig. 10
Fig. 11

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. See Upper (2011) and Hüser (2015) for literature overviews.

  2. An example of an interaction-based network approach to portfolio selection may be found in Steinbacher (2016) and the references provided therein.

  3. Iori et al. (2008), Fricke and Lux (2014), Boss et al. (2004a), Degryse and Nguyen (2007), Upper and Worms (2004), Bargigli et al. (2014), Alessandri et al. (2009), Fagiolo (2007), Barrat et al. (2004).

  4. See Step 2, Sect. 3.2 for more details about the algorithm we used to generate interbank deposits and loans.

  5. The simulator was implemented in the Microsoft Visual Studio 2010, Express Edition using Boost libraries for networks.

  6. Random network and small-world network are both connected networks. It follows that a union of their edge-sets is also a connected network.

References

  • Acharya V, Merrouche O (2012) Precautionary hoarding of liquidity and interbank markets: evidence from the subprime crisis. Rev Financ 17:107–160

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Acharya V, Naqvi H (2012) The seeds of a crisis: a theory of bank liquidity and risk taking over the business cycle. J Financ Econ 106:349–366

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Albert R, Barabási AL (2002) Statistical mechanics of complex networks. Rev Mod Phys 74:47–97

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Alessandri P, Gai P, Kapadia S, Mora N, Puhr C (2009) Towards a framework for quantifying systemic stability. Int J Cent Bank 5:47–81

    Google Scholar 

  • Allen F, Babus A (2009) Networks in finance. In: Kleindorfer RP, Wind J (eds) Network challenge: strategy, profit, and risk in an interlinked world. Pearson, New York, pp 367–382

    Google Scholar 

  • Allen F, Gale D (2000) Financial contagion. J Polit Econ 108:1–33

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Babus A (2016) The formation of financial networks. RAND J Econ 47:239–272

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bargigli L, Tedeschi G (2014) Interaction in agent-based economics: a survey on the network approach. Phys A Stat Mech Appl 399:1–15

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bargigli L, Gallegati M, Riccetti L, Russo A (2014) Network analysis and calibration of the leveraged network-based financial accelerator. J Econ Behav Organ 99:109–125

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Barrat A, Barthelemy M, Pastor-Satorras R, Vespignani A (2004) The architecture of complex weighted networks. Proc Natl Acad Sci USA 101:3747–3752

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berger AN, Udell GF (1990) Collateral, loan quality and bank risk. J Monet Econ 25:21–42

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bester H (1987) The role of collateral in credit markets with imperfect information. Eur Econ Rev 31:887–899

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blum J (1999) Do capital adequacy requirements reduce risks in banking? J Bank Finance 23:755–771

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bordo MD, Haubrich JG (2010) Credit crises, money and contractions: an historical view. J Monet Econ 57:1–18

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Boss M, Elsinger H, Summer M, Thurner S (2004a) An empirical analysis of the network structure of the Austrian interbank market. Oesterreichesche Nationalbanks Financ Stab Rep 7:77–87

    Google Scholar 

  • Boss M, Summer M, Thurner S (2004b) Contagion flow through banking networks. In: International conference on computational science. Springer, pp. 1070–1077

  • Bryant J (1980) A model of reserves, bank runs, and deposit insurance. J Bank Financ 4:335–344

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Calem P, Rob R (1999) The impact of capital-based regulation on bank risk-taking. J Financ Intermed 8:317–352

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cifuentes R, Ferrucci G, Shin HS (2005) Liquidity risk and contagion. J Eur Econ Assoc 3:556–566

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Clauset A, Newman ME, Moore C (2004) Finding community structure in very large networks. Phys Rev E 70:066111

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Degryse H, Nguyen G (2007) Interbank exposures: an empirical examination of contagion risk in the belgian banking system. Int J Cent Bank 3:123–171

    Google Scholar 

  • Diamond DW, Dybvig PH (1983) Bank runs, deposit insurance, and liquidity. J Polit Econ 91:401–419

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Easley D, O’Hara M, Paperman J (1998) Financial analysts and information-based trade. J Financ Mark 1:175–201

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Epstein JM (1999) Agent-based computational models and generative social science. Complexity 4:41–60

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Erdös P, Rényi A (1959) On random graphs I. Publ Math Debr 6:290–297

    Google Scholar 

  • European Central Bank (2018) Statistical data warehouse. http://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/money_credit_banking/html/index.en.html. Accessed 19 Feb 2018

  • Fagiolo G (2007) Clustering in complex directed networks. Phys Rev E 76:26–107

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fagiolo G, Moneta A, Windrum P (2007) A critical guide to empirical validation of agent-based models in economics: methodologies, procedures, and open problems. Comput Econ 30:195–226

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Farmer JD, Foley D (2009) The economy needs agent-based modelling. Nature 460:685–686

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Federal Reserve Board (2018) Statistical release H.8, “Assets and liabilities of commercial banks in the United States’. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis. https://www.federalreserve.gov/datadownload/Build.aspx?rel=H8. Accessed 19 Feb 2018

  • Forsythe GE, Moler CB, Malcolm MA (1977) Computer methods for mathematical computations. Prentice-Hall, New Jersey, p 270

    Google Scholar 

  • Freixas X, Parigi BM, Rochet JC (2000) Systemic risk, interbank relations, and liquidity provision by the Central Bank. J Money Credit Bank 32:611–638

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fricke D, Lux T (2014) Core-periphery structure in the overnight money market: evidence from the e-mid trading platform. Comput Econ 45:359–395

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gai P, Kapadia S (2010) Contagion in financial networks. Proc R Soc A Math Phys Eng Sci 466:2401–2423

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gatti DD, Gallegati M, Greenwald B, Russo A, Stiglitz JE (2006) Business fluctuations in a credit-network economy. Phys A Stat Mech Appl 370:68–74

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gatti DD, Gaffeo E, Gallegati M (2010) Complex agent-based macroeconomics: a manifesto for a new paradigm. J Econ Interact Coord 5:111–135

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gertler M, Kiyotaki N (2010) Financial intermediation and credit policy in business cycle analysis. In: Friedman BM, Woodford M (eds) Handbook of monetary economics, vol 3. Elsevier, Amsterdam, pp 547–599

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Gordy MB (2000) A comparative anatomy of credit risk models. J Bank Financ 24:119–149

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Greenspan A et al (1998) The role of capital in optimal banking supervision and regulation. In: Financial services at the crossroads: capital regulation in the twenty-first century, Proceedings of a conference, FRBNY Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York

  • Hałaj G, Kok C (2015) Modelling the emergence of the interbank networks. Quant Finance 15:653–671

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Herring R, Wachter S (2003) Bubbles in real estate markets. In: Hunter WC, Kaufman GG (eds) Asset price bubbles: the implications for monetary, regulatory, and international policies, p 217. MIT Press, Cambridge

    Google Scholar 

  • Hüser AC (2015) Too interconnected to fail: a survey of the interbank networks literature. Technical report. SAFE working paper series

  • Inaoka H, Takayasu H, Shimizu T, Ninomiya T, Taniguchi K (2004) Self-similarity of banking network. Phys A Stat Mech Appl 339:621–634

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Iori G, De Masi G, Precup OV, Gabbi G, Caldarelli G (2008) A network analysis of the italian overnight money market. J Econ Dyn Control 32:259–278

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Iori G, Mantegna RN, Marotta L, Micciche S, Porter J, Tumminello M (2015) Networked relationships in the e-mid interbank market: a trading model with memory. J Econ Dyn Control 50:98–116

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Jackson MO (2010) Social and economic networks. Princeton University Press, Princeton

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Jackson MO, Wolinsky A (1996) A strategic model of social and economic networks. J Econ Theory 71:44–74

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Karimi F, Raddant M (2016) Cascades in real interbank markets. Comput Econ 47:49–66

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kashyap AK, Rajan R, Stein JC (2002) Banks as liquidity providers: an explanation for the coexistence of lending and deposit-taking. J Finance 57:33–73

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kim D, Santomero AM (1988) Risk in banking and capital regulation. J Finance 43:1219–1233

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kiyotaki N, Moore J (2012) Liquidity, business cycles, and monetary policy. Technical report. National Bureau of Economic Research

  • Lintner J (1965) Security prices, risk, and maximal gains from diversification. J Finance 20:587–615

    Google Scholar 

  • Lux T (1995) Herd behaviour, bubbles and crashes. Econ J 105:881–896

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Macal C, North M (2010) Tutorial on agent-based modelling and simulation. J Simul 4:151–162

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Markowitz H (1952) Portfolio selection. J Finance 7:77–91

    Google Scholar 

  • Meh CA, Moran K (2010) The role of bank capital in the propagation of shocks. J Econ Dyn Control 34:555–576

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Meyer PA, Pifer HW (1970) Prediction of bank failures. J Finance 25:853–868

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Miller MH, Rock K (1985) Dividend policy under asymmetric information. J Finance 40:1031–1051

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Nier E, Yang J, Yorulmazer T, Alentorn A (2007) Network models and financial stability. J Econ Dyn Control 31:2033–2060

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Reinhart CM, Rogoff KS (2008) This time is different: a panoramic view of eight centuries of financial crises. Technical report. National Bureau of Economic Research

  • Rime B (2001) Capital requirements and bank behaviour: empirical evidence for Switzerland. J Bank Financ 25:789–805

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Robertson DA (2003) Agent-based models of a banking network as an example of a turbulent environment: the deliberate vs. emergent strategy debate revisited. Emergence 5:56–71

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Rolski T, Schmidli H, Schmidt V, Teugels J (2009) Stochastic processes for insurance and finance, vol 505. Wiley, London

    Google Scholar 

  • Schweitzer F, Fagiolo G, Sornette D, Vega-Redondo F, Vespignani A, White DR (2009) Economic networks: the new challenges. Science 325:422–425

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sharpe WF (1964) Capital asset prices: a theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. J Finance 19:425–442

    Google Scholar 

  • Sharpe SA (1990) Asymmetric information, bank lending, and implicit contracts: a stylized model of customer relationships. J Finance 45:1069–1087

    Google Scholar 

  • Steinbacher M (2016) Portfolio selection as a multi-period choice problem under uncertainty: an interaction-based approach. In: Dunis C, Middleton P, Karathanasopolous A, Theofilatos K (eds) Artificial intelligence in financial markets. Springer, Berlin, pp 245–284

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Steinbacher M, Steinbacher M, Steinbacher M (2014) Robustness of banking networks to idiosyncratic and systemic shocks: a network-based approach. J Econ Interaction Coord 15:1–23

    Google Scholar 

  • Suarez J, Sussman O (1999) Financial distress and the business cycle. Oxf Rev Econ Policy 15:39–51

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tesfatsion L (2002) Agent-based computational economics: growing economies from the bottom up. Artif Life 8:55–82

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tirole J (1982) On the possibility of speculation under rational expectations. Econometrica 50:1163–1181

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Tirole J (1985) Asset bubbles and overlapping generations. Econometrica 53:1071–1100

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Uhlig H (2010) A model of a systemic bank run. J Monet Econ 57:78–96

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Upper C (2011) Simulation methods to assess the danger of contagion in interbank markets. J Financ Stab 7:111–125

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Upper C, Worms A (2004) Estimating bilateral exposures in the german interbank market: is there a danger of contagion? Eur Econ Revi 48:827–849

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • von Thadden EL (2004) Asymmetric information, bank lending and implicit contracts: the winner’s curse. Finance Res Lett 1:11–23

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Wasserman S, Faust K (1994) Social network analysis: methods and applications, vol 8. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Watts DJ, Strogatz SH (1998) Collective dynamics of small-world networks. Nature 393:440–442

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • White EN (2009) Lessons from the history of bank examination and supervision in the United States, 1863–2008. In: Financial market regulation in the wake of financial crises: the historical experience conference, p 15

Download references

Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank Patricia Walsh for her careful language correction; seminar participants at the German Network for New Economic Dynamics (GENED) Workshop and the School on Networks in Finance and Macroeconomics, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, Kiel, Germany, April 28–29, 2014, for helpful comments and suggestions in an early stage of the development of the interbank simulator; and two anonymous referees for their thoughtful review and numerous helpful comments and suggestions. All errors remain the responsibility of the authors.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Mitja Steinbacher.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Steinbacher, M., Jagrič, T. Interbank rules during economic declines: Can banks safeguard capital base?. J Econ Interact Coord 15, 471–499 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11403-018-0228-5

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11403-018-0228-5

Keywords

JEL Classification

Navigation