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Journal of Chinese Political Science

, Volume 23, Issue 1, pp 1–7 | Cite as

Contemplating China’s Future

  • David Shambaugh
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Abstract

China’s future is one of the most important variables in international affairs. While the world has witnessed the extraordinary socio-economic growth and development of China over the past four decades, the country is now at a series of junctures and faces unprecedentedly complex challenges. It has achieved “middle income” status, but in order to navigate through the “middle income trap” and become a fully developed and modern economy will require not only multiple structural adjustments in the economic structure, but also a significant liberalization of the political system. This article explores four alternative pathways that China might follow in the coming years, and it posits potential consequences of each path.

Keywords

China Development Politics Middle-income-trap Future 

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Copyright information

© Journal of Chinese Political Science/Association of Chinese Political Studies 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Elliott School of International AffairsGeorge Washington UniversityWashingtonUSA

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