Abstract
Digital infrastructure construction (DIC) and low-carbon transformation are important engines and objective functions of the superior economic development, and the synergistic drive between the two is essential to achieving lasting economic development. Based on the panel data of 279 cities in China between 2007 and 2019, the econometric model system is used to explore the impact mechanism of DIC on carbon total factor productivity (CTFP), and the impact of DIC on carbon rebound effect (CRE) is further studied. Research findings that, first, the expansion of DIC has a nonlinear effect on CTFP, with a U-shaped link between the two; multiple robustness tests confirm that this is still true. Second, DIC and optimization of the energy consumption structure in a “U” curve relationship, and the major strategy for increasing CTFP is to reduce energy consumption, while industrial structure optimization and technical innovation have less of a intermediary effect. Third, further analysis reveals that there is a “U” shaped nonlinear connection between the DIC and the CRE, and energy savings and emission reductions in the later stages of DIC fall short of expectations. The current DIC is still dominated by episodic expansion. The findings of the study can better enhance CTFP, curb the CRE, put a limit on total carbon emissions and accelerate the decoupling of economic growth from carbon emissions.
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The data sets supporting the results of this article are included within the article and its additional files.
Notes
Data source: Digital China Development Report (2022) released at the opening ceremony of the 6th Digital China Construction Summit.
Abbreviations:
DICdigital infrastructure construction
CTFPcarbon total factor productivity
CREcarbon dioxide rebound effects
Data source: China Carbon Emissions Database (CEADs) and BP World Energy Statistics Yearbook 2021.
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Funding
This work was supported by the Major Project of Research on Philosophy and Social Science in Higher Education Institutions in Hubei Province [21ZD010], the Youth Project of Hunan Provincial Philosophy and Social Science Foundation [21YBQ079], the General Project of Hunan Provincial Philosophy and Social Science Foundation [19YBA333].
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All authors contributed the conception and design of this study. The empirical work and the manuscript’s first draft were performed by Mudan Lan and Yuke Zhu. The conceptualization and funding supporting were provided by Yuke Zhu. The methodology guidance and software supporting were provided by Mudan Lan and Yuke Zhu; the project administration and funding acquisition were provided by Yuke Zhu. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
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Lan, ., Zhu, Y. Digital infrastructure construction, carbon total factor productivity, and carbon rebound effect. Environ Sci Pollut Res 30, 88968–88985 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-28738-9
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-023-28738-9