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Quantifying ecosystem service mismatches for land use planning: spatial-temporal characteristics and novel approach—a case study in Jiangsu Province, China

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Abstract

Land use and land cover changes associated with urbanization have had a significant influence on ecosystem services (ESs), but previous studies have insufficiently focused on the relationships between ES supply and demand; these relationships are seldom considered in the science-policy frameworks of land use planning. In this study, a specific supply-demand indicator was constructed to measure ES supply and demand and their disparity across multiple scales in Jiangsu Province from 2000 to 2018. High spatial heterogeneity and mismatches of ES supply and demand were found in water yield, grain production, carbon sequestration, soil conservation, heat regulation, and recreation services. At provincial scale, the supplies of carbon sequestration and heat regulation services were smaller than their demands. At the 1-km2 grid scale, the ES supply and demand mismatches in urban areas were more serious than those in surrounding areas, especially for carbon sequestration and recreation services. Five ES supply-demand risk zones were identified based on the current status and trends of all ES supply and demand. Southern Jiangsu generally had high risks of ES mismatch, which should be reduced by strategic planning. Constructing the ES supply-demand indicator is a novel practice that assists in evaluating environmental issues and integrating them into further development decisions. This paper suggests that governments should reduce ES mismatches with reference to local conditions (economic development, industrial type, and ecological carrying capacity) and the actual situation of ES supply and demand.

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Data availability

The datasets generated and/or analyzed during the current study are available as follows:

The land use data applied in this study were primarily obtained from Landsat remote sensing images at a spatial resolution of 30 m. Land use types in Jiangsu were based on the interpreted findings conducted at the Chinese Academy of Sciences and the Resource and Environment Science Data Center of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (http://www.resdc.cn/). The population and the population density of the grid were derived from WorldPop Project (https://www.worldpop.org). The population of children under 4 years and elderly people over 65 years in the grid, also derived from WorldPop Project. All grid-scale temperature data are derived from WorldClim Project (https://www.worldclim.org/).

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Acknowledgements

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Funding

This research was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 41871083 and No. 41701371).

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Author notes

  1. Yangfan Zhou and Jianguo Li contributed equally to this work.

Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, Nanjing, China

    Yangfan Zhou & Lijie Pu

  2. Key Laboratory of Coastal Zone Exploitation and Protection, Ministry of Natural Resources, Nanjing, China

    Yangfan Zhou & Lijie Pu

  3. School of Geography, Geomatics, and Planning, Jiangsu Normal University, Xuzhou, China

    Jianguo Li

  4. Nanjing Institute of Technology, Nanjing, China

    Lijie Pu

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  1. Yangfan Zhou
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  2. Jianguo Li
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Contributions

Y.Z.: conceptualization, methodology, writing original draft preparation, visualization, validation. J.L.: investigation, writing-reviewing. L.P.: Supervision, funding acquisition.

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Correspondence to Lijie Pu.

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Zhou, Y., Li, J. & Pu, L. Quantifying ecosystem service mismatches for land use planning: spatial-temporal characteristics and novel approach—a case study in Jiangsu Province, China. Environ Sci Pollut Res 29, 26483–26497 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-17764-0

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