Abstract
To explore the relations between the number of accident deaths (NCD) and various factors in construction safety, a multiple linear regression model was established, based on the panel data of economy, construction labor, and the number of accident deaths in 31 provinces (regions) of China from 2009 to 2018. The results show that the average total profits and taxes (TPAT), and the death rate of ten thousand people (DR) are positively correlated with NCD, while the labor productivity (LP) is negatively correlated with it. Under the condition that other factors remain unchanged, NCD increases by 0.02 per a hundred million CNY. However, if DR increases by one ten thousand, NCD will increase by 8.66 on average. On the contrary, when LP increases by a hundred million CNY per ten thousand people, NCD decreases by 0.19. The model also predicts NCD in different provinces and cities from 2019 to 2020 with the method of quadratic exponential smoothing. As well, practice results show that the model is effective and practical.
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Data availability
The datasets [GENERATED/ANALYZED] for this study can be found in [FigShare] [10.6084/m9.figshare.14479254].
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Acknowledgements
The authors would like to acknowledge all colleagues who provided the questionnaire survey for this research, especially Zhenggang Yao, director of New Technology of New Eighth Construction Group Co., Ltd.; and Hui Yang, project manager of Wuhan Construction Engineering Third Construction Co., Ltd.; and Yuqing Cao, Department of Physics, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, for English language support.
Funding
This study was funded by the Key Soft Science Project of Hubei Science and Technology Support Plan (grant numbers 2015BDF006), National Social Science Project of Education Science 2017 (grant numbers BIA170192), and Key Open Fund Project of Hubei Industrial Policy and Management Research Center 2016-17 (grant numbers 17CYZ01).
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Conceptualization, methodology, writing of original draft preparation, supervision, and funding acquisition, T. Chen; formal analysis, data curation, visualization, and project administration, Z.H. Cao; validation, T. Chen and Z.H. Cao; software, Z.H. Cao and Y.Q. Cao; writing of review and editing, Z.H. Cao and Y.Q. Cao.
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Chen, T., Cao, Z. Construction safety: an analysis of the cross-influence of economic, construction, and accident death factors. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28, 65243–65254 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-15231-4
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-15231-4