Abstract
In recent years, severe air pollution has had a serious impact on the health and economy of residents and has attracted great attention. Due to the spatial separation between consumption and production, the transfer of PM2.5 pollution and its health and economic effects caused by interprovincial trade have not been taken seriously. In this study, economic, atmospheric, and epidemiological models were combined to assess air pollution transfer and its health and economic impacts that are attributed to provincial trade in China. The analyses were performed under the PM2.5 transfer scenario in which economically developed areas in eastern China transferred many health and economic impacts to inland areas through interprovincial trade in 2012. As a result of interprovincial trade, 1980 (95% CI 0, 4114) extra deaths and 208,000 (95% CI 74.5, 395.6) additional illnesses accrued, but 0.184 (95% CI 0.017, 0.372) billion USD of residents’ economic loss was avoided in China. The results illustrate the serious impact of domestic trade on regional health and economics. It is necessary to comprehensively consider supply chains in designing policies to mitigate the negative health and economic impacts of air pollution across China.
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The authors would like to thank the anonymous referees for their helpful comments and suggestions on an earlier draft of our paper.
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This research is supported by the Project of the National Social Science Foundation of China (NSSFC): Study on the Spatial Effects and Governance Strategies of the Impact of Urban Haze Pollution on Public Health (No. 17BJY063).
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Xueyuan Hu: Methodology, software, validation, formal analysis, investigation, resources, writing - original draft, writing - reviewing & editing, supervision. Han Sun: Conceptualization, methodology, validation, formal analysis, resources, writing - reviewing & editing, supervision, project administration, funding acquisition. Qian Luo: Formal analysis, writing - reviewing & editing. shan ni: resources, writing - reviewing & editing. yingying yan: software, methodology.
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Hu, X., Sun, H., Luo, X. et al. Health and economic impacts from PM2.5 pollution transfer attributed to domestic trade in China: a provincial-level analysis. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28, 49559–49573 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-13954-y
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-021-13954-y