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Integrated effect of energy consumption, economic development, and population growth on CO2 based environmental degradation: a case of transport sector

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Abstract

The transportation sector consumes 25% of world energy with 23% of the world’s total carbon emission. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate the integrated effect of fossil fuel source of energy consumption, economic development, and total population on CO2 emission based on environmental degradation transportation sector. We employed the econometric methodologies such as a hybrid error correction model, regression coefficients, platykurtic distribution, Dickey-Fuller test, and co-integration test in order to justify empirical analysis for Pakistan transport sector. Results reveal that an increase in economic growth, urbanization, and energy consumption increased transport-based environmental degradation urbanization. Moreover, very interestingly, during this period, energy consumption has increased by 13.5%, and it shows a high dependence of economic growth on energy consumption. Further, the CO2 emission and energy consumption per capita has a positive relationship. Finally, this study has proposed some suggestion for policy and decision-makers to mitigate environmental degradation as well as make transport sector environmentally sustainable.

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Abbreviations

BTU:

British thermal units

CO2 :

carbon dioxide

NO2 :

nitrogen oxide

SO2 :

sulfur dioxide

UNFCCC:

United Nations Framework Convention for Climate Change

DEV :

GDP per capita

URBd:

population density

URB:

population in urban agglomerations

FBS :

Federal Bureau of Statistics

WB :

World Bank

IMF :

International Monetary Fund

ECM :

error correction model

ARDL:

auto regressive distributive lag model

END i :

carbon dioxide from transport sector

DEVe:

energy consumption per capita

POP:

population growth rate

GDP:

gross domestic product

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Funding

This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (71673117), and the Young Academic Leader Project of Jiangsu University (5521380003).

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Correspondence to Muhammad Mohsin or Muhammad Ikram.

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Responsible editor: Muhammad Shahbaz

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Mohsin, M., Abbas, Q., Zhang, J. et al. Integrated effect of energy consumption, economic development, and population growth on CO2 based environmental degradation: a case of transport sector. Environ Sci Pollut Res 26, 32824–32835 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-06372-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-019-06372-8

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