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Are shocks to renewable energy consumption permanent or temporary? Evidence from 54 developing and developed countries

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Abstract

The renewable energy sources are considered as the important factor to decrease the level of carbon emissions and to promote the global green economy. Understanding the dynamics of renewable energy consumption, this paper analyzes whether there is a unit root in renewable energy consumption in 54 countries over the period 1971–2016. To this end, the unit root test of Narayan–Popp with two endogenous (unknown) breaks is implemented. The paper finds that renewable energy consumption series are stationary around a level and the time trend in 45 of 54 countries. In other words, renewable energy consumption follows a unit root process only in nine countries: Brazil, China, Colombia, India, Israel, Japan, the Netherlands, Spain, and Turkey. The evidence implies that renewable energy demand policies, which aimed to decrease the carbon emissions, will only have permanent effects in those nine countries.

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Notes

  1. See, Smyth (2013) and Smyth and Narayan (2015) for a review of the literature.

  2. There is also the recent and the robust unit root test by Narayan and Liu (2015) to model the time trend in the energy variables (time-series). For the implications of the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH)-based unit root of Narayan and Liu (2015), see e.g., Charfeddine (2016), Chou and Tseng (2016), Mishra and Smyth (2016), Narayan et al. (2016), Salisu and Adeleke (2016), and Zhang and Yao (2016).

  3. See Table 1 for the countries in the dataset.

  4. As regards the stationarity tests with structural breaks, the Clemente–Montanes–Reyes, the Lee–Strazicich, the Lumsdaine–Papell, and the Zivot–Andrews tests are also considered as the robustness and the sensitivity checks. However, we did not report their results to save space.

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Correspondence to Giray Gozgor.

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Responsible editor: Philippe Garrigues

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Demir, E., Gozgor, G. Are shocks to renewable energy consumption permanent or temporary? Evidence from 54 developing and developed countries. Environ Sci Pollut Res 25, 3785–3792 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-017-0801-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-017-0801-9

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