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Utilisation of machine learning to predict surgical candidates for the treatment of childhood upper airway obstruction

  • Sleep Breathing Physiology and Disorders • Original Article
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Abstract

Objective

To investigate the effect of adenotonsillectomy on OSAS symptoms based on a data-driven approach and thereby identify criteria that may help avoid unnecessary surgery in children with OSAS.

Methods

In 323 children enrolled in the Childhood Adenotonsillectomy Trial, randomised to undergo either early adenotonsillectomy (eAT; N = 165) or a strategy of watchful waiting with supportive care (WWSC; N = 158), the apnea-hypopnea index, heart period pattern dynamics, and thoraco-abdominal asynchrony measurements from overnight polysomnography (PSG) were measured. Using machine learning, all children were classified into one of two different clusters based on those features. The cluster transitions between follow-up and baseline PSG were investigated for each to predict those children who recovered spontaneously, following surgery and those who did not benefit from surgery.

Results

The two clusters showed significant differences in OSAS symptoms, where children assigned in cluster A had fewer physiological and neurophysiological symptoms than cluster B. Whilst the majority of children were assigned to cluster A, those children who underwent surgery were more likely to stay in cluster A after seven months. Those children who were in cluster B at baseline PSG were more likely to have their symptoms reversed via surgery. Children who were assigned to cluster B at both baseline and 7 months after surgery had significantly higher end-tidal carbon dioxide at baseline. Children who spontaneously changed from cluster B to A presented highly problematic ratings in behaviour and emotional regulation at baseline.

Conclusions

Data-driven analysis demonstrated that AT helps to reverse and to prevent the worsening of the pathophysiological symptoms in children with OSAS. Multiple pathophysiological markers used with machine learning can capture more comprehensive information on childhood OSAS. Children with mild physiological and neurophysiological symptoms could avoid AT, and children who have UAO symptoms post AT may have sleep-related hypoventilation disease which requires further investigation. Furthermore, the findings may help surgeons more accurately predict children on whom they should perform AT.

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Acknowledgements

We would like to thank Michael Rueschman, Division of Sleep and Circadian Disorders, Brigham and Women’s Hospital, Boston, MA, USA for support with handling and interpreting the CHAT dataset. Xiao Liu, Sarah Immanuel, and Mathias Baumert had full access to all of the data in the study and take responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis. Yvonne Pamula, James Martin, and Declan Kennedy contributed substantially to the interpretation and the writing of the manuscript.

Funding

The Childhood Adenotonsillectomy Trial (CHAT) was supported by the National Institutes of Health (HL083075, HL083129, UL1-RR-024134, UL1 RR024989). The National Sleep Research Resource was supported by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute (R24 HL114473, 75N92019R002).

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Correspondence to Xiao Liu or Mathias Baumert.

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All procedures performed in studies involving human participants were in accordance with the ethical standards of the institutional research committee of each paticipating institution and with the 1964 Helsinki declaration and its later amendments or comparable ethical standards.

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Informed consent was obtained from all individual participants included in the study.

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All authors certify that they have no affiliations with or involvement in any organisation or entity with any financial interest (such as honoraria; educational grants; participation in speakers' bureaus; membership, employment, consultancies, stock ownership, or other equity interest; and expert testimony or patent-licencing arrangements), or nonfinancial interest (such as personal or professional relationships, affiliations, knowledge or beliefs) in the subject matter or materials discussed in this manuscript.

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Statement of significance

This study shows that machine learning can help stratify children with obstructive sleep apnea syndrome. We identified previously unreported baseline differences in children who reversed cardiorespiratory symptoms spontaneously and therefore, could avoid surgery. The combination of OAHI3, N2 event-free heart period pattern dynamics and N3 event-free thoraco-abdominal asynchrony measurements may help identify children with mild-to-moderate symptoms who do not require surgery.

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Liu, X., Pamula, Y., Immanuel, S. et al. Utilisation of machine learning to predict surgical candidates for the treatment of childhood upper airway obstruction. Sleep Breath 26, 649–661 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11325-021-02425-w

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11325-021-02425-w

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