Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

Behavioral and emotional responses to escalating terrorism threat

  • Published:
Mind & Society Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

We conducted an online study of projected behavioral and emotional responses to escalating terrorist threat. The study employed scenarios in which terrorists targeted commercial airliners with missiles at an international airport. An important feature of attacks on commercial flights is that unlike many other terrorist threats, exposure to the risk can be controlled simply be refusing to fly. Nine scenarios were constructed by crossing two between-subjects factors, each with three levels: (1) planned government protective actions and (2) social norm, expressed as variation in airline ticket sales. Scenarios also incorporated descriptions of three increasingly severe attacks; this was a within-subjects factor. After each description, we asked respondents to imagine they had planned a vacation to a destination 2,500 km away, and we examined their projected fear and behavior. Fear increased and more trips were canceled as the attacks escalated. Government protective actions and social norm had little impact on either fear or planned flying.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5
Fig. 6

Similar content being viewed by others

References

  • Anderson NH (1981) Foundations of information integration theory. Academic Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Baumert T, Weiss DJ, Buesa M, Valino A, John R, Rosoff H, Hovsepian M (2009, August) Terrorists scare us, but will they interfere with our plans? In: Paper presented at the bi-annual conference on subjective probability, utility, and decision making, Rovereto, Italy

  • Bergstrom RL, McCaul KD (2004) Perceived risk and worry: the effects of 9/11 on willingness to fly. J Appl Soc Psychol 34:1846–1856

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Birnbaum MH (1999) How to show that 9 > 221: collect judgments in a between-subjects design. Psychol Methods 4:243–249

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Burns WJ, Slovic P (2007) The diffusion of fear: modeling community response to a terrorist strike. J Def Model Simul 4:1–20

    Google Scholar 

  • Burns WJ, Slovic P, Kasperson RE, Kasperson JX, Renn O, Emani S (1993) Incorporating structural models into research on the social amplification of risk: implications for theory construction and decision making. Risk Anal 13:611–623

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cannon WB (1932) The wisdom of the body. Norton, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • de Kort YAW, McCalley LT, Midden CJH (2008) Persuasive trash cans: activation of littering norms by design. Environ Behav 40:870–891

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dillon RL, Tinsley CH (2008) How near-misses influence decision making under risk: a missed opportunity for learning. Manag Sci 54:1425–1440

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Eisenman DP, Wold C, Fielding J, Long A, Setodji C, Hickey S, Gelberg L (2006) Differences in individual-level terrorism preparedness in Los Angeles County. Am J Prev Med 30:1–6

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fischhoff B, Bruine de Bruin W, Perrin W, Downs J (2004) Travel risks in a time of terror: judgments and choices. Risk Anal 24:1301–1309

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gigerenzer G (2004) Dread risk, September 11, and fatal traffic accidents. Psychol Sci 15:286–287

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gigerenzer G (2006) Out of the frying pan into the fire: behavioral reactions to terrorist attacks. Risk Anal 26:347–351

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gordon P, Moore JE, Park JY II, Richardson HW (2007) The economic impacts of a terrorist attack on the U.S. commercial aviation system. Risk Anal 27:505–512

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Göritz AS (2014) Determinants of the starting rate and the completion rate in online panels. In: Callegaro M, Baker R, Bethlehem J, Göritz AS, Krosnick JA, Lavrakas PJ (eds) Online panel research: a data quality perspective. Wiley, Chichester, pp 154–170

    Chapter  Google Scholar 

  • Gray C, Russell P, Blockley S (1991) The effects upon helping behaviour of wearing pro-gay identification. Br J Soc Psychol 30:171–178

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grice GR (1966) Dependence of empirical laws upon the source of experimental variation. Psychol Bull 66:488–498

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hall JM (2005) Responses of adults in the Southeast to events of September 11: six months later. Issues Ment Health Nurs 26:415–432

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hsee CK (1996) The evaluability hypothesis: an explanation for preference reversals between joint and separate evaluations of alternatives. Organ Behav Hum Decis Process 67:247–257

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hyams K, Murphy F, Wessely S (2002) Combating terrorism: recommendations for dealing with the long term health consequences of a chemical, biological or nuclear attack. J Health Polit Policy 27:273–291

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kasperson RE, Renn O, Slovic P, Brown H, Emel J, Goble R, Kasperson J (1988) The social amplification of risk: a conceptual framework. Risk Anal 8:177–187

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lerner JS, Gonzalez RM, Small DA, Fischhoff B (2003) Effects of fear and anger on perceived risks of terrorism. A national field experiment. Psychol Sci 14:144–150

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Levitt SB, List JA (2007) Viewpoint: on the generalizability of lab behaviour to the field. Can J Econ 40:347–370

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Loewenstein G (2005) Hot-cold empathy gaps and medical decision making. Health Psychol 24:49–56

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lopez-Rousseau A (2005) Avoiding the death risk of avoiding a dread risk. Psychol Sci 16:426–428

    Google Scholar 

  • Louviere JJ (1988) Conjoint analysis modeling of stated preferences: a review of theory, methods, recent developments and external validity. J Transport Econ Policy 22:93–119

    Google Scholar 

  • Marshall RD, Bryant RA, Amsel L, Suh EJ, Cook JM, Neria Y (2007) The psychology of ongoing threat: relative risk appraisal, the September 11 attacks, and terrorism-related fears. Am Psychol 64:302–316

    Google Scholar 

  • Okpara U, Bier VM (2008) Securing passenger aircraft from the threat of Man-Portable-Air Defense Systems (MANPADS). Risk Anal 28:1583–1599

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Parducci A (1995) Happiness, pleasure, and judgment: the contextual theory and its applications. Lawrence Erlbaum Associates, Mahwah

    Google Scholar 

  • Post JM (2007) The mind of the terrorist. Palgrave Macmillan, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Powell L, Self W (2004) Personalized fear, personalized control, and reactions to the September 11 attacks. N Am J Psychol 6:55–70

    Google Scholar 

  • Rottenstreich Y, Hsee C (2001) Money, kisses, and electric shocks: on the affective psychology of risk. Psychol Sci 12:185–190

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schuster MA, Stein BD, Jaycox LH, Collins RL, Marshall GN, Elliott MN, Zhou AJ (2001) A national survey of stress reactions after the September 11, 2001 terrorist attacks. N Engl J Med 345:1507–1512

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Shahrabani S, Benzion U, Shavit T (2009) Recalled emotions and risk judgments: field study of the 2006 Israel–Lebanon War. Judgm Decis Mak 4:326–336

    Google Scholar 

  • Sjöberg L (2003) The different dynamics of personal and general risk. Risk Manag Int J 5:19–34

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Slovic P (1987) Perception of risk. Science 236:280–285

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Sunstein CR, Zeckhauser R (2010) Dreadful possibilities, neglected probabilities. In: Michal-Kerjan E, Slovic P (eds) The irrational economist: making decisions in a dangerous world. Public Affairs Press, New York, pp 116–123

    Google Scholar 

  • Weiss DJ (2006) Analysis of variance and functional measurement: a practical guide. Oxford University Press, New York

    Google Scholar 

  • Weiss DJ (2009) Nominal analysis of “variance”. Behav Res Methods 41:901–908

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Weiss DJ (2012) The use of factorial forecasting to predict public response. Psicológica 33:695–710

    Google Scholar 

  • West DM, Orr M (2005) Managing citizen fears: public attitudes toward urban terrorism. Urban Aff Rev 41:93–105

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Zeidner M (2006) Individual differences in psychological reactions to terror attack. Pers Individ Dif 40:771–781

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Acknowledgments

This work was supported by research Grant GO 1107/10-1 from the German Research Foundation (DFG) to Anja Göritz. We wish to thank Richard John and Heather Rosoff for their contributions to scenario construction and the experimental design.

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Anja S. Göritz.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Göritz, A.S., Weiss, D.J. Behavioral and emotional responses to escalating terrorism threat. Mind Soc 13, 285–295 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11299-014-0147-7

Download citation

  • Received:

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11299-014-0147-7

Keywords

Navigation