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Table 6 Violent crime presence/absence during treatment shift: treatment condition MCMC results

From: The Philadelphia predictive policing experiment

     

Mean b

Mean OR

Fixed portion of model

Mean OR

Mean b

SD of b

p

95% LCL

95% UCL

95% LCL

95% UCL

Constant (control)

0.327

− 1.118

0.427

0.005

− 2.005

− 0.316

0.135

0.729

N of cells (centered)

1.008

0.008

0.005

0.048

− 0.001

0.018

0.999

1.019

Awareness

1.624

0.485

0.591

0.191

− 0.651

1.701

0.522

5.481

Unmarked

0.952

− 0.050

0.609

0.468

− 1.284

1.139

0.277

3.124

Marked

1.404

0.339

0.589

0.267

− 0.839

1.508

0.432

4.519

Random portion of model

 

Mean

SD

     

District level variation

 

0.467

0.444

 

0.003

1.598

  
  1. N = 280 district–weeks