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Table 5 Property crime count during treatment shift: treatment condition MCMC results

From: The Philadelphia predictive policing experiment

     

Mean b weight

Mean IRR

Fixed portion of model

Mean IRR

Mean b

SD of b

p

95% LCL

95% UCL

95% LCL

95% UCL

Constant (control)

0.933

− 0.069

0.331

0.411

− 0.731

0.603

0.482

1.828

N of cells (centered)

1.010

0.010

0.002

< 0.001

0.006

0.015

1.006

1.015

Awareness

1.112

0.106

0.461

0.398

− 0.838

1.012

0.432

2.752

Unmarked

1.128

0.121

0.476

0.388

− 0.854

1.044

0.426

2.841

Marked

0.694

− 0.366

0.470

0.208

− 1.303

0.574

0.272

1.775

Random portion of model

 

Mean

SD

     

District level variation

0.460

0.246

 

0.161

1.088

  

Overdispersion

 

0.036

0.040

 

0.002

0.148

  
  1. N = 280 district–weeks