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Table 4 Property crime presence/absence during treatment shift: treatment condition logit model MCMC results

From: The Philadelphia predictive policing experiment

     

Mean b weight

Mean OR

Fixed portion of model

Mean OR

Mean b

SD of b

p

95% LCL

95% UCL

95% LCL

95% UCL

Constant (control)

2.185

0.782

0.614

0.093

− 0.427

2.008

0.652

7.449

N of cells (centered)

1.017

0.017

0.005

< 0.001

0.008

0.027

1.008

1.027

Awareness

0.928

− 0.075

0.864

0.459

− 1.798

1.666

0.166

5.292

Unmarked

1.025

0.025

0.892

0.489

− 1.759

1.796

0.172

6.024

Marked

0.448

− 0.802

0.862

0.166

− 2.558

0.887

0.077

2.429

Random portion of model

Mean

SD

 

95% LCL

95% UCL

  

District level variation

1.430

0.871

 

0.382

3.632

  
  1. N = 280 district–weeks