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Altitudinal Migration of Species of Fir (Abies spp.) in Adaptation to Climate Change

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Abstract

Global climate change is considered an irreversible problem, which might directly or indirectly affect all the organisms and ecosystems on the earth and the world has to struggle with. Plants having no effective movement mechanism are the group that global climate change will affect the most. In order to minimize the species and population losses, it is important to estimate the changes in the available distribution areas of species and to ensure the migration mechanism, which the species will need, by the hand of humans. The present study aims to reveal how potential distribution areas of fir, which is among the significant tree species of Turkey and significant portion of global distribution of which is in Turkey, will change from an altitudinal aspect because of the climate change. The results achieved showed that, because of the effects of global climate change, the suitable distribution areas of Abies nordmanniana subsp. nordmanniana will significantly decrease especially at high altitudes and that suitable distribution areas of Abies nordmanniana subsp. equi-trojani will reduce at altitudes higher than 1400 m but increase generally at the altitudes between 200 and 600 m. Moreover, suitable distribution areas of Abies cilicica will shift towards higher altitudes.

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Data Availability

The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request. All data are given in manuscript. Data came from the Turkish State of Meteorological Service, https://www.mgm.gov.tr/eng/forecast-cities.aspx. The authors thank the support of the Republic of Turkey Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, General Directorate of Forest Engineering and the General Directorate of Meteorology for their prompt responses to our requests.

Code Availability

Not applicable.

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Acknowledgements

This study is produced from the MSc thesis titled as “Possible Effects of Global Climate Change on Distribution Areas of Fir (Abies spp.) Species in Türkiye” conducted at Kastamonu University, Graduate School of Science and Engineering, Sustainable Agriculture and Natural Plant Resources Department.

The authors thank the support of the Republic of Turkey Ministry of Agriculture and Forestry, General Directorate of Forest Engineering and the General Directorate of Meteorology for their prompt responses to our requests.

Funding

Tubitak YOK 100/2000 Scholarship

Author information

Author notes

  1. Ilknur Zeren Cetin

    Present address: Department of Park and Garden Plants, Program of Landscape and Ornamental Plants Cultivation, Samsun Vocational School, Ondokuz Mayis University, Samsun, Turkey

Authors and Affiliations

  1. Institute of Science and Engineering, Department of Sustainable Agriculture and Natural Plant Resources, Kastamonu University, Kastamonu, Turkey

    Oktay Tekin

  2. Faculty of Architecture, Department of City and Regional Planning, Ondokuz Mayis University, Samsun, Turkey

    Mehmet Cetin

  3. Faculty of Forestry, Department of Forest Engineering, Bartin, Turkey

    Tugrul Varol

  4. Faculty of Forestry, Department of Forest Engineering, Bartin University, Bartin, Turkey

    Halil Baris Ozel

  5. Faculty of Engineering and Architecture, Department of Environmental Engineering, Kastamonu University, Kuzeykent Campus, 37150, Kastamonu, Turkey

    Hakan Sevik

  6. YOK 100/2000 Scholarship, Program of Sustainable Forestry, Institute of Graduate School, Department of Forest Engineering, Bartin University, Bartin, Turkey

    Ilknur Zeren Cetin

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Contributions

Halil, Tugrul, Hakan, Oktay, Ilknur designed the study and performed the experiments; and Tugrul, Oktay, Ilknur, Mehmet performed the experiments, analyzed the data, and wrote the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Ilknur Zeren Cetin.

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Tekin, O., Cetin, M., Varol, T. et al. Altitudinal Migration of Species of Fir (Abies spp.) in Adaptation to Climate Change. Water Air Soil Pollut 233, 385 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11270-022-05851-y

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