Abstract
Under the dual influences of precipitation and human activities, urban runoff has significantly changed. It is important to evaluate how precipitation characteristics and human activities may affect city runoff in the aspect of alleviating urban flooding problems. The impact of precipitation concentration and human activities on urban runoff was studied by hydro-statistical methods, to provide a scientific basis for the evolution regularity of urban runoff and the urban flood control. The investigation of sudden alterations in runoff was carried out utilizing two approaches—the method of Mann–Kendall test and the technique of double accumulation curve. Then, a regression model was used to analyze the relationship between the precipitation concentration and runoff during different periods. Using the SCRCQ method, we examined how changes in runoff are influenced by the concentration of precipitation and human activities. This research took Guangzhou city as a case study, analyzing the alteration in runoff from 1970 to 2020. The results indicated a rise in runoff of 132.9 mm between 2013 and 2020, attributable to the combined impacts of precipitation concentration and human activities. Specifically, human activities contributed to a runoff increase of 141.4 mm, while the decrease in precipitation concentration resulted in a runoff decrease of 8.5 mm. Human activities displayed a significant contribution rate of 94% to runoff, whereas the contribution rate of precipitation concentration was -6%. This research provides a scientific basis for alleviating urban floods.
Similar content being viewed by others
Data Availability
The data that support the findings of this study are available at disc.gsfc.nasa.gov. These data were derived from the following resources available in the public domain: disc.gsfc.nasa.gov.
References
Ahmed N, Wang G, Booij MJ et al (2022) Separation of the Impact of Landuse/Landcover Change and Climate Change on Runoff in the Upstream Area of the Yangtze River, China. Water Resour Manage 36:181–201. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-021-03021-z
Alavinia M, Saleh FN, Asadi H (2019) Effects of rainfall patterns on runoff and rainfall induced erosion. Int J Sediment Res 34:270–278. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijsrc.2018.11.001
Alehu BA, Bitana SG (2023) Assessment of Climate Change Impact on Water Balance of Lake Hawassa Catchment. Environ Process 10:14. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40710-023-00626-x
Amin MZM et al (2017) Future climate change impact assessment of watershed scale hydro-logic processes in Peninsular Malaysia by a regional climate model coupled with a physically based hydrology model. Sci Total Environ 575:12–22. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.10.009
Burgan HI (2022) The short-term and seasonal trend detection of sediment discharges in Turkish rivers. Rocz Ochr Środowiska 24:214–230. https://doi.org/10.54740/ros.2022.016
Cao Y et al (2019) Analysis on the Influence Factors on Surface Runoff in the Urban Area of Kunming City. Res Soil Water Conserv 26(02):139–144+152. https://doi.org/10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2019.02.020
Emmanuel I, Andeieu H, Leblois E et al (2015) Influence of rainfall spatial variability on rainfall-runoff modelling: benefit of a simulation approach? J Hydrol 531:337. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.04.058
Feng Z, Liu S, Guo Y, Liu X (2023) Runoff Responses of Various Driving Factors in a Typical Basin in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Area. Remote Sensing 15(4):1027. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs15041027
Huang C, Yang Q, Huang W, Zhang J, Li Y, Yang Y (2018) Hydrological Response to Precipitation and Human Activities—A Case Study in the Zuli River Basin, China. Int J Env Res Pub He 15(12):2780. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph15122780
Huang XJ, Lu YH, Yin Z (2020) Leading the reform and development practice of Guangzhou in the new era with new development concepts. Guangdong Econ (02):54–59
Kaboli S et al (2021) Variation in physical characteristics of rainfall in Iran, determined using daily rainfall concentration index and monthly rainfall percentage index. Theor Appl Climatol 144:507–520. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-021-03553-9
Kang YN, Tiang YN (2022) Impact of spatial and temporal rainfall variation on runoff and sediment transport in Jinghe River Basin. Water Res Pow 40(01):10–13
Li D et al (2022a) Rainstorm runoff interception characteristics of multi-pond constructed wetland. Res Environ Sci (02):1001–6929. https://doi.org/10.13198/j.issn.1001-6929.2022.02.12
Li EH, Mu XM, Zhao GJ (2014) Temporal changes in annual runoff and influential factors in the upper and middle reaches of Yellow River from 1919–2010. Adv Water Resour 25(2):155–163
Li GF et al (2022b) Effects of rainfall and cropping patterns on the soil erosion characteristics of lateritic red soil slope. Res Soil Water Conserv 20(01):65–73. https://doi.org/10.16843/j.sswc.2022.01.009
Liang PF, Li zongjie, Xin ZJ et al (2022) Characteristics of runoff changes and influencing factors in the source region of the Yellow River [J]. J Water Resour Water Eng 33(04):64–71. https://doi.org/10.11705/j.issn.1672-643X.2022.04.09
Liu J, Ren Y, Zhang W (2022) Study on the influence of climate and underlying surface change on runoff in the Yarlung Zangbo River basin. J Glaciol Geocryol 44(01):275–287. https://doi.org/10.7522/j.issn.1000-0240.2022.0036
Liu J, Yin YY, Sha XJ et al (2016) Multivariate statistical analysis of influence of underlying surface change on runoff. Water Resour Protect 32(02):41–44. https://doi.org/10.3880/j.issn.1004-6933.2016.02.009
Liu M et al (2014) Is southwestern China experiencing more frequent precipitation extremes. Environ Res Lett 9(6). https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/6/064002
Liu ZX et al (2020) Attribution of runoff changes in the Taohe River basin under changing environment. Res Soil Water Conserv 27(5):87–92, 100. https://doi.org/10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2020.05.012
Rodell M, Houser PR, Jambor U et al (2004) The Global Land Data Assimilation System. Bull Amer Meteor Soc 85:381–394. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-85-3-381
Sansom J, Bulia J, Carey-smith T et al (2017) The impact of conventional space-time aggregation on the dynamics of continuous-time rainfall. Water Resour Res 53(11):5257. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR021074
Shi W, He Y, Shao Y (2023) Attribution Analysis of Runoff Change and Its Influencing Factors in the Upper Reaches of Jialing River. J Soil Water Conserv 37(03):124–131. https://doi.org/10.13870/j.cnki.stbcxb.2023.03.017
Smith A, Tetzlaff D, Marx C et al (2023) Enhancing urban runoff modelling using water stable isotopes and ages in complex catchments. Hydrol Process 37:e14814. https://doi.org/10.1002/hyp.14814
Suiji W et al (2012) Contributions of precipitation and human Activities to the runoff change of the Huangfuchuan drainage basin: application of comparative method of the slope changing ratio of cumulative quantity. Acta Geogr Sin 67(03):388–397
Tao Y et al (2011) Advances in the study of projection of climate change impacts on hydrological extremes. Adv Water Resour 22(2):279–286. https://doi.org/10.14042/j.cnki.32.1309.2011.02.015
Veldhuis MT, Zhou Z, Yang L et al (2018) The role of storm scale, position and movement in controlling urban flood response. Hydrol Earth Syst Sci 22:417. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-417-2018
Wright DB, Smith JA, Baeck ML (2014) Flood frequency analysis using radar rainfall fields and stochastic storm transposition. Water Resour Res 50(2):1592. https://doi.org/10.1002/2013WR014224
Wu L, Zhang X, Hao F, Wu Y, Li C, Xu Y (2020) Evaluating the contributions of climate change and human activities to runoff in typical semi-arid area, China. J Hydrol 590:125555. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.125555
Xiu-lan W et al (2017) The methods of consistency test and correction for natural annual runoff Series. Water Sci Eng Tech (06):62–65. https://doi.org/10.19733/j.cnki.1672-9900.2017.06.020
Xu C, Chen H, Guo S (2013) Hydrological modeling in a changing environment: Issues and challenges. Water Resour Res 2(2):85–95. https://doi.org/10.12677/jwrr.2013.22013
Zhang LJ, Qian YF (2003) Annual distribution features of the yearly precipitation in China and their interannual variations. Acta Meteorol 17(02):146–163
Zhang J, Yu X (2021) Analysis of land use change and its influence on runoff in the Puhe River Basin. Environ Sci Pollut Res 28:40116–40125. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-09798-7
Zhou J, Chen S (2021) Analysis on Characteristics of Rainstorm in South China During the Previous Flood Season from 1951–2018. Res Soil Water Conserv. 28(03):163–169+176. https://doi.org/10.13869/j.cnki.rswc.2021.03.019
Zhou Q, Leng G, Su J et al (2019) Comparison of urbanization and climate change impacts on urban flood volumes: importance of urban planning and drainage adaptation. Sci Total Environ 658:24. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.12.184
Funding
This research was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (NO.2021YFC3000204) and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. NSCF-52079125).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
The study conception and design received contributions from all authors. [Cuimei Lv], [Minhua Ling], and [Wenjing Xu] conducted material preparation, data collection, and analysis. [Xinrui Wang] initially composed the manuscript, while all authors provided input and feedback on earlier iterations. The final manuscript was thoroughly reviewed and endorsed by all authors.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Competing Interests
The authors affirm that they possess no recognized conflicting financial concerns or personal connections that may have seemed to impact the research detailed in this manuscript.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.
About this article
Cite this article
Lv, C., Wang, X., Ling, M. et al. Effects of Precipitation Concentration and Human Activities On City Runoff Changes. Water Resour Manage 37, 5023–5036 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-023-03593-y
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-023-03593-y