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Evaluation of the Bankruptcy Approach for Water Resources Allocation Conflict Resolution at Basin Scale, Iran’s Lake Urmia Experience

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Abstract

Water conflicts appear when there are insufficient and less available water resources than water demands claimed by different agents. In this study, a new bankruptcy approach is investigated to resolve water conflicts in the Zarrinehroud River Basin, the largest and most important sub-basin of Lake Urmia’s Basin in the northwest of Iran. The new bankruptcy method is compared with the proportional rule (PRO) and another alternative based on the cessation of irrigated agriculture in the region proposed to supply and save environmentally in danger Lake Urmia. Four scenarios consisting of the current situation, optimistic, average and pessimistic scenarios regarding the future of water resources of the basin and agricultural developments were considered. According to the results, both bankruptcy rules helped Lake Urmia to receive more water, but neither could utterly overcome the water shortage of the Lake, so can be used as supplementary actions alongside other solutions. The cessation of irrigated agriculture throughout the basin overcame the average annual shortage of Lake Urmia in the first and second scenarios equal to 137 and 148 million cubic meters respectively. It showed disability to fully supply the lake in the third and fourth scenarios. These three methods must be combined with a social-economic policy like the purchase of decreased water allocations to farmers to be socially acceptable.

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Acknowledgments

The authors would like to express their appreciation to the personnel of Iran’s Water Resources Management Company, specifically Seyed Morteza Mousavi, Abdolkarim Fani Hagh, Seyed Hadi Mirkiaee and Mohammad Ghasem Razmjou for their practical help, close cooperation and technical assistance. Kind acknowledgment is also directed to Sina Nabaei for his expert advice.

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Correspondence to Mojtaba Shourian.

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Oftadeh, E., Shourian, M. & Saghafian, B. Evaluation of the Bankruptcy Approach for Water Resources Allocation Conflict Resolution at Basin Scale, Iran’s Lake Urmia Experience. Water Resour Manage 30, 3519–3533 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-016-1368-9

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-016-1368-9

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