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Establishing Reference Conditions for Lake Water Quality: A Novel Extrapolation Approach

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Abstract

The serious lake eutrophication has drawn increasingly attention, requiring further and deeper knowledge to understand its restriction factors of pre-disturbance conditions or historical reference conditions. In the meanwhile, Lake Nutrient Reference Conditions (LNRCs) are important indicators of eutrophication but hardly determined in the presence of eutrophication. In this research, a novel extrapolation approach was raised to determine LNRCs and its impacts on eutrophication, with the integral model of Optimal Map Recognition (OMR) and Pattern Recognition Inverse Mapping (PRIM). Validated with public data and experimental simulation, the approach was suggested as a reliable extrapolation for LNRCs determination. Further case study on Dianshan Lake and Chenghai Lake applied the novel extrapolation model in real eutrophication estimation and prediction, the results of which were in good agreement with those deduced by other techniques.

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Acknowledgement

The authors would like to thank the financial support from the Mega-projects of Science Research for National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 21107067), Water Environment Improvement (No. 2009ZX07106-001), and Shanghai Leading Academic Discipline Project (No. S30109). We appreciate Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences and Shanghai Research Academy of Environmental Sciences for technical support.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Environmental and Chemical Engineering, Shanghai University, No. 333, Nanchen Road, Shanghai, 200444, People’s Republic of China

    Yunfeng Xu & Guangren Qian

  2. State Key Laboratory of Environmental Criteria and Risk Assessment, Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, No. 8, Dayangfang, Beijing, 100012, People’s Republic of China

    Chunzi Ma, Shouliang Huo & Beidou Xi

  3. Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster, LA1 4YQ, UK

    Dayi Zhang

  4. ARC Centre of Excellence for Functional Nanomaterials, Australian Institute for Bioengineering and Nanotechnology, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, Queensland, 4072, Australia

    Zhiping Xu

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  1. Yunfeng Xu
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  2. Chunzi Ma
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  3. Shouliang Huo
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  4. Dayi Zhang
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  5. Zhiping Xu
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  6. Guangren Qian
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  7. Beidou Xi
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Correspondence to Guangren Qian or Beidou Xi.

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Xu, Y., Ma, C., Huo, S. et al. Establishing Reference Conditions for Lake Water Quality: A Novel Extrapolation Approach. Water Resour Manage 28, 2161–2178 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0604-4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0604-4

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