Abstract
Changes in precipitation exerts a huge impact on human beings and it is of vital importance to study the regular pattern of meteorological and hydrological factors. In order to explore the changing patterns of precipitation in Sichuan province in west China during 1961–2008, several precipitation related indices were analysed by the Mann–Kendall test. For monthly precipitation, significant increasing trends are mainly found during January, March and June, while significant decreasing trends mostly are observed during July, September and October. Most of extreme precipitation indices are decreasing. Especially the annual total precipitation in wet days and maximum number of consecutive wet days show significant negative trends. Furthermore, the spatial and temporal variation of dryness/wetness has been assessed by Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and principal component analysis (PCA) on 24-month time scales. The results demonstrated noticeable spatial patterns with several sub-regions characterized by different trends: a remarkable dry tendency prevails in central and east Sichuan, while the other areas are dominated by a wet tendency.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Banimahd SA, Khalili D (2013) Factors influencing Markov chains predictability characteristics, utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI drought indices in different climatic zones. Water Resour Manag 27(11):3911–3928
Bazrafshan J, Hejabi S, Rahimi J (2014) Drought monitoring using the Multivariate Standardized Precipitation Index (MSPI). Water Resour Manag. doi:10.1007/s11269-014-0533-2
Becker S, Gemmer M, Jiang T (2006) Spatiotemporal analysis of precipitation trends in the Yangtze River catchment. Stoch Env Res Risk A 20(6):435–444
Bordi I, Fraedrich K, Jiang JM, Sutera A (2004a) Spatiotemporal variability of dry and wet periods in eastern China. Theor Appl Climatol 79(1–2):81–91
Bordi I, Fraedrich K, Gerstengarbe FW, Werner PC, Sutera A (2004b) Potential predictability of dry and wet periods: Sicily and Elbe-Basin (Germany). Theor Appl Climatol 77(3–4):125–138
Chen C, Pang YM, Pan XB (2010) Analysis of variation characteristics of air temperature and precipitation in Sichuan Basin in recent half century. Chin J Agrometeorol 31(supplement 1):27–31, in Chinese
Gemmer M, Jiang T, Su B, Kundzewicz ZW (2008) Seasonal precipitation changes in the wet season and their influence on flood/drought hazards in the Yangtze River Basin, China. Quat Int 186:12–21
Hu HR, Mao XL, Liang L (2009) Temporal and spatial variations of extreme precipitation events of flood season over Sichuan Basin in last 50 years. Acta Geograph Sin 64(3):278–288 (in Chinese)
Huang J, Sun SL, Zhang JC (2013a) Detection of trends in precipitation during 1960–2008 in Jiangxi province, southeast China. Theor Appl Climatol 114(1–2):237–251
Huang J, Zhang J, Zhang Z, Xu CY (2013b) Spatial and temporal variations in rainfall erosivity during 1960–2005 in the Yangtze River basin. Stoch Env Res Risk A 27(2):337–351
Huang J, Sl S, Xue Y, Zhang JC (2014) Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation indices during 1961–2010 in Hunan Province, central south China. Theor Appl Climatol. doi:10.1007/s00704-013-1087-6
Liao GM, Yan JP, Hu NN and Liu Y (2012) Analysis temporal series of precipitation and drought—flood about the recent 50 years in the esat of Sichuan basin. Resources and Environment in the Yangtze Basin 21(9):1160–1166 (in Chinese)
McKee TB, Does ken NJ, Kleist J (1993) The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time steps. In: 8th conference on applied climatology, Anaheim, CA
Raziei T, Saghafian B, Paulo AA, Pereira LS, Bordi I (2009) Spatial patterns and temporal variability of drought in western Iran. Water Resour Manag 23(3):439–455
Santos JF, Pulido-Calvo I, Portela MM (2010) Spatial and temporal variability of droughts in Portugal. Water Resour Res 46(3), W03503
Sen PK (1968) Estimates of regression coefficient based on Kendall’s tau. J Am Stat Assoc 63:1379–1389
Tabari H, Nikbakht J, Talaee PH (2013) Hydrological drought assessment in Northwestern Iran based on Streamflow Drought Index (SDI). Water Resour Manag 27(1):137–151
Wang XL, Yang F (2010) RH tests V3 user manual. http://cccma.seos.uvic.ca/ETCCDI/software.shtml
Wang W, Shao Q, Peng S, Zhang Z, Xing W, An G, Yong B (2011) Spatial and temporal characteristics of changes in precipitation during 1957–2007 in the Haihe River basin, China. Stoch Env Res Risk A 25(7):881–895
Wang W, Xing W, Yang T, Shao Q, Peng S, Yu Z, Yong B (2013) Characterizing the changing behaviors of precipitation concentration in the Yangtze River Basin, China. Hydrol Process 27(24):3375–3393
Yavuz H, Erdoğan S (2012) Spatial analysis of monthly and annual precipitation trends in Turkey. Water Resour Manag 26(3):609–621
Zhang SQ, Ma ZF (2011) Change tendency and cyclicity analysis of extreme precipitation over Sichuan province during 1961–2009. J Nat Res 26(11):1918–1929 (in Chinese)
Zhang Q, Xu CY, Zhang ZX, Chen YD, Liu CL, Lin H (2008) Spatial and temporal variability of precipitation maxima during 1960–2005 in the Yangtze River basin and possible association with large-scale circulation. J Hydrol 353(3):215–227
Zhang Q, Xu CY, Zhang ZX (2009) Observed changes of drought/wetness episodes in the Pearl River basin, China, using the standardized precipitation index and aridity index. Theor Appl Climatol 98:89–99
Zhao GJ, Mu XM, Hörmann G, Fohrer N, Xiong M, Su BD, Li XC (2011) Spatial patterns and temporal variability of dryness/wetness in the Yangtze River Basin, China. Quat Int 282:5–13
Zhou CY, Cen SX, Li YQ, Peng GZ, Yang SQ, Peng J (2011) Precipitation variation and its impacts in Sichuan in the last 50 years. Acta Geograph Sin 66(5):619–630 (in Chinese)
Acknowledgments
This paper was financially supported by Forestry Industry Research special funds for Public Welfare Projects “Study of water resource control function of typical forest vegetation in the region of Yangtze river delta” (No: 201104005-04), fully supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No: 51109109), National Key Technology Research and Development Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (No: 2012BAC23B01, 2012BAD16B0305), National 973 Program (No: 2006CB705809). We would like to thank the National Climate Centre (NCC) in Beijing for providing valuable climate datasets.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Huang, J., Sun, S., Xue, Y. et al. Spatial and Temporal Variability of Precipitation and Dryness/Wetness During 1961–2008 in Sichuan Province, West China. Water Resour Manage 28, 1655–1670 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0572-8
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-014-0572-8