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PCJ River Basins’ Water Availability Caused by Water Diversion Scenarios to Supply Metropolitan Areas of São Paulo

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Abstract

A dynamic systems simulation model of water resources was developed as a tool to help analyze alternatives to water resources management for the Piracicaba, Capivari and Jundiaí River Water Basins (RB-PCJ), and used to run six 50-year simulations from 2004 to 2054. The model estimates water supply and demand, as well as contamination load by several consumers. Six runs were performed using a constant mean precipitation value, changing water supply and demand and different volumes diverted from RB-PCJ to RB-Alto Tietê. For the Business as Usual scenario, the Sustainability Index went from 0.44 in 2004 to 0.20 by 2054. The Water Sustainability Index changed from 74% in 2004 to 131% by 2054. The Falkenmark Index changed from 1,403 m3 person − 1 year − 1 in 2004 to 734 m3 person − 1 year − 1 by 2054. We concluded that sanitation is one of the major problems for the PCJ River Basins.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Commission on Science and Technology for Development, San Salvador, Republic of El Salvador

    Alba María Guadalupe Orellana González

  2. Rural Engineering Department, São Paulo State University (UNESP), São Paulo (SP), Brazil

    Rodrigo Máximo Sánchez-Román

  3. Faculdade de Ciências Agronômicas (FCA-UNESP), Depto. de Engenharia Rural, Universidade Estadual Paulista“Júlio de Mésquita Filho”, Rua José Barbosa de Barros 1780, Botucatu, SP, 18610-307, Brasil

    Rodrigo Máximo Sánchez-Román

  4. Department of Biossystems Engineering (LEB), Universidade de São Paulo, Campus “Luiz de Queiroz” (ESALQ/USP), São Paulo (SP), Brazil

    Marcos Vinicius Folegatti

  5. Water Resources Management, Agrosilvopastoral, Brazilian Agricultural Research Corporation (EMBRAPA), Sinop, MT, Brazil

    Cornélio Alberto Zolin

Authors
  1. Alba María Guadalupe Orellana González
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  2. Rodrigo Máximo Sánchez-Román
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  3. Marcos Vinicius Folegatti
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  4. Cornélio Alberto Zolin
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Rodrigo Máximo Sánchez-Román.

Additional information

A.M.G. Orellana Gonzalez had a FAPESP’s PhD scholarship and it is required by the financial institution (FAPESP) to be recognized as a FAPESP fellow.

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Orellana González, A.M.G., Sánchez-Román, R.M., Folegatti, M.V. et al. PCJ River Basins’ Water Availability Caused by Water Diversion Scenarios to Supply Metropolitan Areas of São Paulo. Water Resour Manage 25, 3371–3386 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-011-9860-8

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-011-9860-8

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