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Modeling real-time data and contextual information from workouts in eCoaching platforms to predict users’ sharing behavior on Facebook

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Abstract

eCoaching platforms have become powerful tools to support users in their day-to-day physical routines. More and more research works show that motivational factors are strictly linked with the user inclination to share her fitness achievements on social media platforms. In this paper, we tackle the problem of analyzing and modeling users’ contextual information and real-time training data by exploiting state-of-the-art classification algorithms, to predict if a user will share her current running workout on Facebook. By analyzing user’s performance, collected by means of an eCoaching platform for runners, and crossing them with contextual information such as the weather, we are able to predict with a high accuracy if the user will post or not on Facebook. Given the positive impact that social media posts have in these scenarios, understanding what are the conditions that lead a user to post or not, can turn the output of the classification process into actionable knowledge. This knowledge can be exploited inside eCoaching platforms to model user behavior in broader and deeper ways, to develop novel forms of intervention and favor users’ motivation on the long term.

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Notes

  1. The reason behind our choice to consider only users that posted at least a workout on Facebook is that the users who never posted a result cannot provide any ground truth in the classification process, regarding the conditions under which they post or not; in the training phase of a classification algorithm this information is key, since it provides instances of the “posted” class.

  2. https://developers.facebook.com/docs/analytics/export.

  3. https://www.wunderground.com/weather/api.

  4. The considered timespan is due to limitations enforced by the third-party services providers.

  5. http://scikit-learn.org.

  6. As shown in Table 1, the trees returned by the algorithm have maximum depth 8, which would allow a motivational algorithm to provide compact explanations to the users on what are the conditions that will lead them to post or not.

  7. https://newsroom.fb.com/news/2018/04/new-privacy-protections/.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank Marika Cappai and Davide Spano for their contribution in this research work. This work is partially funded by Regione Sardegna under Projects AI4fit (Artificial Intelligence & Human Computer Interaction per l’e-coaching), through AIUTI PER PROGETTI DI RICERCA E SVILUPPO - POR FESR SARDEGNA 2014–2020, and NOMAD (Next generation Open Mobile Apps Development), through PIA—Pacchetti Integrati di Agevolazione “Industria Artigianato e Servizi” (annualità 2013).

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Correspondence to Ludovico Boratto.

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Boratto, L., Carta, S., Ibba, F. et al. Modeling real-time data and contextual information from workouts in eCoaching platforms to predict users’ sharing behavior on Facebook. User Model User-Adap Inter 30, 395–411 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11257-019-09229-4

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