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Reduction in NGAL at 48 h predicts the progression to CKD in patients with septic associated AKI: a single-center clinical study

  • Nephrology - Original Paper
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Abstract

Background

In this study, our objective was to investigate the predictive value of serum and urine fluctuations of neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipid transporters (NGAL) in relation to the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) among patients with septic associated AKI (SA-AKI).

Methods

A total of 425 SA-AKI patients were enrolled in this study and divided into the recovery group (n = 320) and the AKI-to-CKD group (n = 105) based on 3-month follow-up data. The serum and urine NGAL levels on the day of AKI diagnosis (T0) and 48 h after anti-AKI treatment (T1) were recorded and calculated.

Results

The levels of NGAL in serum and urine were found to be higher in the AKI-to-CKD group compared to the recovery group at T1 point (P < 0.05). The reductions of NGAL at 48 h in serum and urine were lower in the AKI-to-CKD group than those observed in the recovery group (P < 0.05). In comparison to T0, a significant decrease was noted for both serum and urine NGAL levels on T1 among patients who recovered from AKI (P < 0.05), whereas no such trend was observed among those with AKI-to-CKD transition (P > 0.05). After adjusting age, sex, and BMI through partial correlation analysis, the reduction of serum NGAL was found to be most strongly associated with the transition from AKI to CKD. ROC analysis showed an AUC of 0.832 for serum NGAL reduction, with a cut-off value of − 111.24 ng/ml and sensitivity and rates of 76.2% and 81.2%, respectively. Logistic regression analysis indicated that a reduction of serum NGAL ≥ − 111.24 ng/ml was the early warning indicator for the progression of CKD in SA-AKI patients.

Conclusion

The reduction of serum NGAL following 48 h of anti-AKI therapy represents a distinct hazard factor for the advancement of CKD in patients with SA-AKI, independent of other variables.

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Availability of data and materials

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

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Acknowledgements

The authors would like to thank all of the participants for their time and effort.

Funding

The subject of Yangzhou University affiliated Hospital (2017120406).

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Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Contributions

DCP and ZYF conceived the research. ZYF, CJ and ZYF collected and analyzed the clinical data. ZYF designed the study. ZYF drafted the manuscript. ZYF and DCP reviewed the final manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Ding Chang-ping.

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No potential conflict of interest was reported by the author(s).

Ethics approval and consent to participate

Clinical Research Ethics Committee of Yangzhou university affiliated hospital approved this study (2022-YKL1-20-008). All methods were carried out in accordance with relevant guidelines and regulations.

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Not applicable.

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Ya-fen, Z., Jing, C., Yue-fei, Z. et al. Reduction in NGAL at 48 h predicts the progression to CKD in patients with septic associated AKI: a single-center clinical study. Int Urol Nephrol 56, 607–613 (2024). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11255-023-03689-9

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