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Diachronic Dutch Books and Sleeping Beauty


Hitchcock advances a diachronic Dutch Book argument (DDB) for a 1/3 answer to the Sleeping Beauty problem. Bradley and Leitgeb argue that Hitchcock’s DDB argument fails. We demonstrate the following: (a) Bradley and Leitgeb’s criticism of Hitchcock is unconvincing; (b) nonetheless, there are serious reasons to worry about the success of Hitchcock’s argument; (c) however, it is possible to construct a new DDB for 1/3 about which such worries cannot be raised.

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Correspondence to Joel Pust.

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Draper, K., Pust, J. Diachronic Dutch Books and Sleeping Beauty. Synthese 164, 281–287 (2008).

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  • Sleeping Beauty
  • Christopher Hitchcock
  • Dutch Book argument