Solar Physics

, Volume 250, Issue 1, pp 199–206 | Cite as

Can the Solar Cycle Amplitude Be Predicted Using the Preceding Solar Cycle Length?

Article

Abstract

In this work, the evolution of the relationship between Solar Cycle Length of solar cycle n (SCL n ) and Solar Cycle Amplitude of the solar cycle n+1 (SCA n+1) is studied by using the R Z and R G sunspot numbers. We conclude that this relationship is only strongly significant in a statistical sense during the first half of the historical record of R Z sunspot number whereas it is considerably less significant for the R G sunspot number. In this sense we assert that these simple lagged relationships should be avoided as a valid method to predict the following solar activity amplitude.

Keywords

Solar Activity Solar Cycle Solar Phys Sunspot Number Group Sunspot 

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2008

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Departamento de Física Aplicada, Escuela PolitécnicaUniversidad de ExtremaduraCáceresSpain
  2. 2.Centro de Geofísica da Universidade de LisboaInstituto Geofísico do Infante D. LuizLisbonPortugal
  3. 3.Departamento de Enghenharias e Ciências NaturaisUniversidade LusófonaLisbonPortugal

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