Abstract
Poverty is no longer a problem of income alone. Healthy poverty and capacity poverty have become key factors affecting the poverty reduction effectiveness. Based on “double cut-offs” multidimensional poverty identification method of Alkire and Foster (J Public Econ 95(7–8): 476–487, 2011), this paper proposes a “triple cut-offs” identification method of multidimensional poverty reduction effectiveness, and construct the chronic multidimensional poverty reduction index combined with chronic thinking of Foster (in: Addison T, Hulme D, Kanbur R (eds) Poverty dynamics: interdisciplinary perspectives. Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp 59–76, 2009). And this index can comprehensively and systematically measure the China’s multidimensional poverty reduction effectiveness in terms of both poverty alleviation and poverty returning. In this paper, we find that China's chronic multidimensional poverty alleviation index is greater than the country’s chronic poverty returning index, and the chronic multidimensional poverty alleviation/returning index in rural and western regions is greater than that in its cities and other regions in China. The chronic poverty alleviation of per capita net income and medical insurance have contributed a lot to the overall chronic multidimensional poverty alleviation of China’s rural residents, while poverty returning caused by health and housing difficulties has contributed a lot (48.14%) to the chronic multidimensional poverty alleviation of the country’s urban residents. These findings can provide more targeted guidance for poverty governance.


Notes
The definition of poverty returning has both a broad sense and a narrow sense. The narrow sense refers to the process that the headcount return to poverty from poverty alleviation. The broad sense means all processes from non-poverty to poverty (Jiang and Zheng 2017). Poverty returning in this paper is the broad sense.
For example, from 2010 to 2012 and from 2012 to 2014, it is an intertemporal period. This paper also refers to an intertemporal period as a single period.
Institute of Social Science Survey, Peking University, Peking University Open Research Data Platform, China Family Panel Studies (CFPS), 2015, version V37, https://doi.org/10.18170/DVN/45LCSO, https://doi.org/10.18170/DVN/45LCSO.
References
Arcagni, A., Barbiano di Belgiojoso, E. B., Fattore, M., & Rimoldi, S. M. (2019). Multidimensional analysis of patterns of migrants in Lombardy, using partially ordered sets and selforganizing maps. Social Indicators Research, 141(2), 551–579.
Alaimo, L. S., Arcagni, A., Fattore, M., Maggino, F., & Quondamstefano, V. (2020). Measuring equitable and ustainable well-being in Italian regions: The non-aggregative approach. Social Indicators Research. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-020-02388-7.
Alkire, S., Apablaza, M., Chakravarty, S., & Yalonetzky, G. (2017). Measuring chronic multidimensional poverty. Journal of Policy Modeling, 39(6), 983–1006.
Alkire, S., Apablaza, M., Chakravarty, S. R., & Yalonetzky, G. (2014). Measuring chronic multidimensional poverty: A counting approach. OPHI working paper no. 75
Alkire, S., & Foster, J. (2011). Counting and multidimensional poverty measurement. Journal of Public Economics, 95(7–8), 476–487.
Foster, J. E. (2007). A class of chronic poverty measures. Vanderbilt University working paper no. 07-W01.
Foster, J. E. (2009). A class of chronic poverty measures. In T. Addison, D. Hulme, & R. Kanbur (Eds.), Poverty dynamics: Interdisciplinary perspectives (pp. 59–76). Oxford: Oxford University Press.
Fattore, M. (2016). Partially ordered sets and the measurement of multidimensional ordinal deprivation. Social Indicators Research, 128(2), 835–858.
Fattore, M., & Arcagni, A. (2018). A reduced posetic approach to the measurement of multidimensional ordinal deprivation. Social Indicators Research, 136(3), 1053–1070.
Glauben, T., Herzfeld, T., Rozelle, S., & Wang, X. (2012). Persistent poverty in rural China: Where, why, and how to escape? World Development, 40(4), 784–795.
Jalan, J., & Ravallion, M. (1998). Transient poverty in post reform rural China. Journal of Comparative Economics, 26(2), 338–357.
Jalan, J., & Ravallion, M. (2000). Is transient poverty different? Evidence for rural China. The Journal of Development Studies, 36(6), 82–99.
Jiang, N. P., & Zheng, W. J. (2017). The problem of multidimensional poverty returning among Chinese migrant workers. China Rural Economy, 6, 58–69.
McKay, A., & Lawson, D. (2003). Assessing the extent and nature of chronic poverty in low income countries: Issues and evidence. World Development, 31(3), 425–439.
Ravallion, M. (1988). Expected poverty under risk-induced welfare variability. The Economic Journal, 98(393), 1171–1182.
Rodgers, J. R., & Rodgers, J. L. (1993). Chronic poverty in the United States. The Journal of Human Resources, 28(1), 25–54.
Sączewska-Piotrowska, A. (2016). Transitions into and out of near poverty in urban and rural areas in Poland. In International conference “19th applications of mathematics and statistics in economics”, Banská Štiavnica, vol 31, 2016-4
Wang, C. M., & Hu, Q. Z. (2008). An empirical study of China's income mobility—based on multiple indicators. Management World, 10, 30–40.
Wang, C. M., & Yao, Y. (2010). An empirical study on the dynamic evolution of urban and rural poverty in China: 1990–2005. The Journal of Quantitative & Technical Economics, 27(3), 3–15.
Yang, J., & Mukhopadhaya, P. (2019). Is the ADB’s conjecture on upward trend in poverty for China right? An analysis of income and multidimensional poverty in China. Social Indicators Research, 143(2), 451–477.
Ye, C. S., Zhao, R. W., & Sun, Y. P. (2013). The frontier dynamics of dynamic poverty research. Economic Perspectives, 4, 120–128.
Zhang, Z., Yang, C. Y., & Yuan, Q. (2017a). The Identification and Mobility of “Revenue-Oriented” multidimensional poverty—A survey of rural subsamples based on CFPS survey data. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2, 98–112.
Zhang, Q. H., Li, B., & Zhou, Q. (2017b). Dynamic measurement, structural decomposition and precision poverty alleviation of China's multidimensional poverty. Journal of Finance and Economics, 43(4), 31–40.
Zhao, R., Sui, S., & Wu, B. (2018). Innovation of precision poverty alleviation mechanism based on dynamic poverty theory. Rural Economy, 1, 56–60.
Acknowledgement
This research was supported by Humanities and Social Science Fund of Ministry of Education of China (20YJC790191). National Statistical Science Research Project of National Bureau of statistics of China: (2020142).
Funding
This paper is supported by Humanities and Social Science Fund of Ministry of Education of China (20YJC790191). National Statistical Science Research Project of National Bureau of statistics of China: (2020142).
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Conflict of interest
I and my co-authors don’t have any conflict of interest.
Additional information
Publisher's Note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Zhou, D., Cai, K. & Zhong, S. A Statistical Measurement of Poverty Reduction Effectiveness: Using China as an Example. Soc Indic Res 153, 39–64 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-020-02474-w
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11205-020-02474-w