A method for detection of impact orbits of near-Earth asteroids is considered. The method uses splitting of initial confidence region into a sequence of ellipsoidal hypersurfaces corresponding to preset values of the confidence coefficient. The method uses parametric equations of confidence ellipsoid in the six-dimensional phase space. The method is tested for detecting impact orbits of potentially dangerous near-Earth asteroids 1994 WR12 and 2015 RN35 posing an impact threat to the Earth.
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Translated from Izvestiya Vysshikh Uchebnykh Zavedenii, Fizika, No. 10, pp. 145–150, October, 2016.
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Baturin, A.P. Detecting Impact Orbits of Asteroids by Means of Representation of the Initial Confidence Region in the Form of a Sequence of Ellipsoidal Hypersurfaces. Russ Phys J 59, 1686–1692 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11182-017-0961-6
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11182-017-0961-6