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Exploring the Effects of Student Expectations about Financial Aid on Postsecondary Choice: A Focus on Income and Racial/Ethnic Differences

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Abstract

This study investigates how the expectations of different types of financial aid affect the student college choice process from application through enrollment. We find that students from different race and income groups respond differentially to aid packages in their application and enrollment decisions depending on their levels of aid expectations. In application behavior, Asians at all income levels increase their likelihood of application at a greater rate in response to an increase in their aid expectations than other racial groups. Simulations indicate that enrollment probabilities decline more for African American and Hispanic students than whites and Asians when they expect to receive financial aid but do not. The findings suggest the particular importance of financial aid packages in the college choice process for underrepresented minority students.

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Notes

  1. For detailed explanations of the random utility model (RUM), see Manski (1977), McFadden (1976), or Parsons (2000).

  2. For explanations about each variable, see Table 1.

  3. The estimation of expectations about each type of financial aid is discussed in the Model Specification section.

  4. The list of regressors in the application model is presented in the next section.

  5. Expectations about each type of financial aid can be obtained by taking the products of: Grant = (1)*(5), Loan = (2)*(6), Work-study = (3)*(7), and Outside Aid = (4)*(8).

  6. Admissions Index Score (AIS) is defined as a weighted average of the ACT Composite and high school rank percentile: [(2*ACT) + High School Rank Percentile].

  7. Estimating the expected amount of each aid type is discussed above.

  8. For the variables not shown in Table 3, see the application model indicated in the Model Specification section.

  9. p-values are based on Chi-square tests using the variance––covariance matrix derived from the bootstrap replications.

  10. For the specific amount of aid expectations by type, see Table 4 (in Appendix).

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Correspondence to Jiyun Kim.

Appendix

Appendix

Table 2 Estimating the probability of admission
Table 3 Estimating the probability of application and enrollment
Table 4 Expected amounts of financial aid by type (in dollars)

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Kim, J., DesJardins, S.L. & McCall, B.P. Exploring the Effects of Student Expectations about Financial Aid on Postsecondary Choice: A Focus on Income and Racial/Ethnic Differences. Res High Educ 50, 741–774 (2009). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-009-9143-x

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