Community colleges are seen as contradictory institutions. Supporters contend that community colleges increase baccalaureate attainment by providing access to higher education for students who would otherwise not attend college, while critics argue that these institutions decrease baccalaureate attainment for students who would otherwise attend a 4-year institution. Using the National Education Longitudinal Study, this article advances the literature on the impact of community colleges on baccalaureate attainment by estimating new models that allow controlling for pathways of enrollment while using different measures of educational expectations and correcting for college choice. Findings suggest that community colleges significantly reduce the probability of attaining a bachelor’s degree, as compared to 4-year institutions, an effect that remains after having taken into account non-traditional enrollment pathways, educational expectations, and self-selection into 2-year and 4-year institutions.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
Adelman C. (1999). Answers in the Tool Box: Academic Intensity, Attendance Patterns, and Bachelor’s Degree Attainment. Office of Educational Research and Improvement, U.S. Department of Education, Washington, DC
Adelman C. (2005). Moving into Town–and Moving on: The Community College in the Lives of Traditional-age Students. U.S. Department of Education, Washington, DC
Adelman, C., Daniel, B., and Berkovits, I. (2003). Postsecondary Attainment, Attendance, Curriculum, and Performance: Selected Results from the NELS:88/2000 Postsecondary Education Transcript Study (PETS), 2000. (No. NCES 2003-394), National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education, Washington, DC.
Alba R. D., and Lavin D. E. (1981). Community colleges and tracking in higher education. Sociology of Education 54(4): 223–237
Alexander K. L., and Eckland B. K. (1974). Sex differences in the educational attainment process. American Sociological Review 69(5): 669–682
Alfonso M., Bailey T. R., and Scott M. (2005). The educational outcomes of occupational sub-baccalaureate students: Evidence from the 1990s. Economics of Education Review 24(2): 197–212
Alwin D. F., and Otto L. B. (1977). High school context effects on aspirations. Sociology of Education 50(4): 259–273
Anderson, G., Alfonso, M., and Sun, J. (2006). Rethinking the cooling out at public community colleges: An examination of fiscal trends in higher education and the rise of statewide articulation agreements. Teachers College Record 108(3): 422–451.
Anderson K.L. (1981). Post-high school experiences and college attrition. Sociology of Education 54(1): 1–15
Bailey, T. R., Alfonso, M., Scott, M., and Leinbach, D. T. (2004). The Educational Outcomes of Occupational Postsecondary Students, National Assessment of Vocational Education, U.S. Department of Education, Washington, DC.
Bailey T. R., and Averianova I. (1998). Multiple Missions of Community Colleges: Conflicting or Complementary? New York: Community College Research Center, Teachers College, Columbia University
Bailey, T. R., Leinbach, D. T., Scott, M., Alfonso, M., Kienzl, G. S., Kennedy, B., and Marcotte, D. (2004). The Characteristics of Occupational Sub-baccalaureate Students Entering the New Millennium, Community College Research Center, Teachers College, Columbia University, New York.
Berkner L., Cuccaro-Alamin S., and McCormick A. (1996). Descriptive summary of 1989–90 Beginning Postsecondary Students: Five years later. (NCES 96155). Washington, DC: National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education
Blanchard O. (1993). Consumption and the recession of 1990–1991. American Economic Review 83(2): 270–274
Brint S., and Karabel J. (1989). The Diverted Dream: Community Colleges and the Promise of Educational Opportunity in America, 1900–1985. Oxford University Press, New York
Cabrera, A. F., and La Nasa, S. M. (2000). Understanding the college-choice process. In: Cabrera, A. F., and La Nasa, S. M. (eds.), Understanding the college choice of disadvantaged students, New Directions for Institutional Research 107(Fall): 5–22, Jossey-Bass, San Francisco.
Cabrera A. F., and La Nasa S. M. (2001). On the path to college: Three critical tasks facing America’s disadvantaged. Research in Higher Education 42(2): 119–149
Carlan P. E., and Byxbe F. R. (2000). Community colleges under the microscope: An analysis of performance predictors for native and transfer students. Community College Review 28(2): 27–42
Choy S.P., and Horn L. (1992). A Guide to Using Postsecondary Transcript Data and an Overview of Course Taking in less-than-four-year Postsecondary Institutions. National Center for Research in Vocational Education, Berkeley
Christie R. L., and Hutcheson P. (2003). Net effects of institutional type on baccalaureate degree attainment of “traditional” students. Community College Review 31(2): 1–20
Claggett C. A. (1995). Student goal analysis for accountability and marketing. Community College Review 16(4): 38–41
Clark B. R. (1960). The “cooling-out” function in higher education. American Journal of Sociology 65(6): 569–576
Cohen A. M., and Brawer F. (2003). The American community college. Jossey-Bass, San Francisco
Curtin T. R., Ingels S. J., Wu S., and Heuer R. (2002). National Education Longitudinal Study of 1988: Base-year to fourth follow-up data file user’s manual. (No. NCES 2002-323). National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education, Washington, DC
Davies M., and Kandel D. B. (1981). Parental and peer influences on adolescents’ educational plans: Some further evidence. American Journal of Sociology 87(2): 363–387
Dougherty K. (1987). The effects of community colleges: Aid or hindrance to socioeconomic attainment? Sociology of Education 60(2): 86–103
Dougherty K. (1992). Community colleges and baccalaureate attainment. Journal of Higher Education 63(2): 188–214
Dougherty K. (1994). The Contradictory College: The Conflicting Origins, Impacts, and Futures of the Community College. State University of New York Press, Albany
Fuller W. C., Manski C. F., and Wise D. A. (1982). New evidence on the economic determinants of postsecondary schooling choices. The Journal of Human Resources 17(4): 477–498
Gardner J. (1994). The 1990–91 recession: How bad was the labor market?. Monthly Labor Review 117(6): 3–11
Ghosh-Dastidar, B. (2005). Introduction to Missing Data: Concepts and Methods, Paper presented at the Texas Higher Education Opportunity Project Summer Data Workshop, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ.
Grubb W. N. (1991). The decline of community college transfer rates: Evidence from longitudinal surveys. Journal of Higher Education 62(2): 194–222
Hagy A. P., and Staniec J. F. O. (2002). Immigrant status, race, and institutional choice in higher education. Economics of Education Review 21(4): 381–392
Hanson S. L. (1994). Lost talent: Unrealized educational aspirations and expectations among U.S. youths. Sociology of Education 67(3): 159–183
Heckman J. (1979). Sample selection bias as a specification error. Econometrica 47(1): 153–161
Hilmer M. J. (1998). Post-secondary fees and the decision to attend a university or a community college. Journal of Public Economics 67(3): 329–348
Hilmer M. J. (2001). A comparison of alternative specifications of the college attendance equation with an extension to two-stage selectivity-correction models. Economics of Education Review 20(3): 263–278
Hoachlandar, G., Sikora, A. C., Horn, L., and Carroll, C. D. (2003). Community College Students: Goals, Academic Preparation, and Outcomes (No. NCES 2003-164), National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education, Washington, DC.
Horn, L., and Carroll, C. D. (1996). Nontraditional Undergraduates: Trends in Enrollment from 1986 to 1992 and Persistence and Attainment among 1989–90 Beginning Postsecondary Students. (NCES 97-578), National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education, Washington, DC.
Horn, L., and Premo, M. K. (1995). Profile of Undergraduates in U.S. Postsecondary Education Institutions 1992–93. (No. NCES 96–237), National Center for Education Statistics, U.S. Department of Education, Washington, DC.
Hossler D., Braxton J. and Coopersmith G. (1989). Understanding student college choice. In: Smart J. C. (eds). Higher education: Handbook of theory and research (Vol. 5), Agathon Press, New York, pp. 231–288
Hossler D., and Gallagher K. S. (1987). Studying student college choice: A three-phase model and the implications for policymakers. College and University 62(3): 207–221
Leigh D. E., and Gill A. M. (2003). Do community colleges really divert students from earning bachelor’s degrees? Economics of Education Review 22(1): 23–30
Manski C. F., and Wise D. A. (1983). College Choice in America. Harvard University Press, Cambridge MA
National Center for Education Statistics. (1993). Digest of Education Statistics, 1993. (No. 93292). U.S. Department of Education, Washington DC
National Center for Education Statistics. (1994). Digest of Education Statistics, 1994. (No. 94115). U.S. Department of Education, Washington DC
Ordovensky J. F. (1995). Effects of institutional attributes on enrollment choice: Implications for postsecondary vocational education. Economics of Education Review 14(4): 335–350
Rouse C.E. (1994). What to do after high school: The two-year versus four-year college enrollment decision. In: Ehrenberg R.G. (eds). Choices and Consequences: Contemporary Policy Issues in Education. ILR Press, Ithaca NY, pp. 59–85
Rouse C.E. (1995). Democratization or diversion? The effect of community colleges on educational attainment. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics 13(2): 217–224
Sewell W. H., Haller A. O., and Ohlendorf G. W. (1970). The educational and early occupational status attainment process: Replication and revision. American Sociological Review 35(6): 1014–1027
Sewell W. H. and Shah V. P. (1968). Social class, parental encouragement, and educational aspirations. American Journal of Sociology 73(5): 559–572
Shakotko, R.A., and Grossman, M. (1980). Physical Disabilities and Post-secondary Educational Outcomes (Working Paper No. 609), National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA.
Schneider B. L., and Stevenson D. (1999). The Ambitious Generation: America’s Teenagers, Motivated but Directionless. Yale University Press, New Haven
Stage F. K. and Hossler D. (1989). Differences in family influences on college attendance plans for male and female ninth graders. Research in Higher Education 30(3): 301–315
Velez W. (1985). Finishing college: The effects of college type. Sociology of Education 58(3): 191–200
Weiler W. C. (1989). A flexible approach to modeling enrollment choice behavior. Economics of Education Review 8(3): 277–283
Weiler W. C. (1996). Factors influencing the matriculation choices of high ability students. Economics of Education Review 15(1): 23–36
Whitaker D. G. and Pascarella E. T. (1994). Two-year college attendance and socioeconomic attainment: Some additional evidence. Journal of Higher Education 65(2): 194–210
Acknowledgments
The author would like to thank Thomas Bailey, Francisco Rivera-Batiz, Henry Levin, MoonHee Kim, Gregory Kienzl, Tatiana Melguizo, Sara Goldrick-Rab, Josipa Roksa, Liang Zhang, and two anonymous reviewers for their valuable comments and suggestions. The author is also grateful to Timothy Leinbach for his outstanding data programming, and to the Community College Research Center and the Sloan Foundation for their financial support. All errors remaining rest solely with the author.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Additional information
An earlier version of this paper was presented at the November 2004 Annual Meeting of the Association for the Study of Higher Education.
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Alfonso, M. The impact of community college attendance on baccalaureate attainment. Res High Educ 47, 873–903 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-006-9019-2
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11162-006-9019-2