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Global synthesis of the documented and projected effects of climate change on inland fishes

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Abstract

Although climate change is an important factor affecting inland fishes globally, a comprehensive review of how climate change has impacted and will continue to impact inland fishes worldwide does not currently exist. We conducted an extensive, systematic primary literature review to identify English-language, peer-reviewed journal publications with projected and documented examples of climate change impacts on inland fishes globally. Since the mid-1980s, scientists have projected the effects of climate change on inland fishes, and more recently, documentation of climate change impacts on inland fishes has increased. Of the thousands of title and abstracts reviewed, we selected 624 publications for a full text review: 63 of these publications documented an effect of climate change on inland fishes, while 116 publications projected inland fishes’ response to future climate change. Documented and projected impacts of climate change varied, but several trends emerged including differences between documented and projected impacts of climate change on salmonid abundance (P = 0.0002). Salmonid abundance decreased in 89.5% of documented effects compared to 35.7% of projected effects, where variable effects were more commonly reported (64.3%). Studies focused on responses of salmonids (61% of total) to climate change in North America and Europe, highlighting major gaps in the literature for taxonomic groups and geographic focus. Elucidating global patterns and identifying knowledge gaps of climate change effects on inland fishes will help managers better anticipate local changes in fish populations and assemblages, resulting in better development of management plans, particularly in systems with little information on climate change effects on fish.

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Acknowledgements

We thank Doug Beard, James Whitney, and the other participants in an expert workshop that formed the foundations for this follow-up project, as well as Jeff Kershner (USGS internal reviewer), anonymous journal reviewers, and journal editors for their constructive manuscript review. Readers can access all data and metadata supporting the analyses and conclusions at https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5759ae83e4b04f417c263f01. Any use of trade, firm, or product names is for descriptive purposes only and does not imply endorsement by the U.S. Government.

Funding

This study was funded by USGS National Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. National Climate Change and Wildlife Science Center, U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), 12201 Sunrise Valley Dr., Reston, VA, 20192, USA

    Bonnie J. E. Myers & Abigail J. Lynch

  2. Great Lakes Science Center, USGS, 1451 Green Rd., Ann Arbor, MI, 48105, USA

    David B. Bunnell

  3. Aquatic Research and Monitoring Section, Ontario Ministry of Natural Resources and Forestry, 2140 East Bank Drive, Peterborough, ON, K9L 1Z8, Canada

    Cindy Chu

  4. Alaska Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, USGS, University of Alaska Fairbanks, 902 Koyukuk Avenue, P.O. Box 757020, Fairbanks, AK, 99775, USA

    Jeffrey A. Falke

  5. Northern Rocky Mountain Science Center, USGS, Missoula, MT, 59802, USA

    Ryan P. Kovach

  6. Department of Biological Sciences, Wayne State University, 5047 Gullen Mall, Detroit, MI, 48202, USA

    Trevor J. Krabbenhoft

  7. North Carolina Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, USGS, North Carolina State University, Campus Box 7617, Raleigh, NC, 27695-7617, USA

    Thomas J. Kwak

  8. Missouri Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit, USGS, University of Missouri, 302 Anheuser-Busch Natural Resources Building, Columbia, MO, 65211, USA

    Craig P. Paukert

Authors
  1. Bonnie J. E. Myers
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  2. Abigail J. Lynch
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  3. David B. Bunnell
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  4. Cindy Chu
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  5. Jeffrey A. Falke
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  6. Ryan P. Kovach
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  7. Trevor J. Krabbenhoft
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  8. Thomas J. Kwak
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  9. Craig P. Paukert
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Corresponding author

Correspondence to Bonnie J. E. Myers.

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Conflict of interest

The guest editors were blinded to this manuscript and did not handle any part of the review process.

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Third through ninth authors are listed alphabetically by last name.

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Myers, B.J.E., Lynch, A.J., Bunnell, D.B. et al. Global synthesis of the documented and projected effects of climate change on inland fishes. Rev Fish Biol Fisheries 27, 339–361 (2017). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11160-017-9476-z

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11160-017-9476-z

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