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Protecting Sticky Consumers in Essential Markets

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Abstract

This paper studies regulatory policy interventions that are aimed at protecting sticky consumers who are exposed to the risk of being taken advantage of. We model heterogeneous consumer switching costs alongside asymmetric market shares. This setting encompasses many markets in which established firms are challenged by new entrants. We identify circumstances under which such interventions can be counterproductive: with regard to the stated consumer protection objective and also with regard to the complementary aim to promote competition.

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Notes

  1. See, for example, Authority for Consumers and Markets (2014), Canadian Radio-television and Telecommunications Commission (2017), Competition and Markets Authority (2016a, 2016b), Financial Conduct Authority (2015), Hortaçsu et al. (2017), OECD (2017).

  2. Competition and Markets Authority (2018), UNCTAD (2018). According to the Competition and Markets Authority (2018), “[e]ssential services refer to services that consumers need to participate in society and the economy, and where significant harm might arise if consumers are not able to access the service.” The CMA lists in particular markets for mobile, broadband, cash savings, home insurance and mortgages.

  3. Authority for Consumers and Markets (2014), Financial Conduct Authority (2015).

  4. In Sect. 4.1 we make assumptions that ensure that the distribution of switching costs of customers of the dominant firm first-order stochastically dominates that of customers of the challenger.

  5. A challenger, at the point of entry, does not have a “back-book” yet that would allow the sorting of customers.

  6. For example, in September 2018 the official consumer representative body in the UK submitted a “super-complaint” that called on the national competition and consumer authority—the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA)—to launch a cross-sectoral market study to investigate the allegation that disengaged customers who fail regularly to shop around end up being charged excessive prices across a number of essential services. For example, Citizens Advice (2018) found that 8 in 10 people are currently charged significantly higher prices for remaining with their existing supplier in one or more essential markets. Their best estimate of the individual cost of this “loyalty penalty” stands at almost £900 per year. The CMA considered a variety of remedies, such as: (i) limiting price differences through tying; (ii) requiring suppliers to upgrade inactive customers to their best tariff (i.e., the cheapest based on the specific consumption profile); and (iii) imposing an absolute price-cap.

  7. Productivity Commission (2018).

  8. Subprime customers tend to be less financially literate consumers; e.g., Gerardi et al. (2010) show a negative correlation between financial literacy and mortgage delinquency and default (i.e. subprime status). Agarwal et al. (2020) put forward an alternative explanation: Subprime borrowers tend to search less and accept higher borrowing rates because they are concerned about making too many applications that will be rejected, which would worsen their credit profile even further.

  9. Competition and Markets Authority (2016a, 2016b), Hortaçsu et al. (2017).

  10. See, for example, Financial Conduct Authority (2017) and Competition and Markets Authority (2016b), para 8.232ff, which provides evidence of price discrimination between new start-ups and established businesses with respect to business current accounts.

  11. Uniformity of prices can also be achieved by means of most-favoured-customer-clauses (MFCCs). These discourage firms from cutting prices selectively, thereby inhibiting competition. See Akman and Hviid (2006) for a discussion of MFCCs from the perspective of competition law. MFCCs have been considered by Besanko and Lyon (1993). In their analysis, they treat MFCCs as an insurance for customers, in the sense that the firm that adopts an MFCC cannot discriminate among customers and must charge the same price to all customers.

  12. It could be argued that HBPD that is subject to disclosure effectively resembles most-favoured-customer clauses (MFCCs) when consumers face heterogeneous “hassle” costs to enforce their right to have their current service provider match the lower price that is offered to other (potentially new) customers. In our analysis, MFCCs amount to a form of third-degree price discrimination. They are treated as an option that is offered to existing customers that those customers may or may not exercise—depending on their idiosyncratic inertia. This is motivated, for example, by features of the UK cash savings market, where providers report that informing existing customers about better accounts with higher interest rates generates only a small response in (internal) switching (Financial Conduct Authority, 2015, Annex 1.2). A difference between the model of Besanko and Lyon (1993) and ours is that our model determines inert, locked-in customers endogenously, while in the model of Besanko and Lyon (1993) the number of “non-shoppers” is exogenously given.

  13. Baker and Salop (2015) advocate a similar approach, stating “ U.S. antitrust law could do more to address inequality if the antitrust laws also addressed monopolistic “exploitative” conduct along the lines of the European prohibition against abuse of dominance”.

  14. Holmes (1989) investigates symmetric differentiated product oligopolies and shows that uniform prices necessarily lie between discriminatory prices. Corts (1998) relaxes Holmes’ symmetry assumption and shows that, when firms differ in their assessment of their weak and strong markets, price discrimination can lead to all-out competition that benefits all consumers.

  15. Armstrong and Vickers (2019) adopt a similar approach, although they stick to the standard “sophisticates” vs “naives” partition and also do not model the presence of an incumbency advantage in terms of asymmetric market shares.

  16. For example, a 2014 YouGov survey of banking customers concludes that few people display unwavering loyalty to their provider, and two in five banking customers state that they would consider switching their account to another provider. Similarly, a GfK survey that was conducted in the course of the CMA’s 2016 energy market investigation found that, with electricity being a homogeneous product, no factor other than price was relevant to energy customers.

  17. See, for example, Bester and Petrakis (1996). Esteves (2014) studies brand preferences in a dynamic duopoly model.

  18. Caillaud and De Nijs (2014) provide a dynamic version of Shaffer and Zhang (2000).

  19. This follows from rearranging, integrating w.r.t. t over \( {{{\mathcal {S}}}}_A \cup {{{\mathcal {S}}}}_B\) and then integrating up to s. It is obvious if \(\sup {{{\mathcal {S}}}}_B\le \inf {{{\mathcal {S}}}}_A\).

  20. This follows from \(f_B(t)sf_A(s)\ge f_A(t)sf_B(s)\), integrating w.r.t. s and t over \({{{\mathcal {S}}}}_A\cup {{{\mathcal {S}}}}_B\).

  21. This follows from rearranging and integrating w.r.t. t up from s. This inequality implies that the model allows, for any s, that firm A’s demand exhibits a lower own-price elasticity than does firm B’s demand.

  22. This inequality, in turn, implies that, for any s, firm A’s demand lost to firm B exhibits a higher cross-price elasticity than does firm B’s demand that is lost to firm A.

  23. Recall that a density f(s) is log-concave if \(\ln (f(s))\) is concave: if \(f''(s)-\frac{(f'(s))^2}{f(s)}\le 0\) for all s in the support of f.

  24. Property (i) follows from Theorem 1 of Bagnoli and Bergstrom (2005); property (ii) follows from their Corollary 2; and property (iii) follows from property (i).

  25. As we do not wish to consider cost efficiencies in our analysis, this is without consequence for our results. We will discuss extensions to asymmetric cost structures in Sect. 6.1.

  26. In principle, our analysis applies to business-to-business relationships as well, as long as buyers face suppliers that make take-it-or-leave-it offers.

  27. Without restrictions on model parameters, no ranking in terms of pricing between ratio-based price discrimination and BHPD with leakage is possible. However, we will show that there is bi-directional customer switching between firms with the former, while there is only one-directional switching with the latter.

  28. We discuss in Sect. 6.4 how such sorted customer bases and the asymmetric market structure can arise endogenously.

  29. The derivation uses the fact that the first-order conditions with respect to \(m_A\) and \(m_B\) eliminate the derivative of the second summand in \(\pi _A\) and \(\pi _B\) with respect to \(p_A\) and \(p_B\), respectively. Superscript D denotes the optimal values under HBPD.

  30. This could arise, for example, as a consequence of network effects. See, for example, the discussion in Farrell and Klemperer (2007). An alternative explanation could be that normally consumer inertia takes time to set in, so firms that have been active for longer are bound to have a larger stock of “back-book” customers and thus a larger customer base than is true for newer firms that can grow only gradually as they compete for the new cohort of unaffiliated consumers and manage to retain them long enough for them to mature into “back-book” customers.

  31. Indeed, it is straightforward to show that separate optimizations over the two markets—with respect to \(p_A\) and \(p_B-m_B\) over A’s customer base, and with respect to \(p_B\) and \(p_A-m_A\) over B’s customer base—yield the HBPD outcomes (3)—(6).

  32. It is easy to construct analytical examples that exhibit this feature. We thank Ken Hori for pointing this out.

  33. One sees loyalty discounts frequently across the retail landscape—at least in the U.S., most commonly in retail settings with repeat purchases and without contractual relationships: e.g. some U.S. supermarkets award loyalty points to “ club” or special-card members. In this paper, we focus on essential services and hence on settings with contractual relationships. Here, loyalty schemes are aimed at compensating for existing lock-in. For example, some U.S. retail banks operate loyalty schemes, in line with customer spend or account balance; the earned points can be used for mortgage or student loan repayments; travel rewards; charity donations; etc.

  34. This concern is compounded to the extent that inert customers are often “vulnerable” due to certain demographic characteristics such as low income, old age or generally limited awareness (Competition and Markets Authority, 2016a, 2018; Financial Conduct Authority, 2018a).

  35. Adams et al. (2018), Financial Conduct Authority (2018b). For example, during the second half of 2015 the FCA tested the use of a return switching form where customers were sent a letter with an indication of potential gains from switching to the best internal rate (i.e., offered by the same provider) and the best competitor rate—based on a non-personalised balance example (£5000)—plus a tear-off return switching form pre-filled for a switch to the best internal rate, along with a prepaid envelope. In the nine weeks following the receipt of the letter, internal switching increased from a baseline of less than 0.5% to slightly above 8.5%, whereas external switching hardly changed. See Adams et al. (2016)

  36. See Competition and Markets Authority (2016a), Financial Conduct Authority (2018a, 2018b), UK Department for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy (BEIS) (2018). The BEIS Consumer Green paper states (para. 41): “We believe there should be a new approach by government and regulators to safeguard consumers who, for whatever reason, remain loyal to their existing supplier so that they are not materially disadvantaged. Exploitation of these customers by charging them significantly higher prices and providing poorer service is a sign of a market that is not working well and should be tackled vigorously.” See also “Victory for consumers as cap on energy tariffs to become law - New bill will protect millions more households from unfair price rises”, UK Government, press release, 19 July 2018, available at https://www.gov.uk/government/news.

  37. A similar outcome would result from a requirement that firms automatically upgrade consumers to their cheapest available tariff. Although such a draconian intervention would normally be considered to be a sort of backstop remedy of last resort, the UK Financial Conduct Authority recently proposed this type of remedy twice: for savings accounts and for overdraft charges (Financial Conduct Authority, 2018a, b).

  38. Expression (11) also shows that \(x_0>\frac{1}{2}\) is necessary and sufficient for an equilibrium with \(p^u_A>p^u_B\) to exist.

  39. This is not an issue in models such as Chen (1997) that assume homogeneous switching costs.

  40. For example, this may be thanks to interventions such as Open Banking in the UK which is meant to reduce the inconvenience of disengaged consumers when they shop around.

  41. We are indebted to John Vickers for pointing this out.

  42. B’s reaction function satisfies \(\frac{\partial }{\partial p_B}p_BF_A(p_a-p_B)=-\frac{1-x_0}{x_0}\). B’s profit earned on customers switching away from A is concave: \(\frac{\partial ^2}{\partial p_B^2}p_BF_A(p_A-p_B)=-2f_A(p_A-p_B)+p_Bf'_A(p_-p_B)=-2f_A(p_A-p_B)+\frac{F_A(p_A-p_B)f'(p_A-p_B)}{f_A(p_A-p_B)}<0\) because \(F_A\) is log-concave.

  43. Beckert et al. (2020) provide empirical evidence that, in a spatially-differentiated product market, price discrimination – compared to UP—benefits most, but not all customers. In that application, switching costs relate primarily to transport.

  44. The encouragement of entry is a competition policy objective in many industrial countries (Khemani and Barsony, 1999). The OECD (2021) considers “the entry of new businesses [...] key to dynamic and resilient economies.” The Financial Conduct Authority (2017) stresses that “Challenger firms are an important source of competitive pressure for established businesses, as well as bringing new ideas and innovation. In markets where challengers cannot enter or grow, established firms tend to be less responsive to customers, less efficient and less innovative.” Hence, for such markets that provide essential services, competitive pressure is seen as an important lever to ensure their robustness and resilience, responsiveness to consumers, efficiency and innovative capacity.

  45. Financial Conduct Authority (2015). See Competition and Markets Authority (2016b) for a more sophisticated version of this type of remedy, labelled Open Banking, whereby the largest incumbent banks are required to adopt a standardised application programme interface (API) through which smaller banks and third party intermediaries such as price comparison websites will be allowed to access, with the customer’s consent, data on individual consumption profiles and applied tariffs in order to be able to show consumers tailored price comparisons. The UK Financial Services Consumer Panel commissioned a study (published in June 2019) into automatic upgrades of bank customers; see https://www.fs-cp.org.uk/sites/default/files/automatic_upgrades_research_report.pdf.

  46. This is shown formally in Lemma 5.2 below.

  47. As we noted in a footnote above, HBPD with leakage can be interpreted as a form of an MFCC. To the best of our knowledge there is no extant economic literature researching the incentive to use MFCCs where customers face heterogeneous ‘hassle’ costs to claim for compensation, so that it translates into a form of third-degree price discrimination. Besanko and Lyon (1993) analyse firms’ incentives to adopt MFCCs where consumers are partitioned between “non shoppers”, who never consider switching, and “shoppers”, who have no brand preference. However, the MFCC applies to every customer indiscriminately, so the use of an MFCC also amounts to a non-discrimination commitment device. Besanko and Lyon (1993) show that there can be configurations where firms have a unilateral incentive to use contemporaneous MFCCs.

  48. (Financial Conduct Authority, 2018a, b).

  49. In this sense, this configuration is reminiscent of the relationship between ’tourists’ and ’locals’ in the classic model of price dispersion of Varian (1980), with the difference that in that seminal paper firms randomise over a range of (uniform) prices as they face a trade-off between exploiting the former and competing for the latter: see Armstrong (2015) for a discussion.

  50. This is with the caveat that, as we showed, there may be circumstances where the challenger’s back-book customers may pay a discriminatory price above the uniform price.

  51. Entry deterrence in the presence of switching costs absent price discrimination and with complete information has been studied by Klemperer (1987) who considers limit pricing: reductions in a uniform price to deter entry; and by Farrell and Shapiro (1988) who show that when an incumbent cannot price discriminate switching costs can actually promote entry. See also (Chen, 2008; Fumagalli and Motta, 2013; Gehrig et al., 2012; Karlinger and Motta, 2012).

  52. For example, Caillaud and De Nijs (2014) and Esteves (2014) study behaviour-based price discrimination in a dynamic setting.

  53. Farrell and Shapiro (1988) assume that the new customers join the firm with the lower price.

  54. The detailed dynamic analysis is available from the authors upon request.

  55. See, e.g., Financial Conduct Authority (2017) and OECD (2021).

  56. The CMA’s recent annual plans re-calibrate its objectives, stressing that the competition and consumer protection regimes need to work in tandem alongside each other, to ensure that vulnerable consumers are not exploited and that markets work in their favour. The protection of vulnerable consumers has thus become an objective of particular strategic importance. See, for example, the CMA’s Annual Plans 2018-19 and 2019/20 that define helping vulnerable people as one of the CMA’s strategic priorities. Some of the FTC’s work has specifically focussed on the elderly; see, for example, Federal Trade Commission (2018).

  57. The situation of uniform prices is akin to \(\sigma ^D_B=0\): None of firm B’s customers switch. Assumption 2 then implies that \(p_B^D\) for \(\sigma ^D_B>0\) is lower than the corresponding price if \(\sigma _B\) were zero.

  58. This is because, under the supposition, \(p_A^D-p^{u}_A>p^{u}_A-p^{u}_B=\sigma ^{u}_A>\sigma ^D_A=p^D_A-p_B^D+m^D_B\).

  59. The numerator of the fraction inside the expectation is larger for every \(x_0\) because \(\sigma ^{*u}_A\ge \sigma ^*_A\), and the denominator is smaller.

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Correspondence to Paolo Siciliani.

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Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

We thank the Editor Lawrence J. White and two anonymous referees for insightful comments and suggestions that greatly improved the paper. We also thank Mark Armstrong, Gary Biglaiser, Estelle Cantillon, Yongmin Chen, Amelia Fletcher, Thomas Gehrig, Paul Grout, Ken Hori, Sandeep Kapur, Konstantinos Serfes, Howard Smith, John Thanassoulis and John Vickers for very valuable comments and suggestions. We are also grateful to audiences at the EARIE 2017, RES 2018 and CRESSE 2018 conferences. This paper generalises and extends the ideas first presented in Siciliani and Beckert (2017). Any views expressed are solely those of the authors and so cannot be taken to represent those of the Bank of England or to state Bank of England policy. This paper should therefore not be reported as representing the views of the Bank of England or members of the Monetary Policy Committee, Financial Policy Committee or Prudential Regulation Committee.

Appendices

Proofs

Proof of Lemma 5.1

The result follows immediately from equations (7) and (8) and assumptions 1 and 2.

An alternative argument proceeds as follows. Assumption 1 implies H and RH. Suppose that the opposite were true: \(\sigma _A < \sigma _B\). Then, by RH and Assumption 2, for \(\sigma ^D_A<s<\sigma ^D_B\),

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{F_A(\sigma ^D_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^D_A)}\le \frac{F_A(s)}{f_A(s)} \le \frac{F_B(s)}{f_B(s)}\le \frac{F_B(\sigma ^D_B)}{f_B(\sigma ^D_B)}, \end{aligned}$$

and so the last two first-order conditions imply \(p^D_B-m^D_B\le p_A^D-m^D_A\). H and Assumption 2 imply,

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{1-F_B(\sigma ^D_B)}{f_B(\sigma ^D_B)}\le \frac{1-F_B(s)}{f_B(s)}\le \frac{1-F_A(s)}{f_A(s)}\le \frac{1-F_A(\sigma ^D_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^D_A)}, \end{aligned}$$

and the first two first-order conditions in turn imply \(p^D_B\le p^D_A\). Therefore, the two inequalities imply \(\sigma ^D_B=p^D_B-p^D_A+m^D_A \le p^D_A-p^D_B+m^D_B=\sigma ^D_A\), which is a contradiction. \(\square \)

Proof of Proposition 5.1

From \(\sigma ^D_A\ge \sigma ^D_B\) and the first-order conditions, it follows that \(2(p^D_A- p^D_B)\ge m_A^D-m_B^D\). So it is sufficient to prove that \(m^D_A\ge m^D_B\).

From the definitions of \(\sigma _A\) and \(\sigma _B\),

$$\begin{aligned} \sigma ^D_A+\sigma ^D_B=m^D_A+m^D_B, \end{aligned}$$

and from the first-order conditions,

$$\begin{aligned} \sigma ^D_A= & {} p_A^D-p^D_B+m^D_B=m^D_A+\frac{F_B(\sigma ^D_B)}{f_B(\sigma ^D_B)} -\frac{F_A(\sigma ^D_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^D_A)}\\ \sigma ^D_B= & {} p_B^D-p^D_A+m^D_A=m^D_B+\frac{F_A(\sigma ^D_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^D_A)} -\frac{F_B(\sigma ^D_B)}{f_B(\sigma ^D_B)}. \end{aligned}$$

Lemma 5.1, together with Assumption 2, implies that \(\frac{F_B(\sigma ^D_B)}{f_B(\sigma ^D_B)}-\frac{F_A(\sigma ^D_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^D_A)}\le 0\). Therefore, \(0\le m^D_A-\sigma ^D_A=\sigma ^D_B-m^D_B\), and hence

$$\begin{aligned} m^D_B\le \sigma ^D_B\le \sigma ^D_A\le m^D_A. \end{aligned}$$

\(\square \)

Proof of Proposition 5.2

It is sufficient to prove that \(\sigma ^{u}_A \le \sigma ^{D}_A\), which implies, by the first-order conditions for firm A and Assumption 2, that \(p^{u}_A\ge p^D_A\). This, together with \(\sigma ^D_A>\sigma ^D_B>0\) under HBPD, as shown in Lemma 5.1, by Assumption 2 implies also \(p^{u}_B\ge p^D_B-m^D_B\).Footnote 57

Suppose to the contrary that \(\sigma ^{u}_A > \sigma ^{D}_A\). Then, \(p^{u}_A\le p^D_A\) by the first-order conditions and Assumption 2. This ranking of prices of firm A, together with the supposition, implies also that \(p^{u}_B\le p^D_B-m^D_B\).Footnote 58 Therefore, \(p^{u}_B-c\le p^D_B-c-m^D_B\), and hence

$$\begin{aligned} \frac{1-x_0+x_0F_A(\sigma ^{u}_A)}{x_0f_A(\sigma ^{u}_A)}\le \frac{F_A(\sigma ^D_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^D_A)}. \end{aligned}$$

Notice that \(x_0=1\) implies \(\sigma ^{u}_A=\sigma ^D_A\). Since the lefthand side of the inequality is decreasing in \(x_0\), Assumption 2 implies that \(\sigma ^{u}_A<\sigma ^D_A\) for \(\frac{1}{2}<x_0<1\), which is a contradiction to the supposition. \(\square \)

Proof of Lemma 5.2

Suppose, to the contrary, that \(\sigma ^i_j<\sigma ^e_j\). Then, a customer of firm j with s such that \(\sigma ^i_j<s<\sigma ^e_j\), switches externally, but not internally, iff

$$\begin{aligned} p_k^L-m_k^L+s<pj^L-m_j^L+\alpha s, \end{aligned}$$

or iff

$$\begin{aligned} (1-\alpha )s < p_j^L-p_k^L-(m_j^L-m_k^L). \end{aligned}$$

A customer of firm j with \(s'<\sigma ^i_j\) switches internally, but not externally, iff

$$\begin{aligned} p_k^L-m_k^L+s'>pj^L-m_j^L+\alpha s', \end{aligned}$$

or iff

$$\begin{aligned} (1-\alpha )s' > p_j^L-p_k^L-(m_j^L-m_k^L). \end{aligned}$$

But then, \(s'>s\), which is a contradiction. \(\square \)

Proof of Proposition 5.3

Suppose external switching is from A to B and \(\sigma ^e_A>0\). Then,

$$\begin{aligned} \pi ^L_A= & {} x_0p^L_A\left( 1-F_A(\sigma ^e_A)\right) -m_A^L x_0\left( F_A(\sigma ^i_A) -F_A(\sigma ^e_A)\right) \\ \pi ^L_B= & {} (1-x_0)p_B^L-m_B^L(1-x_0)F_B\left( \sigma _B^i\right) +x_0(p^L_B-m_B^L)F_A\left( \sigma ^e_A\right) . \end{aligned}$$

The first-order conditions for the firms’ profit maximization problem yield

$$\begin{aligned} \sigma _A^{*i}= & {} \frac{m_A^{*L}}{\alpha }=\frac{1-F_A(\sigma ^{*i}_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^{*i}_A)}\\ \sigma _B^{*i}= & {} \frac{m_B^{*L}}{\alpha }=\frac{1-F_B(\sigma ^{*i}_B)}{f_B(\sigma ^{*i}_B)}\\ \frac{p^{*L}_A-m^{*L}_A}{1-\alpha }= & {} \frac{1-F_A(\sigma _A^{*e})}{f_A(\sigma ^{*e}_A)}\\ \frac{p^{*L}_B-m^{*L}_B}{1-\alpha }= & {} \frac{1-x_0+x_0F_A(\sigma ^{*e}_A)}{x_0f_A(\sigma ^{*e}_A)}. \end{aligned}$$

Therefore,

$$\begin{aligned} \sigma ^{*e}_A= & {} \frac{p^{*L}_A-m^{*L}_A}{1-\alpha }-\frac{p^{*L}_B-m^{*L}_B}{1-\alpha }\\= & {} \frac{2x_0\left( 1-F_A(\sigma ^{*e}_A)\right) -1}{x_0f_a(\sigma ^{*e}_A)}, \end{aligned}$$

which shows that \(\sigma ^e_A >0\) if, and only if, \(x_0\ge \frac{1}{2}\). \(\square \)

Proof of Proposition 5.4

Since \(\sigma ^{L_e}_B=0\), \(\sigma ^D_B>0\) implies that \(p^D_A-m^D_A< p^L_A-m^L_A\); \(\sigma ^D_A>\sigma ^{L_e}_A\) implies \(p^D_B-m^D_B<p^L_B-m^L_B\); and \(\sigma ^{L_i}_j>\sigma ^D_j\) implies \(p^L_j>p^D_j\), \(j\in \{A,B\}\). \(\square \)

Proof of Proposition 5.5

This result is another corollary to Proposition 5.3. The Corollary 5.3.1 shows that \(\sigma ^e_A =\sigma ^u_A\) does not depend on \(\alpha \). So the challenger’s profit depends only on \(p^{L}_B\) - with \(m^L_B=0\) -, and (18) shows that this price is increasing in \(\alpha \). If “leakage” is only imposed on A, then the challenger competes as in the case of UP—less vigorously – and its reaction function shifts according to (12), rather than (21). At the same time, A also competes with itself, and this is greater when the cost of internal switching is lower. Hence A’s means to discriminate are reduced relative to conventional HBPD, and that benefits the challenger. In the limit, as \(\alpha \) tends to zero, this yields the UP outcome which is the most profitable for both firms. \(\square \)

Proof of Proposition 5.6

The firms’ profit maximization problem, subject to the ratio constraints—\(m_A-\beta p_A\le 0, m_B-\beta p_B\le 0\)—is to maximise

$$\begin{aligned} \pi _A= & {} p_Ax_0(1-F_A(\sigma _A))+(p_A-m_A)(1-x_0)F_B(\sigma _B)+\lambda _A(m_a-\beta p_A)\\ \pi _B= & {} p_B(1-x_0)(1-F_B(\sigma _B))+(p_B-m_B)x_0F_A(\sigma _A)+\lambda _B(m_B-\beta p_B), \end{aligned}$$

and the first-order conditions yield

$$\begin{aligned} p^{R}_A= & {} \frac{1-F_A(\sigma ^{R}_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^{R}_A)}+\lambda ^R_A\frac{\beta -1}{x_0f_A(\sigma ^R_A)}\\ p^{R}_B= & {} \frac{1-F_B(\sigma ^{R}_B)}{f_B(\sigma ^{R}_B)}+\lambda ^R_B\frac{\beta -1}{(1-x_0)f_B(\sigma ^R_B)}\\ p^{R}_A-m^{R}_A= & {} \frac{F_B(\sigma ^{R}_B)}{f_B(\sigma ^{R}_B)}+\lambda ^R_A\frac{1}{(1-x_0)f_B(\sigma ^R_B)}\\ p^{R}_B-m^{R}_B= & {} \frac{F_A(\sigma ^{R}_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^{R}_A)}+\lambda ^R_B\frac{1}{x_0f_A(\sigma ^R_A)}, \end{aligned}$$

where \(\sigma ^{R}_j\) are defined analogously to \(\sigma ^D_j\) and the Kuhn-Tucker Theorem yields \(\lambda ^R_j\ge 0\), \(j\in \{A,B\}\). Also,

$$\begin{aligned} \sigma ^R_A= & {} \frac{1-2F_A(\sigma ^R_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^R_A)}+\frac{1}{x_0f_A(\sigma ^R_A)}(\lambda ^R_A(\beta -1)-\lambda ^R_B) \end{aligned}$$
(22)
$$\begin{aligned} \sigma ^R_B= & {} \frac{1-2F_B(\sigma ^R_B)}{f_B(\sigma ^R_B)}+\frac{1}{(1-x_0)f_B(\sigma ^R_B)}(\lambda ^R_B(\beta -1)-\lambda ^R_A). \end{aligned}$$
(23)

Since \(\lambda ^R_A(\beta -1)-\lambda ^R_B\) and \(\lambda ^R_B(\beta -1)-\lambda ^R_A\) are non-positive, Assumption 2 implies that \(\sigma ^R_j\le \sigma ^D_j\) and so \(p^R_j\ge p^D_j\), \(j\in \{A,B\}\). When \(\beta \) is large enough so that the ratio constraints do not bind, \(\lambda ^R_A=\lambda ^R_B=0\) and (22) and (23) imply the HBPD result. When \(\beta =0\), then, from Proposition (5.2) \(\sigma ^R_B=0\) and so (23) implies \(\lambda ^R_A+\lambda ^R_B=1-x_0\), so that (22) implies that \(\sigma ^R_A=\sigma ^u_A\). \(\square \)

Price Discrimination as Entry Deterrence

In order to investigate the incumbent’s HBPD as an entry deterrence strategy in our setting, suppose that the market is dynamic, in the sense that over time some customers leave the market while others join the market. Specifically, for a market size \(\tau \), suppose that the fraction of ’new’ customers that the challenger can capture—\((1-x_0)\tau \)—to ’old’ customers that are served by the incumbent—\(x_0\tau \)—is a constant \(\kappa =\frac{1-x_0}{x_0}\); and suppose that \(\tau \) itself is ex ante uncertain. Then the challenger’s profits - when pricing uniformly and facing a price discriminating incumbent and conditional on \(x_0\) - are

$$\begin{aligned} \pi ^*_B(\tau )=\tau \frac{\left( \kappa \left( 1-F_B(\sigma ^*_B)\right) +F_A(\sigma ^*_A)\right) ^2}{\kappa f_B(\sigma ^*_B)+f_A(\sigma ^*_A)}. \end{aligned}$$

Notice that

$$\begin{aligned} \sigma ^*_A= & {} p^*_A-p^*_B=\frac{1-F_A(\sigma ^*_A)}{f_A(\sigma ^*_A)} -\frac{\kappa \left( 1-F_B(\sigma ^*_B)\right) +F_A(\sigma ^*_A)}{\kappa f_B(\sigma ^*_B)+f_A(\sigma ^*A)}\\ \sigma ^*_B= & {} p^*_B-p^*_A+m^*_A=\frac{\kappa \left( 1-F_B(\sigma ^*_B)\right) +F_A(\sigma ^*_A)}{\kappa f_B(\sigma ^*_B)+f_A(\sigma ^*A)} -\frac{F_B(\sigma ^*_b)}{f_B(\sigma ^*_B)}: \end{aligned}$$

The switching costs of the marginal customer depend on \(\kappa \), but not on \(\tau \).

Then, if the challenger firm has not entered the market yet, its expected profit from entering is given by

$$\begin{aligned} {\mathbb {E}}\left[ \pi ^*_B(\tau )\right] ={\mathbb {E}}\left[ \tau \right] \frac{\left( \kappa \left( 1-F_B(\sigma ^*_B)\right) +F_A(\sigma ^*_A)\right) ^2}{\kappa f_B(\sigma ^*_B)+f_A(\sigma ^*_A)}. \end{aligned}$$

When the incumbent prices uniformly,

$$\begin{aligned} {\mathbb {E}}[\pi ^{*u}_B(\tau )]={\mathbb {E}}\left[ \tau \right] \frac{\left( \kappa +F_A(\sigma ^{*u}_A)\right) ^2}{f_A(\sigma ^{*u}_A)}, \end{aligned}$$

and this is seen to exceed \({\mathbb {E}}[\pi ^*_B(x_0)]\).Footnote 59 So, as the challenger compares expected profit from entry with any sunk cost that is associated with entry, price discrimination on the part of the incumbent, as opposed to uniform pricing, erects a higher entry barrier for a uniform-pricing challenger.

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Beckert, W., Siciliani, P. Protecting Sticky Consumers in Essential Markets. Rev Ind Organ 61, 247–278 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11151-022-09880-z

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