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Table 2 Are marginals less different when the national result isn’t marginal?

From: Are marginals different? Evidence from British elections 1950–2015

  Swing to gainer Swing to gainer Swing to gainer
MAJ 0.1092*** 0.0887*** 0.1451***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
MAJ2 −0.0025*** −0.0020*** −0.0032
(0.000) (0.000) (0.000)***
MAJ * NATLEAD −0.0082***
(0.009)   
MAJ2 * NATLEAD 0.0002***
(0.000)   
MAJ * POLLLEAD −0.0037*
  (0.076)  
MAJ2 * POLLLEAD 0.0001***
  (0.001)  
Other parties −0.0201*** −0.0196*** −0.0349***
(0.002) (0.002) (0.007)
Incumbent 0.8091*** 0.7991*** 0.4506***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.010)
Lag incumbent −0.8311*** −0.8204*** −0.3719***
(0.000) (0.000) (0.007)
1951 0.591 0.605 0.307
1955 0.978 1.024
1959 0.532 0.522
1964 3.289 3.405
1966 2.613 2.555 2.334
1970 4.244 4.278
1974 (Oct) 1.691 1.764 1.545
1979 4.434 4.376
1987 2.711 2.444
1992 3.019 2.939
2001 1.77 1.607
2005 3.203 3.284
2015 1.067 0.918
Adj R2 0.503 0.503 0.429
No. of obs. 6231 6231 1611
  1. * significant at 10% level, *** significant at 1% level