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Public transport demand: dynamic panel model analysis

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Abstract

This paper presents an original essay that explains the mobility behaviour towards the public transport supply in Tunisia. This research aims to determine the key variables affecting an individual’s decision to travel by public transport and explains how the use of these means fits the mobility strategies. The dynamic panel model is applied to twelve Tunisian Regional companies, where we aim to analyze the behaviours of Tunisian citizens in the regions where Regional Transport Companies ensure the total service supply of urban, interurban and suburban public transport of travellers. The results show that mobility behaviours are subject to various variables. In particular, service quality, mean price and active population are the most significant variables regarding public transport demand in Tunisia.

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Notes

  1. RTC of Béja, RTC of Bizerte, RTC of Gabés, RTC of Gafsa, RTC of Jendouba, RTC of Kairouan, RTC of Kasserine, RTC of Kef, RTC of Médenine, RTC of Nabeul, RTC of Sfax, RTC of Sousse.

  2. The basic model contains all the explicative variables. Following a correlation between the global income of all the inhabitants and the general occupation rate of population, we have estimated two other models where each of these variables is included in one model.

  3. RTC of Sousse serves 3 departments: Sousse, Monastir and Mahdia. RTC of Gabes serves 2 departments: Gabes and Gabéli. RTC of Gafsa serves 3 departments: Sidi Bouzid, Gafsa and Tozeur. RTC of Kef serves 2 departments: Kef and Siliana. RTC of Mednine serves 2 departments: Mednine and Tataouine. RTC of Nabeul serves 2 departments: Nabeul and Zaghouan.

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Acknowledgments

We thank three anonymous referees for making a range of interesting suggestions based on a previous version of this paper. We would also like to thank Louafi Bouzouina and Hind Aissaoui of the “Laboratory of Transport Economics” for rereading our paper and their comments.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Laboratory of Economics and Industrial Management (LEGI), Polytechnic School of Tunisia and Faculty of Economics and management of Nabeul, University of Carthage, Tunis, Tunisia

    Manel Daldoul & Ahlem Dakhlaoui

  2. Laboratory of Transport Economics (LET), ENTPE, University of Lyon, Lyon, France

    Sami Jarboui

  3. Unit of Research in Applied Economics (URECA), Faculty of Economics and Management, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia

    Sami Jarboui

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  1. Manel Daldoul
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  2. Sami Jarboui
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  3. Ahlem Dakhlaoui
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Correspondence to Sami Jarboui.

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Daldoul, M., Jarboui, S. & Dakhlaoui, A. Public transport demand: dynamic panel model analysis. Transportation 43, 491–505 (2016). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-015-9586-1

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