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Modeling interdependencies between vehicle transaction, residential relocation and job change

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Abstract

This paper introduces a vehicle transaction timing model which is conditional on household residential and job relocation timings. Further, the household residential location and members’ job relocation timing decisions are jointly estimated. Some researchers have modeled the household vehicle ownership decision jointly with other household decisions like vehicle type choice or VMT; however, these models were basically static and changes in household taste over time has been ignored in nearly all of these models. The proposed model is a dynamic joint model in which the effects of land-use, economy and disaggregate travel activity attributes on the major household decisions; residential location and members’ job relocation timing decisions for wife and husband of the household, are estimated. Each of these models is estimated using both the Weibull and log-logistic baseline hazard functions to assess the usefulness of a non-monotonic rather than monotonic baseline hazard function. The last three waves of the Puget Sound Panel Survey data and land-use, transportation, and built environment variables from the Seattle Metropolitan Area are used in this study as these waves include useful explanatory variables like household tenure that were not included in the previous waves.

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Notes

  1. The log-logistic function can be either monotonic or non-monotonic depending on its distribution parameters.

  2. The difference in the BIC between each pair of models may differ as there is likely to be some interaction among parameters and specification in a complex model structure.

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Acknowledgments

The authors are grateful to many individuals who helped with developing the modeling framework and provided different useful datasets. We are particularly indebted to the Puget Sound Regional Council and Mr. Neil Kilgren for providing the Puget Sound Transportation Panel data. We are also thankful to Professor Kostas Goulias for sharing his land-use and other useful variables with us.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Department of Civil and Materials Engineering, University of Illinois at Chicago, 842W. Taylor St, Chicago, IL, 60607, USA

    Taha H. Rashidi & Abolfazl Mohammadian

  2. Professor Emeritus of Civil Engineering and Transportation, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, McCormick School of Engineering and Applied Science, Evanston, IL, 60208, USA

    Frank S. Koppelman

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  1. Taha H. Rashidi
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  2. Abolfazl Mohammadian
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  3. Frank S. Koppelman
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Correspondence to Taha H. Rashidi.

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Rashidi, T.H., Mohammadian, A. & Koppelman, F.S. Modeling interdependencies between vehicle transaction, residential relocation and job change. Transportation 38, 909–932 (2011). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11116-011-9359-4

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