Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

No future, no kids–no kids, no future?

An exploration of motivations to remain childfree in times of climate change

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Population and Environment Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

Individuals around the world believe global climate change is a major threat, with media attention and polling suggesting young adults may decide to go childfree as a result. Yet, there is limited research on the link between environmental concern and reproductive attitudes. The purpose of this research was to explore how climate change-related concerns affect reproductive attitudes and motivations to remain childfree. Two studies were conducted: study 1 consisted of a content analysis of reader comments on articles discussing going childfree in response to climate change, and study 2 featured semi-structured interviews conducted in New Zealand and the USA. The impact of future children on the planet, in the context of overpopulation and overconsumption, was a major theme in both studies. Perspectives of doom and hope emerged simultaneously, indicating how climate anxiety influences reproductive attitudes. Study findings point at implications for public policy makers regarding this largely neglected perspective on climate change adaptation and mitigation and potential psychological and societal effects.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Similar content being viewed by others

Notes

  1. ‘Childless’ refers to individuals who desire to be parents but are unable to, ‘childfree’ indicates individuals who choose to not procreate even though they have the ability to do so and is a result of socio-cultural shifts in social norms and personal values (Blackstone & Stewart, 2016).

  2. Researchers influenced by positivist or postpositivist philosophies believe triangulation overcomes the limitations to only using one approach to research, providing a means to verify the findings of different methods (Salkind, 2010). Conversely, researchers influenced by a constructivist philosophy believe the benefits of triangulation are in its ability to provide multiple viewpoints on the phenomenon of interest and deepen the understanding of the research question (Salkind, 2010).

References

  • Adler, M. A. (1997). Social change and declines in marriage and fertility in Eastern Germany. Journal of Marriage and Family, 59(1), 37–49.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Aitken, C., Chapman, R., & McClure, J. (2011). Climate change, powerlessness and the commons dilemma: Assessing New Zealanders’ preparedness to act. Global Environmental Change, 21(2), 752–760.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ajzen, I., & Klobas, J. (2013). Fertility intentions: An approach based on the theory of planned behavior. Demographic Research, 29, 203–232.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Andrijevic, M., & Striessnig, E. (2017). Less Feet, Less Footprint: The Relationship Between Environmental Concern and Fertility Intentions. Paper presented at the International Population Conference, Cape Town, South Africa

  • Arnocky, S., Dupuis, D., & Stroink, M. L. (2012). Environmental concern and fertility intentions among Canadian university students. Population and Environment, 34(2), 279–292.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Basten, S., Lutz, W., & Scherbov, S. (2013). Very long range global population scenarios to 2300 and the implications of sustained low fertility. Demographic Research, 28, 1145–1166.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bergen, N., & Labonté, R. (2020). “Everything is perfect, and we have no problems”: Detecting and limiting social desirability bias in qualitative research. Qualitative Health Research, 30(5), 783–792.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Berry, H. L., Bowen, K., & Kjellstrom, T. (2010). Climate change and mental health: a causal pathways framework. International Journal of Public Health, 55(2), 123–132.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blackstone, A. (2014). Doing family without having kids. Sociology Compass, 8(1), 52–62.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blackstone, A. (2019). Childfree by choice: The movement redefining family and creating a new age of independence. Dutton.

  • Blackstone, A., & Stewart, M. D. (2012). Choosing to be childfree: Research on the decision not to parent. Sociology Compass, 6(9), 718–727.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Blackstone, A., & Stewart, M. D. (2016). “There’s more thinking to decide” how the childfree decide not to parent. The Family Journal, 24(3), 296–303.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Bradatan, C., & Firebaugh, G. (2007). History, population policies, and fertility decline in eastern Europe: A case study. Journal of Family History, 32(2), 179–192.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brauner-Otto, S. R. (2014). Environmental quality and fertility: the effects of plant density, species richness, and plant diversity on fertility limitation. Population and Environment, 36(1), 1–31.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Brauner-Otto, S. R., & Axinn, W. G. (2017). Natural resource collection and desired family size: a longitudinal test of environment-population theories. Population and Environment, 38(4), 381–406.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Cain, M. (1983). Fertility as an adjustment to risk. Population Development Review, 9(4), 688–702.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Caldwell, J. C. (1982). Theory of fertility decline. Academic Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Clayton, S., & Karazsia, B. T. (2020). Development and validation of a measure of climate change anxiety. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 101434.

  • Collins, L., & Nerlich, B. (2015). Examining user comments for deliberative democracy: A corpus-driven analysis of the climate change debate online. Environmental Communication, 9(2), 189–207.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Creswell, J. W., & Miller, D. L. (2000). Determining validity in qualitative inquiry. Theory into Practice, 39(3), 124–130.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Dasgupta, P. (1993). An inquiry into well-being and destitution. Oxford University Press.

    Google Scholar 

  • Davis, A. C., Arnocky, S., & Stroink, M. (2019). The problem of overpopulation: Proenvironmental concerns and behavior predict reproductive attitudes. Ecopsychology, 11(2), 92–100.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • De Kraker, J., Kuijs, S., Cörvers, R., & Offermans, A. (2014). Internet public opinion on climate change: a world views analysis of online reader comments. International Journal of Climate Change Strategies and Management, 6(1), 19–33.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • De Rose, A., & Testa, M. R. (2015a). Climate change and reproductive intentions in Europe. In D. Strangio & G. Sancetta (Eds.), Italy in a European Context (pp. 194-212). Palgrave Macmillan.

  • De Rose, A., & Testa, M. R. (2015b). The ecological awareness and fear for climate change in Euope. Annali del Dipartimento di Metodi e Modelli per l’Economia, 113-135.

  • Fahlén, S., & Oláh, L. (2015). The impact of economic uncertainty on childbearing intentions in Europe. Families and Societies: Working Paper Series, 36.

  • Fereday, J., & Muir-Cochrane, E. (2006). Demonstrating rigor using thematic analysis: A hybrid approach of inductive and deductive coding and theme development. International Journal of Qualitative Methods, 5(1), 80–92.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Fleming, A. (2018, June 20). Would you give up having children to save the planet? Meet the couples who have, The Guardian. https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/jun/20/give-up-having-children-couples-save-planet-climate-crisis

  • Francis, J. J., Johnston, M., Robertson, C., Glidewell, L., Entwistle, V., Eccles, M. P., & Grimshaw, J. M. (2010). What is an adequate sample size? Operationalising data saturation for theory-based interview studies. Psychology and Health, 25(10), 1229–1245.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ghimire, D. J., & Mohai, P. (2005). Environmentalism and contraceptive use: How people in less developed settings approach environmental Issues. Population and Environment, 27(1), 29–61.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Gifford, R., & Sussman, R. (2012). Environmental attitudes. In S. D. Clayton (Ed.), Oxford library of psychology: The Oxford handbook of environmental and conservation psychology (p. 65-80). Oxford University Press.

  • Gillespie, R. (2000). When no means no: Disbelief, disregard and deviance as discourses of voluntary childlessness. Women’s Studies International Forum, 23(2), 223–234.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Grbich, C. (2012). Qualitative data analysis: an introduction. Sage.

    Google Scholar 

  • Gregory-Smith, D., Smith, A., & Winklhofer, H. (2013). Emotions and dissonance in “ethical” consumption choices. Journal of Marketing Management, 29(11–12), 1201–1223.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guest, G., Bunce, A., & Johnson, L. (2006). How many interviews are enough?: An experiment with data saturation and variability. Field Methods, 18(1), 59–82.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Guion, L. A., Diehl, D. C., & McDonald, D. (2011). Triangulation: Establishing the validity of qualitative studies. EDIS, 2011(8), 3–3.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Hayes, K., & Poland, B. (2018). Addressing mental health in a changing climate: Incorporating mental health indicators into climate change and health vulnerability and adaptation assessments. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 15(9), 1806.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Heer, B., Polito, V., & Wickens, M. R. (2020). Population aging, social security and fiscal limits. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 116, 103913.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Helm, S. V., Pollitt, A., Barnett, M. A., Curran, M. A., & Craig, Z. R. (2018). Differentiating environmental concern in the context of psychological adaption to climate change. Global Environmental Change, 48, 158–167.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Henrich, N., & Holmes, B. (2013). Web news readers comments: Towards developing a methodology for using on-line comments in social inquiry. Journal of Media and Communication studies, 5(1), 1–4.

    Google Scholar 

  • IPCC. (2018). Global Warming of 1.5°C. Retrieved from https://www.ipcc.ch/sr15/

  • Janetzko, D. (2008). Nonreactive data collection. In N.G. Fielding, R.M. Lee & G, Blank, The SAGE handbook of online research methods (Eds.), 161-173.

  • Johnson, P. (1990). Our ageing population – The implications for business and government. Long Range Planning, 23(2), 55–62.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kolbe, R. H., & Burnett, M. S. (1991). Content-analysis research: An examination of applications with directives for improving research reliability and objectivity. Journal of Consumer Research, 18(2), 243–250.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Kuzel, A. (1992). Sampling in qualitative inquiry. In B. Crabtree & W. Miller (Eds.), Doing Qualitative Research (pp. 31–44). Sage.

    Google Scholar 

  • Landry, N., Gifford, R., Milfont, T. L., Weeks, A., & Arnocky, S. (2018). Learned helplessness moderates the relationship between environmental concern and behavior. Journal of Environmental Psychology, 55, 18–22.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Lincoln, Y. S., & Guba, E. G. (1985). Naturalistic inquiry. SAGE Publications Ltd.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Lindberg, L. D., & Kost, K. (2014). Exploring US men’s birth intentions. Maternal and Child Health Journal, 18(3), 625–633.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Malhotra, N. K. (2010). Marketing Research: An applied orientation. Prentice Hall.

    Book  Google Scholar 

  • Marlon, J., Howe, P., Mildenberger, M., Leiserowitz, A., & Wang, X. (2020). Yale Climate Opinion Maps 2020. https://climatecommunication.yale.edu/visualizations-data/ycom-us/

  • Merz, E.-M. (2012). Fertility intentions depend on intergenerational relations: A life course perspective. Family Science, 3(3–4), 237–245.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Miettinen, A., & Szalma, I. (2014). Childlessness intentions and ideals in Europe. Finnish Yearbook of Population Research, 49, 31–55.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Miller, C. C. (2018, July 5). Americans are having fewer babies. They told us why., The New York Times. https://www.nytimes.com/2018/07/05/upshot/americans-are-having-fewer-babies-they-told-us-why.html

  • Murtaugh, P. A., & Schlax, M. G. (2009). Reproduction and the carbon legacies of individuals. Global Environmental Change, 19(1), 14–20.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • #No Future, No Children. (2020). Retrieved June 19, 2020 from http://www.nofuturepledge.ca/

  • O’Neill, B. C., & Wexler, L. (2000). The greenhouse externality to childbearing: A sensitivity analysis. Climactic Change, 47, 283–324.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Ojala, M., & Bengtsson, H. (2019). Young people’s coping strategies concerning climate change: Relations to perceived communication with parents and friends and proenvironmental behavior. Environment and Behavior, 51(8), 907–935.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Park, K. (2002). Stigma management among the voluntarily childless. Sociological Perspectives, 45, 21–45.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Pew Research Center. (2019a). Climate change still seen as the top global threat, but cyberattacks a rising concern. Retrieved from https://www.pewresearch.org/global/wp-content/uploads/sites/2/2019/02/Pew-Research-Center_Global-Threats-2018-Report_2019-02-10.pdf

  • Pew Research Center. (2019b). A look at how people around the world view climate change. Retrieved from https://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2019/04/18/a-look-at-how-people-around-the-world-view-climate-change/

  • Pimentel, D., Harman, R., Pacenza, M., Pecarsky, J., & Pimentel, M. (1994). Natural resources and an optimum human population. Population and Environment, 15(5), 347–369.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Relman, E., & Hickey, W. (2019). More than a third of millennials share Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s worry about having kids while the threat of climate change looms, Insider. https://www.insider.com/millennials-americans-worry-about-kids-children-climate-change-poll-2019-3

  • Rowland, D. T. (2007). Historical trends in childlessness. Journal of Family Issues, 28(10), 1211–1337.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Salkind, N. J. (2010). Triangulation. In N. J Salkind (Eds.), Encyclopedia of research design (Vol. 1). Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage.

  • Salomon, E., Preston, J. L., & Tannenbaum, M. B. (2017). Climate change helplessness and the (de) moralization of individual energy behavior. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 23(1), 15.

    Google Scholar 

  • Sasson, I., & Weinreb, A. (2017). Land cover change and fertility in West-Central Africa: rural livelihoods and the vicious circle model. Population and Environment, 38(4), 345–368.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Satterthwaite, D. (2009). The implications of population growth and urbanization for climate change. Environment and Urbanization, 21(2), 545–567.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Schuth, A., Marx, M., & De Rijke, M. (2007). Extracting the discussion structure in comments on news-articles. Paper presented at the Proceedings of the 9th annual ACM international workshop on Web information and data management.

  • Stebbins, R. A. (2001). What is exploration?. In RA. Stebbins, Exploratory research in the social sciences (pp. 2-17). SAGE Publications, Inc

  • Stern, N. (2008). The economics of climate change. American Economic Review, 98(2), 1–37.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Stokes, B. (2017). Global publics more upbeat about the economy, but many are pessimistic about children's future. Retrieved from Pew Research Centre website: www.pewresearch.org/global/2017/06/05/global-publics-more-upbeat-about-the-economy/

  • Taylor, C. A., Al-Hiyari, R., Lee, S. J., Priebe, A., Guerrero, L. W., & Bales, A. (2016). Beliefs and ideologies linked with approval of corporal punishment: a content analysis of online comments. Health Education Research, 31(4), 563–575.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • The World Bank Group. (2018). Fertility rate, total (births per woman). https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SP.DYN.TFRT.IN

  • Thévenon, O. (2011). Family policies in OECD Countries: A comparative analysis. Population and Development Review, 37(1), 57–87.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • Thurmond, V. (2001). The point of triangulation. Journal of Nursing Scholarship, 33(3), 254–256.

    Article  Google Scholar 

  • van Basshuysen, P., & Brandstedt, E. (2018). Comment on ‘The climate mitigation gap: education and government recommendations miss the most effective individual actions’. Environmental Research Letters, 13(4)

  • Woolf, A-L. (2019). Survey reveals most of us believe climate change is man-made. Stuff. https://www.stuff.co.nz/science/112407765/survey-reveals-most-of-us-believe-climate-change-is-manmade

  • Wynes, S., & Nicholas, K. A. (2017). The climate mitigation gap: education and government recommendations miss the most effective individual actions. Environmental Research Letters, 12(7), 074024.

    Article  Google Scholar 

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Joya A. Kemper.

Additional information

Publisher's Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

Helm, S., Kemper, J. & White, S. No future, no kids–no kids, no future?. Popul Environ 43, 108–129 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-021-00379-5

Download citation

  • Accepted:

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-021-00379-5

Keywords

Navigation