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Scenario Development for 2050 for the Israeli/Palestinian Water Sector

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Abstract

Scenario analysis suggests that by 2050 the population of Israel, the West Bank and Gaza will grow from its current 10 million to between 14 and 28 million. The scenarios developed are compared to available water resources and assessed for their viability. With all scenarios, except very high population growth in the context of inadequate co-operation between Israel and Palestine, the water resource needs of the entire population can be met. The analysis suggests that water need not be an obstacle to peace or economic development in the region.

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Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank Population and Environment’s referees for their detailed comments and suggestions. These were valuable when preparing the final version of the paper.

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. Centre for Environmental Strategy, University of Surrey, University of Surrey, Guildford, Surrey, GU2 7XH, UK

    Jonathan L. Chenoweth & Walter Wehrmeyer

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  1. Jonathan L. Chenoweth
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  2. Walter Wehrmeyer
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Correspondence to Jonathan L. Chenoweth.

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Chenoweth, J.L., Wehrmeyer, W. Scenario Development for 2050 for the Israeli/Palestinian Water Sector. Popul Environ 27, 245–261 (2006). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-006-0021-6

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11111-006-0021-6

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