Does the Ideological Proximity Between Candidates and Voters Affect Voting in U.S. House Elections?

Original Paper

Abstract

Do citizens hold congressional candidates accountable for their policy positions? Recent studies reach different conclusions on this important question. In line with the predictions of spatial voting theory, a number of recent survey-based studies have found reassuring evidence that voters choose the candidate with the most spatially proximate policy positions. In contrast, most electoral studies find that candidates’ ideological moderation has only a small association with vote margins, especially in the modern, polarized Congress. We bring clarity to these discordant findings using the largest dataset to date of voting behavior in congressional elections. We find that the ideological positions of congressional candidates have only a small association with citizens’ voting behavior. Instead, citizens cast their votes “as if” based on proximity to parties rather than individual candidates. The modest degree of candidate-centered spatial voting in recent Congressional elections may help explain the polarization and lack of responsiveness in the contemporary Congress.

Keywords

Spatial voting Electoral accountability Congress Representation 

Supplementary material

11109_2017_9437_MOESM1_ESM.pdf (168 kb)
Supplementary material 1 (pdf 168 KB)

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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2017

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Political ScienceUCLALos AngelesUSA
  2. 2.Department of Political ScienceGeorge Washington UniversityWashingtonUSA

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