Political Behavior

, Volume 32, Issue 4, pp 473–494 | Cite as

Revisiting the Political Theory of Party Identification

  • Aaron C. WeinschenkEmail author
Original Paper


Recently, Lewis-Beck et al. (The American Voter Revisited, 2008b) re-created The American Voter using contemporary data. Although these scholars ultimately conclude that voters today behave in ways that are consistent with the account of voting behavior presented in The American Voter, their work nonetheless highlights the importance and value of re-examining past ideas. Given that Lewis-Beck et al. have re-tested the findings of The American Voter, it is both timely and worthwhile to re-examine Fiorina’s (Retrospective voting in American national elections, 1981) political theory of party identification, which is often seen as a critique of the theory of party identification presented in The American Voter, using newly available panel data. In this paper, I re-examine Fiorina’s (Retrospective voting in American national elections, 1981) political theory of party identification using data from the 2000–2002–2004 NES panel study. In addition to applying Fiorina’s approach to party identification to new data, as a more robust test of Fiorina’s theory, I develop a model of party identification where changes in party identification are modeled as a function of the actual changes in retrospective political evaluations. Overall, my findings are broadly consistent with the findings from Fiorina’s original model of party identification; however, my analysis suggests that the distribution of opinions in the electorate and elite signals may be important to changes in party identification.


Foreign Policy Political Theory Retrospective Evaluation Party Identification Republican Party 
These keywords were added by machine and not by the authors. This process is experimental and the keywords may be updated as the learning algorithm improves.



I would like to extend a special thanks to Thomas Holbrook for his thoughtful comments and guidance on earlier versions of this paper. I would also like to thank Kathleen Dolan and Marcus Ethridge for their helpful comments. Finally, my thanks go to Morris Fiorina for reading and commenting on a draft of this paper.


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Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Department of Political ScienceUniversity of Wisconsin–MilwaukeeMilwaukeeUSA

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