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What do philosophers believe?

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Abstract

What are the philosophical views of contemporary professional philosophers? We surveyed many professional philosophers in order to help determine their views on 30 central philosophical issues. This article documents the results. It also reveals correlations among philosophical views and between these views and factors such as age, gender, and nationality. A factor analysis suggests that an individual’s views on these issues factor into a few underlying components that predict much of the variation in those views. The results of a metasurvey also suggest that many of the results of the survey are surprising: philosophers as a whole have quite inaccurate beliefs about the distribution of philosophical views in the profession.

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Notes

  1. For non-binary questions, the first two options below are replaced by “Accept more than one, undecided between others” and “Reject all.”

  2. http://philpapers.org/surveys.

  3. We estimated genders based on the frequency of first names for both genders in the 1990 US census. A name is counted as female if it occurs with a frequency of at least 1 out of 1,000 among females and is at least 50 times more common among females than males (the same procedure is applied for males, mutadis mutandis). We chose these thresholds to obtain 100 % matching with the genders specified by respondents. Approximately 60 % of the target faculty population were assigned a gender by this method.

  4. http://philpapers.org/surveys.

  5. http://philpapers.org/surveys.

  6. The number of components to extract (seven) was determined by using a parallel analysis (Horn 1965). See Appendix 2 for details. The number of components this analysis suggests also yields the more interpretable results and the simplest loading matrix.

  7. Minimum residuals, weighted least squares, generalized least squares, principal axis factoring, and maximum likelihood.

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Acknowledgments

Thanks to Kelvin McQueen for research assistance. Thanks to many beta testers and other consultants for their help with survey design. For feedback on this paper, thanks to Chris Green, Kieran Healy, Angela Mendelovici, Thomas Sturm, and anonymous reviewers. Finally, thanks to everyone who completed the survey.

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Correspondence to David Bourget.

Appendices

Appendix 1: Detailed survey results

The following tables show the main answers of the 931 target faculty participants with a 95% confidence interval. We show the aggregate percentage of respondents for each of the main available position, with a breakdown of the specific options. Options that did not reach 2% are omitted.

A priori knowledge: yes or no?

 Yes

71.1 ± 1.7 %

Accept (50.8 %), Lean toward (20.3 %)

 No

18.4 ± 0.9 %

Lean toward (12.1 %), Accept (6.2 %)

 Other

10.5 ± 0.7 %

The question is too unclear to answer (4.6 %)

Abstract objects: Platonism or nominalism?

 Platonism

39.3 ± 1.3 %

Accept (19.8 %), Lean toward (19.5 %)

 Nominalism

37.7 ± 1.3 %

Lean toward (22.6 %), Accept (15.1 %)

 Other

23.0 ± 1.0 %

Agnostic/undecided (5.0 %), Accept another alternative (4.9 %), Reject both (3.7 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (2.8 %), Accept an intermediate view (2.3 %), The question is too unclear to answer (2.0 %)

Aesthetic value: objective or subjective?

 Objective

41.0 ± 1.3 %

Lean toward (27.1 %), Accept (14.0 %)

 Subjective

34.5 ± 1.2 %

Lean toward (19.4 %), Accept (15.0 %)

 Other

24.5 ± 1.0 %

Accept an intermediate view (6.6 %), The question is too unclear to answer (4.5 %), Agnostic/undecided (3.2 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (3.1 %), Accept another alternative (2.6 %), Accept both (2.6 %)

Analytic–synthetic distinction: yes or no?

 Yes

64.9 ± 1.6 %

Accept (36.8 %), Lean toward (28.0 %)

 No

27.1 ± 1.1 %

Lean toward (14.6 %), Accept (12.5 %)

 Other

8.1 ± 0.6 %

The question is too unclear to answer (2.5 %)

Epistemic justification: internalism or externalism?

 Externalism

42.7 ± 1.3 %

Lean toward (26.7 %), Accept (16.0 %)

 Other

30.8 ± 1.1 %

Accept an intermediate view (6.9 %), Agnostic/undecided (6.0 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (4.7 %), Accept both (4.6 %), The question is too unclear to answer (3.0 %), Accept another alternative (2.1 %)

 Internalism

26.4 ± 1.1 %

Lean toward (17.3 %), Accept (9.1 %)

External world: idealism, skepticism, or non-skeptical realism?

 Non-skeptical realism

81.6 ± 1.8 %

Accept (61.4 %), Lean toward (20.2 %)

 Other

9.2 ± 0.6 %

Accept another alternative (2.6 %)

 Skepticism

4.8 ± 0.5 %

Lean toward (3.0 %), Accept (1.8 %)

 Idealism

4.3 ± 0.4 %

Lean toward (2.7 %), Accept (1.6 %)

Free will: compatibilism, libertarianism, or no free will?

 Compatibilism

59.1 ± 1.6 %

Accept (34.8 %), Lean toward (24.3 %)

 Other

14.9 ± 0.8 %

Agnostic/undecided (4.1 %), The question is too unclear to answer (2.8 %)

 Libertarianism

13.7 ± 0.8 %

Accept (7.7 %), Lean toward (6.0 %)

 No free will

12.2 ± 0.7 %

Lean toward (6.6 %), Accept (5.7 %)

God: theism or atheism?

 Atheism

72.8 ± 1.7 %

Accept (61.9 %), Lean toward (11.0 %)

 Theism

14.6 ± 0.8 %

Accept (10.6 %), Lean toward (4.0 %)

 Other

12.6 ± 0.7 %

Agnostic/undecided (5.5 %)

Knowledge claims: contextualism, relativism, or invariantism?

 Contextualism

40.1 ± 1.3 %

Lean toward (28.0 %), Accept (12.0 %)

 Invariantism

31.1 ± 1.2 %

Lean toward (19.7 %), Accept (11.5 %)

 Other

25.9 ± 1.1 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (9.0 %), Agnostic/undecided (5.7 %), The question is too unclear to answer (2.5 %)

 Relativism

2.9 ± 0.4 %

Lean toward (1.7 %), Accept (1.2 %)

Knowledge: empiricism or rationalism?

 Other

37.2 ± 1.3 %

Accept an intermediate view (11.4 %), The question is too unclear to answer (9.8 %), Accept both (6.3 %), Reject both (3.5 %), Accept another alternative (2.7 %)

 Empiricism

35.0 ± 1.2 %

Lean toward (21.4 %), Accept (13.6 %)

 Rationalism

27.8 ± 1.1 %

Lean toward (17.2 %), Accept (10.6 %)

Laws of nature: Humean or non-Humean?

 Non-Humean

57.1 ± 1.5 %

Accept (29.2 %), Lean toward (27.9 %)

 Humean

24.7 ± 1.0 %

Lean toward (16.0 %), Accept (8.7 %)

 Other

18.2 ± 0.9 %

Agnostic/undecided (6.4 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (5.5 %)

Logic: classical or non-classical?

 Classical

51.6 ± 1.5 %

Accept (27.6 %), Lean toward (24.0 %)

 Other

33.1 ± 1.2 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (12.0 %), Agnostic/undecided (5.6 %), Accept both (5.2 %), The question is too unclear to answer (3.4 %), There is no fact of the matter (3.2 %)

 Non-classical

15.4 ± 0.8 %

Lean toward (7.9 %), Accept (7.4 %)

Mental content: internalism or externalism?

 Externalism

51.1 ± 1.5 %

Lean toward (25.7 %), Accept (25.5 %)

 Other

28.9 ± 1.1 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (5.7 %), Agnostic/undecided (5.6 %), Accept an intermediate view (4.4 %), Accept both (3.9 %), The question is too unclear to answer (3.0%), Accept another alternative (2.3%)

 Internalism

20.0 ± 0.9 %

Lean toward (12.6%), Accept (7.4%)

Meta-Ethics: moral realism or moral anti-realism?

 Moral realism

56.4 ± 1.5 %

Accept (32.2%), Lean toward (24.2%)

 Moral anti-realism

27.7 ± 1.1 %

Lean toward (14.5%), Accept (13.2%)

 Other

15.9 ± 0.8 %

The question is too unclear to answer (2.9%), Accept another alternative (2.7%), Agnostic/undecided (2.6 %), Accept an intermediate view (2.5 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (2.5 %)

Metaphilosophy: naturalism or non-naturalism?

 Naturalism

49.8 ± 1.4 %

Accept (30.5 %), Lean toward (19.3 %)

 Non-naturalism

25.9 ± 1.1 %

Accept (14.8 %), Lean toward (11.1 %)

 Other

24.3 ± 1.0 %

The question is too unclear to answer (9.7 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (6.8 %), Agnostic/undecided (2.7 %)

Mind: physicalism or non-physicalism?

 Physicalism

56.5 ± 1.5 %

Accept (34.6 %), Lean toward (21.9 %)

 Non-physicalism

27.1 ± 1.1 %

Accept (14.2 %), Lean toward (12.9 %)

 Other

16.4 ± 0.8 %

The question is too unclear to answer (6.3 %), Agnostic/undecided (2.5 %), Accept an intermediate view (2.4 %)

Moral judgment: cognitivism or non-cognitivism?

 Cognitivism

65.7 ± 1.6 %

Accept (40.5 %), Lean toward (25.2 %)

 Other

17.3 ± 0.9 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (4.7 %), Accept an intermediate view (4.0 %), Agnostic/undecided (2.1 %)

 Non-cognitivism

17.0 ± 0.9 %

Lean toward (11.3 %), Accept (5.7 %)

Moral motivation: internalism or externalism?

 Other

35.3 ± 1.2 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (14.8 %), Agnostic/undecided (6.0 %), The question is too unclear to answer (4.8 %), Accept an intermediate view (3.5 %), Skip (2.1 %)

 Internalism

34.9 ± 1.2 %

Lean toward (22.0 %), Accept (12.9 %)

 Externalism

29.8 ± 1.1 %

Lean toward (16.5 %), Accept (13.2 %)

Newcomb’s problem: one box or two boxes?

 Other

47.4 ± 1.4 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (23.5 %), Agnostic/undecided (13.3 %), Skip (4.7 %), The question is too unclear to answer (2.0 %)

 Two boxes

31.4 ± 1.2 %

Accept (20.5 %), Lean toward (10.8 %)

 One box

21.3 ± 1.0 %

Accept (11.7 %), Lean toward (9.6 %)

Normative Ethics: deontology, consequentialism, or virtue ethics?

 Other

32.3 ± 1.2 %

Accept more than one (8.4 %), Agnostic/undecided (5.2 %), Accept an intermediate view (4.0 %), Accept another alternative (3.5 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (3.3 %), Reject all (2.7 %)

 Deontology

25.9 ± 1.1 %

Lean toward (16.0 %), Accept (9.9 %)

 Consequentialism

23.6 ± 1.0 %

Lean toward (14.0 %), Accept (9.7 %)

 Virtue ethics

18.2 ± 0.9 %

Lean toward (12.6 %), Accept (5.6 %)

Perceptual experience: disjunctivism, qualia theory, representationalism, or sense-datum theory?

 Other

42.2 ± 1.3 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (16.2 %), Agnostic/undecided (8.4 %), Accept another alternative (3.9 %), Reject all (3.3 %), The question is too unclear to answer (2.6 %), Reject one or two, undecided between others (2.3 %), Skip (2.3 %)

 Representationalism

31.5 ± 1.2 %

Lean toward (21.2 %), Accept (10.3 %)

 Qualia theory

12.2 ± 0.7 %

Lean toward (9.0 %), Accept (3.2 %)

 Disjunctivism

11.0 ± 0.7 %

Lean toward (7.4 %), Accept (3.5 %)

 Sense-datum theory

3.1 ± 0.4 %

Lean toward (1.8 %), Accept (1.3 %)

Personal identity: biological view, psychological view, or further-fact view?

 Other

37.3 ± 1.3 %

Agnostic/undecided (8.5 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (6.2 %), There is no fact of the matter (4.2 %), Accept more than one (4.0 %), Accept another alternative (3.9 %), The question is too unclear to answer (2.8 %), Accept an intermediate view (2.7 %), Reject all (2.6 %)

 Psychological view

33.6 ± 1.2 %

Lean toward (22.7 %), Accept (11.0 %)

 Biological view

16.9 ± 0.9 %

Lean toward (11.3 %), Accept (5.6 %)

 Further-fact view

12.2 ± 0.7 %

Lean toward (7.8 %), Accept (4.4 %)

Politics: communitarianism, egalitarianism, or libertarianism?

 Other

41.0 ± 1.3 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (10.7 %), Agnostic/undecided (5.5 %), The question is too unclear to answer (4.5 %), Accept more than one (4.0 %), Accept another alternative (4.0 %), Accept an intermediate view (3.8 %), Reject all (3.4 %), Skip (2.0 %)

 Egalitarianism

34.8 ± 1.2 %

Lean toward (20.5 %), Accept (14.3 %)

 Communitarianism

14.3 ± 0.8 %

Lean toward (11.6 %), Accept (2.7 %)

 Libertarianism

9.9 ± 0.7 %

Lean toward (7.0 %), Accept (2.9 %)

Proper names: Fregean or Millian?

 Other

36.8 ± 1.3 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (13.7 %), Agnostic/undecided (6.3 %), Accept an intermediate view (4.2 %), Accept another alternative (3.4 %), The question is too unclear to answer (2.6 %), Reject both (2.4 %)

 Millian

34.5 ± 1.2 %

Lean toward (18.7 %), Accept (15.8 %)

 Fregean

28.7 ± 1.1 %

Lean toward (18.0 %), Accept (10.6 %)

Science: scientific realism or scientific anti-realism?

 Scientific realism

75.1 ± 1.7 %

Accept (47.0 %), Lean toward (28.0 %)

 Other

13.3 ± 0.8 %

Accept an intermediate view (3.2 %), The question is too unclear to answer (2.5 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (2.0 %)

 Scientific anti-realism

11.6 ± 0.7 %

Lean toward (8.3 %), Accept (3.3 %)

Teletransporter: survival or death?

 Survival

36.2 ± 1.2 %

Lean toward (22.7 %), Accept (13.5 %)

 Other

32.7 ± 1.2 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (9.2 %), Agnostic/undecided (8.6 %), There is no fact of the matter (6.0 %), The question is too unclear to answer (3.7 %), Skip (2.0 %)

 Death

31.1 ± 1.2 %

Accept (17.4 %), Lean toward (13.7 %)

Time: A- or B-theory?

 Other

58.2 ± 1.6 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (30.8 %), Agnostic/undecided (10.5 %), Skip (5.7 %), Accept both (3.1 %), The question is too unclear to answer (2.0 %)

 B-theory

26.3 ± 1.1 %

Accept (15.8 %), Lean toward (10.5 %)

 A-theory

15.5 ± 0.8 %

Lean toward (9.5 %), Accept (6.0 %)

Trolley problem: switch or don’t switch?

 Switch

68.2 ± 1.7 %

Accept (45.1 %), Lean toward (23.1 %)

 Other

24.2 ± 1.0 %

Agnostic/undecided (6.4 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (4.5 %), There is no fact of the matter (3.7 %), The question is too unclear to answer (2.9 %)

 Don’t switch

7.6 ± 0.6 %

Lean toward (4.8 %), Accept (2.8 %)

Truth: correspondence, deflationary, or epistemic?

 Correspondence

50.8 ± 1.5 %

Accept (26.2 %), Lean toward (24.6 %)

 Deflationary

24.8 ± 1.0 %

Lean toward (15.8 %), Accept (9.0 %)

 Other

17.5 ± 0.9 %

Agnostic/undecided (3.4 %), Insufficiently familiar with the issue (3.0 %), Reject all (2.5 %), Accept another alternative (2.1 %)

 Epistemic

6.9 ± 0.5 %

Lean toward (5.0 %), Accept (1.8 %)

Zombies: inconceivable, conceivable but not metaphysically possible, or metaphysically possible?

 Conceivable but not metaphysically possible

35.6 ± 1.2 %

Lean toward (20.5 %), Accept (15.0 %)

 Other

25.1 ± 1.0 %

Insufficiently familiar with the issue (9.0 %), Agnostic/undecided (6.6 %), The question is too unclear to answer (4.3 %)

 Metaphysically possible

23.3 ± 1.0 %

Accept (12.4 %), Lean toward (11.0 %)

 Inconceivable

16.0 ± 0.8 %

Lean toward (8.8 %), Accept (7.2 %)

Appendix 2: details of principal component analysis and factor analysis

See Fig. 5 and Table18.

Fig. 5
figure 5

Parallel analysis screen plots

Table 18 SS loadings and variance explained by rotated principal components

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Bourget, D., Chalmers, D.J. What do philosophers believe?. Philos Stud 170, 465–500 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11098-013-0259-7

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