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Risk assessment of the city water resources system based on Pansystems Observation-Control Model of Periphery

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Abstract

Study on risk assessment of water resources system is the key to ensure the water resources security and its sustainable utilization. Under the principles of sustainable utilization of water resources, with the thinking of the risk, the Pansystems Observation-Control Model of Periphery is applied to risk assessment of water resources system, and the model is based on the periphery theory and pansystems theory, with the observation-control risk analysis technology as the technical core. According to the synchronized analysis of the risk and gain of the five sustainable utilization schemes of water resources of Kiamusze in Heilongjiang, the best one for Kiamusze was confirmed and also opens a new way to research in the field of risk assessment of water resources system.

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Acknowledgments

National Natural Science Foundation of China (No: 51179032, 51209038, 51279031); Ministry of Water Resources' Special Funds for Scientific Research on Public Causes (No: 201301096); Province Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang (No: E201241); Heilongjiang Province Water Conservancy Science and Technology project (No: 201318); Scientific Research Fund of Heilongjiang Provincial Education Department (No: 12531009); Doctor Research Fund of Northeast Agricultural University (No: 2012RCB58); The Yangtze River Scholars Support Program of Colleges and Universities in Heilongjiang Province; New Century Talent Supporting Project by Education Ministry; Cultivation plan of excellent talents in new century of Colleges in Heilongjiang Province (No: 1155-NCET-004).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. School of Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering, Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin, 150030, China

    Qiang Fu, Fanli Gong, Qiuxiang Jiang, Tianxiao Li, Kun Cheng, He Dong & Xiaosong Ma

  2. Collaborative Innovation Centre of Promote Grain Production in Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, 150030, China

    Qiang Fu, Qiuxiang Jiang & Tianxiao Li

  3. Key Laboratory of Water-Saving Agriculture of Regular Institutions of Higher Education in Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, 150030, China

    Qiang Fu, Qiuxiang Jiang & Tianxiao Li

Authors
  1. Qiang Fu
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  2. Fanli Gong
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  3. Qiuxiang Jiang
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  4. Tianxiao Li
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  5. Kun Cheng
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  6. He Dong
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  7. Xiaosong Ma
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Correspondence to Qiang Fu.

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Fu, Q., Gong, F., Jiang, Q. et al. Risk assessment of the city water resources system based on Pansystems Observation-Control Model of Periphery. Nat Hazards 71, 1899–1912 (2014). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-1004-4

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  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-1004-4

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