Abstract
In 2011, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) reported that the coastal population of the US that lives within 50 miles of the shoreline exceeded 50 % for the first time in history in spite of a high level of exposure to hurricanes and related flooding. Hurricane Andrew (1992), Mitch (1998), Ivan (2004), Katrina (2005), and Sandy (2012) are recent reminders of both the financial and human toll that result from hurricanes. Generally, hurricanes bring with them torrential rains and storm surges which enable destructive flooding inland and at the coastal (land–sea) interface and cause extensive and severe damages to residential structures and fatalities. An improved understanding of hurricanes and its interactive effects on the built environment will significantly reduce structural and non-structural damage and loss of life. This paper presents the method and results of a study that focused on application of a hybrid loss model which combines structural and non-structural damage vulnerabilities to quantify the damage and subsequent loss as a result of hurricanes, but particularly the extension to the community level. The methodology presented in this paper will help enable designers and/or planners to assess the change in anticipated losses at the community level as a result of one or more mitigation strategies as well as provide insight into land use planning.
Similar content being viewed by others
References
ADCIRC (2012) ADCIRC coastal circulation and storm surge model. Retrieved November 2012 from http://adcirc.org/index.html
ASCE (2010) Minimum design loads for buildings and other structures, 2010 edn. ASCE/SEI 7-10, ASCE, Reston, VA, USA
City of Mobile (2012) Geographic information systems-gis department. Retrieved 12 June 2012
Dao TN, van de Lindt JW (2010) Methodology for wind-driven rainwater intrusion fragilities for light-frame wood roof systems. J Struct Eng 136(6):700–706
Dao TN, van de Lindt JW (2012) Loss analysis for wood frame buildings during hurricanes I: structure and hazard modeling. J Perform Constr Facil. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)CF.1943-5509.0000269
Ellingwood BR, Rosowsky DV, Li Y, Kim JH (2004) Fragility assessment of light-frame wood construction subjected to wind and earthquake hazards. J Struct Eng 130(12):1921–1930
FIU (2012) Hurricane loss reduction for residences and mobile home in Florida. Retrieved July 2012 from http://www.ihrc.fiu.edu/lwer/research/hlmp/hlmp_index.htm
Gurley KR, Masters FJ (2011) Post-2004 hurricane field survey of residential building performance. Nat Hazards Rev 12(4):177–183
Irish JL, Resio DT, Ratcliff JJ (2008) The influence of storm size on hurricane surge. J Phys Oceanogr 38:2003–2013
Knabb RD, Rhome JR, Brown DP (2005) Tropical cyclone report: Hurricane Katrina 23–30 August 2005. National Hurricane Center
Lee K, Rosowsky DV (2005) Fragility assessment for roof sheathing failure in high wind regions. Eng Struct 27:857–868
Li Y, Ellingwood BR (2006) Hurricane damage to residential construction in the US: importance of uncertainty modeling in risk assessment. Eng Struct 28:1009–1018
Li Y, van de Lindt JW, Dao TN, Sigridur B, Aakash A (2012) Loss analysis for combined wind and surge in hurricanes. Nat Hazards Rev 13(1):1–10
NOAA (2011) Retrieved March 2011 from http://stateofthecoast.noaa.gov/population/welcome.html
NOAA (2012) National Hurricane Center from http://www.nhc.noaa.gov
Park S, van de Lindt JW (2009) Formulation of seismic fragilities for a wood-frame building based on visually determined damage indexes. J Perform Constr Facil 23(5):346–352
Park S, van de Lindt JW, Cox D, Gupta R (2012a) Concept of community fragilities for tsunami coastal inundation studies. Nat Hazards Rev. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000092
Park S, van de Lindt JW, Li Y (2012b) ABV procedure combined with mechanistic response modeling for combined roof and surge loss estimation in hurricanes. J Perform Constr Facil. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)CF.1943-5509.0000397
Pinelli J-P, Simiu E, Gurley KR, Subramanian C, Zhang L, Cope A, Filiben JJ, Hamid S (2004) Hurricane damage prediction model for residential structures. J Struct Eng 130(11):1685–1691
Pinelli J-P, Gurley KR, Subramanian CS, Hamid SS, Pita GI (2008) Validation of a probabilistic model for hurricane insurance loss projections in Florida. Reliab Eng Syst Saf 93:1896–1905
Pinelli J-P, Pita GL, Gurley KR, Torkian B, Hamid SS, Subramanian CS (2011) Damage characterization: application to Florida public hurricane loss model. Nat Hazards Revew 12(4):190–195
Pita G, Pinelli J-P, Mitrani-Reiser J, Gurley K, Weekes J (2010) Latest improvements in the Florida public hurricane loss model. In: AAWE workshop 2010, Marco Island, FL, USA
Pita GL, Pinelli J-P, Gurley KR, Mitrani-Reiser J, Weekes J, Hamid SS (2012) Assessment of hurricane-induced internal damage to low-rise buildings in the Florida public hurricane loss model. J Wind Eng Ind Aerodyn 104–106:76–87
Pita GL, Pinelli J-P, Gurley KR, Hamid SS (2013) Hurricane vulnerability modeling: development and future trends. J Wind Eng Ind Aerodyn 114:96–105
Porter KA, Kiremidjian AS (2001) Assembly-based vulnerability of buildings and its uses in seismic performance evaluation and risk-management decision-making. Report 139. John A. Blume Earthquake Engineering Center, Stanford
Rosowsky DV, Ellingwood BR (2002) Performance-based engineering of wood frame housing: fragility analysis methodology. J Struct Eng 128(1):32–38
Shinozuka M, Feng MQ, Lee J, Naganuma T (2000) Statistical analysis of fragility curves. J Eng Mech 126(12):12241231
Taggart M (2007) Performance-based design of woodframe buildings for flood. MS thesis, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, USA
Taggart M, van de Lindt JW (2009) Performance-based design of residential wood-frame buildings for flood based on manageable loss. J Perform Constr Facil 23(2):56–64
van de Lindt JW, Dao TN (2012) Loss analysis for wood frame buildings during hurricanes II: loss estimation. J Perform Constr Facil. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)CF.1943-5509.0000270
van de Lindt JW, Graettinger A, Gupta R, Skaggs T, Pryor S, Fridley KJ (2007) Performance of wood-frame structures during Hurricane Katrina. J Perform Constr Facil 21(2):108–116
van de Lindt JW, Pei S, Dao T, Graettinger A, Prevatt DO, Gupta R, Coulbourne W (2012) A dual-objective-based tornado design philosophy. J Struct Eng. doi:10.1061/(ASCE)ST.1943-541X.0000622
Vickery PJ, Lin J, Skerlj PF, Jr LAT, Huang K (2006) HAZUS–MH hurricane model methodology. I: hurricane hazard, terrain, and wind load modeling. Nat Hazards Rev 7(2):82–93
Acknowledgments
The second author acknowledges the George T. Abell Professorship funds at Colorado State University.
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Corresponding author
Rights and permissions
About this article
Cite this article
Park, S., van de Lindt, J.W. & Li, Y. Application of the hybrid ABV procedure for assessing community risk to hurricanes spatially. Nat Hazards 68, 981–1000 (2013). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0674-2
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
Issue Date:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-013-0674-2