Abstract
Background
Serum albumin has been demonstrated as prognostic parameter in non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL). Primary central nervous system lymphoma (PCNSL) is a rare extranodal NHL with highly aggressive behavior. In this study, we aimed at creating a novel prognostic model for PCNSL based on serum albumin levels.
Methods
We compared several commonly used laboratory nutritional parameters for predicting the survival of PCNSL patients using overall survival (OS) for outcome analysis and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis to determine the optimal cut-off values. Parameters associated with OS were evaluated by univariate and multivariate analyses. Independent prognostic parameters for OS were selected for risk stratification, including albumin ≤ 4.1 g/dL, ECOG PS > 1, and LLR > 166.8, which were associated with shorter OS; albumin > 4.1 g/dL, ECOG PS 0–1 and LLR ≤ 166.8, which were associated with longer OS, and five-fold cross-validation was used for evaluating predictive accuracy of identified prognostic model.
Results
By univariate analysis, age, ECOG PS, MSKCC score, Lactate dehydrogenase-to-lymphocyte ratio (LLR), total protein, albumin, hemoglobin, and albumin to globulin ratio (AGR) resulted statistically associated with the OS of PCNSL. By multivariate analysis, albumin ≤ 4.1 g/dL, ECOG PS > 1, and LLR > 166.8 were confirmed to be significant predictors of inferior OS. We explored several PCNSL prognostic models based on albumin, ECOG PS and LLR with 1 point assigned to each parameter. Eventually, a novel and effective PCNSL prognostic model based on albumin and ECOG PS successfully classified patients into three risk groups with 5-year survival rates of 47.5%, 36.9%, and 11.9%, respectively.
Conclusions
The novel two-factor prognostic model based on albumin and ECOG PS we propose represents a simple but significant prognostic tool for assessing newly diagnosed patients with PCNSL.
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Data availability
Data collected for this study, including individual patient data, cannot be made publicly available due to privacy/regulatory restrictions, but can be requested to the corresponding author.
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Acknowledgements
We appreciate the members of all collborative centers for helpful discussions.
Funding
The work in the You Lab is supported by The National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 81911530169). The research activities are supported by CQMU Program for Youth Innovation in Future Medicine (W0202), Talent Program of Chongqing Health Commission, and Chongqing Science and Technology Bureau (CSTB2022NSCQ-MSX0227 and cstc2022jxjl120022).
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HY designed the study and contributed to manuscript revision. LW, YG and KTP performed the research, analyzed and interpreted the data, and wrote the first draft of the manuscript. RL, LT and LB contributed to manuscript preparation and revision. LW, BL, YH, AP, PC, AD, HZ, JL, and SJK collected the data and contributed to manuscript preparation.
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Wei, L., Gao, Y., Prochazka, K.T. et al. A novel prognostic model based on pretreatment serum albumin and ECOG PS for primary CNS lymphoma: an international, multi-center study. J Neurooncol 163, 301–311 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11060-023-04337-z
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11060-023-04337-z