Metallurgist

, Volume 54, Issue 1–2, pp 69–71 | Cite as

Using a poisson distribution to determine the probability of injury at the Aksusk ferroalloys plant

Article

This article describes the use of a Poisson distribution to determine the probability of injury. The sixth-degree polynomial that is obtained allows short-term (up to three years) prediction of injury with a reliability of 88%. The method can be used to predict injury in the ferroalloys industry of the Republic of Kazakhstan.

Key words

industrial safety risk injury danger ferroalloys production mathematical model injury prediction 

Preview

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

Unable to display preview. Download preview PDF.

References

  1. 1.
    Yu. K. Belyaev and V. P. Noskov, Basic Concepts and Problems in Mathematical Statistics: Textbook [in Russian], MGU, Moscow (1998).Google Scholar
  2. 2.
    A. M. Dubrov, V. S. Mkhitryan, and L. I. Troshin, Multidimensional Statistical Methods: Textbook [in Russian], Finansy i Statistika, Moscow (1998).Google Scholar
  3. 3.
    E. S. Markovich, Course in Higher Mathematics with Elements of Probability and Mathematical Statistics [in Russian], Vysshaya Shkola, Moscow (1972).Google Scholar
  4. 4.
    P. S. Novikov, Selected Works. Theory of Sets and Functions. Mathematical Logic and Algebra, Nauka, Moscow (1979).MATHGoogle Scholar
  5. 5.
    R. A. Shmoilova (ed.), Theory of Statistics: Textbook, 3rd Edition, Finansy i Statistica, Moscow (2001).Google Scholar

Copyright information

© Springer Science+Business Media, Inc. 2010

Authors and Affiliations

  1. 1.Baishev Aktyubinsk UniversityAktobeRepublic of Kazakhstan
  2. 2.Zhubanov Aktyubinsk State UniversityAktobeRepublic of Kazakhstan

Personalised recommendations