Skip to main content

Advertisement

Log in

A Short-Term Population Model of the Suicide Risk: The Case of Spain

  • Original Paper
  • Published:
Culture, Medicine, and Psychiatry Aims and scope Submit manuscript

Abstract

A relevant proportion of deaths by suicide have been attributed to other causes that produce the number of suicides remains hidden. The existence of a hidden number of cases is explained by the nature of the problem. Problems like this involve violence, and produce fear and social shame in victims’ families. The existence of violence, fear and social shame experienced by victims favours a considerable number of suicides, identified as accidents or natural deaths. This paper proposes a short time discrete compartmental mathematical model to measure the suicidal risk for the case of Spain. The compartment model classifies and quantifies the amount of the Spanish population within the age intervals (16, 78) by their degree of suicide risk and their changes over time. Intercompartmental transits are due to the combination of quantitative and qualitative factors. Results are computed and simulations are performed to analyze the sensitivity of the model under uncertain coefficients.

This is a preview of subscription content, log in via an institution to check access.

Access this article

Price excludes VAT (USA)
Tax calculation will be finalised during checkout.

Instant access to the full article PDF.

Fig. 1
Fig. 2
Fig. 3
Fig. 4
Fig. 5

Similar content being viewed by others

References

Download references

Author information

Authors and Affiliations

Authors

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Elena De la Poza.

Ethics declarations

Conflict of interest

On behalf of all authors, the corresponding author states that there is no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

This article does not contain any studies with human participants or animals.

Rights and permissions

Reprints and permissions

About this article

Check for updates. Verify currency and authenticity via CrossMark

Cite this article

De la Poza, E., Jódar, L. A Short-Term Population Model of the Suicide Risk: The Case of Spain. Cult Med Psychiatry 42, 800–820 (2018). https://doi.org/10.1007/s11013-018-9589-4

Download citation

  • Published:

  • Issue Date:

  • DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11013-018-9589-4

Keywords

Navigation