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Refreshing the Perinatal Periods of Risk: A New Reference Group and Nationwide Large-County-Level Analyses

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Abstract

Introduction

The Perinatal Periods of Risk approach (PPOR) is designed for use by communities to assess and address the causes of high fetal-infant mortality rates using vital records data. The approach is widely used by local health departments and their community and academic partners to inform and motivate systems changes. PPOR was developed and tested in communities based on data years from 1995 to 2002. Unfortunately, a national reference group has not been published since then, primarily due to fetal death data quality limitations.

Methods

This paper assesses data quality and creates a set of unbiased national reference groups using 2014–2016 national vital records data. Phase 1 and Phase 2 analytic methods were used to divide excess mortality into six components and create percentile plots to summarize the distribution of 100 large US counties for each component.

Results

Eight states with poor fetal death data quality were omitted from the reference groups to reduce bias due to missing maternal demographic information. There are large Black-White disparities among reference groups with the same age and education restrictions, and these vary by component. PPOR results vary by region, maternal demographics, and county. The magnitude of excess mortality components varies widely across US counties.

Discussion

New national reference groups will allow more communities to do PPOR. Percentile plots of 100 large US counties provide an additional benchmark for new communities using PPOR and help emphasize problem areas and potential solutions.

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Data Availability

Counts and rates are included in Online Appendices designed to be accessible to PPOR users. Additional tables are available from the corresponding author.

Code Availability

SAS Code is available on request from the corresponding author.

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Funding

The work of Carol Gilbert and Pamela Xaverius was partially funded by a research grant from the US Health Resources and Services Administration (Grant No. HRSA-MCHB R40MC31761-01-00).

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Authors

Contributions

The ideas for paper content and methods (assessing and reducing bias, using six PPOR outcomes, and percentile charts) were those of CSG, who did all the analysis for this paper. Both WMS and PKX reviewed, helped to develop, and approved the ideas for this paper. In addition, PKX organized, helped to write, and was PI on the MCHB grant. WMS, the main developer and articulator of the PPOR analytic methods, closely followed the analysis steps for this paper and gave feedback throughout the process. MKT contributed enormously to organization of the paper, including refining its scope.

Corresponding author

Correspondence to Carol S. Gilbert.

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The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.

Ethical Approval

IRB exemption was obtained through the University of Nebraska Medical Center (# 667-18-EP). Analyses were completed using SAS 9.4.

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Gilbert, C.S., Xaverius, P.K., Tibbits, M.K. et al. Refreshing the Perinatal Periods of Risk: A New Reference Group and Nationwide Large-County-Level Analyses. Matern Child Health J 26, 2396–2406 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10995-022-03561-9

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