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Climate change and climate niche shift equally attribute to the northwest range expansion of Asian house rats under intensified human activities

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Abstract

Context

The earth is experiencing accelerated global change which has significantly altered the range distribution of species which would bring serious ecological problems, but the distinctive roles of climate change, human activity, and climate niche shift in the range shift of species have been rarely quantified, especially in the spatial-temporal scale.

Objectives

In this study, we quantified the roles of climate change, human activity and climate niche shift on the range expansion of Asian house rates in China and Asia.

Methods

By using historical records from literature, we examined associations of the range shift of Asian house rats with human density, air temperature, precipitation, and climate niche shift from 1920 to 2021 in its native and invaded regions in China and Asia.

Results

We found that Asian house rats showed an obvious range expansion from the southeast (warm and wet) to the northwest (cold and dry) of China since 1980. The first observation probability of Asian house rats in a place of China showed a significant positive association with an increase in air temperature and human population density, but a non-significant association with precipitation. Climate niche shift had a larger impact (~ 50%) on sites in the newly invaded areas than that (< 10%) in the native areas.

Conclusions

Our study indicates that under intensified human activities, both climate change and climate niche shift equally attribute to the northwest expansion of Asian house rats during the past few decades. Our results provide novel insights into the key factors and mechanisms in shaping range shift of animals, and significant implications for predicting and managing the range shift of species under accelerated global change.

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Data availability

The data that supports the findings of this study are available in the supporting information.

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Acknowledgements

We acknowledge the support from Major Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China (32090021), grants from Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KFJ-STS-ZDTP-2021-002; ANSOCR- KP-2020-08), a grant from Ministry of Science and Technology (2019FY100300), and a grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (32070460). Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (2022081). The Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by CAST and ISZS (2021QNRC001, ISZS-YESS Program).

Funding

This work was founded by Major Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China (32090021), grants from Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KFJ-STS-ZDTP-2021-002; ANSOCR- KP-2020-08), a grant from Ministry of Science and Technology (2019FY100300), and a grant from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (32070460). Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (2022081). The Young Elite Scientists Sponsorship Program by CAST and ISZS (2021QNRC001, ISZS-YESS Program).

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Authors and Affiliations

  1. State Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China

    Defeng Bai, Xinru Wan & Zhibin Zhang

  2. University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China

    Defeng Bai

  3. College of Life Sciences, Jiangxi Normal University, Nanchang, 330022, China

    Zhenyu Wang

  4. CAS Center for Excellence in Biotic Interactions, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China

    Zhibin Zhang

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ZZ designed the study, DB, XW and ZW collected data, DB processed and analyzed the data, DB and ZZ wrote and revised the manuscript. All authors gave final approval for publication.

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Correspondence to Zhibin Zhang.

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Bai, D., Wan, X., Wang, Z. et al. Climate change and climate niche shift equally attribute to the northwest range expansion of Asian house rats under intensified human activities. Landsc Ecol 38, 3027–3044 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-023-01773-0

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