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Defining landscape-level forest types: application of latent Dirichlet allocation to species distribution models

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Abstract

Context

Forest type (FT) classification provides useful information to ecologists and forest managers by representing similar sites based on species dominance. Various methods have been developed using stand-level or plot-level information, however, these classifications are not always effective at representing broader landscape patterns of species diversity.

Objectives

We classified landscape-level FTs from species habitat models and compared against classifications intended for stand-level information. We used a departure score to assess potential changes to current FT from projected changes in climate and habitat suitability (HS).

Methods

We applied a text mining algorithm, latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA), to 125 species HS models within the eastern United States to define 11 FTs under current conditions. We compared the LDA model against two summations of relative abundance. We then developed a departure score to characterize potential changes to current FTs under projected climate change.

Results

The LDA model showed broad spatial agreement with summations of species relative abundance. However, LDA’s landscape-level dominance of species differed from stand-level classifications of species summations. Varying degrees of pressure from climate change and HS indicated that future FTs could face conditions that result in departures. However, the overall departure scores tended to be lower due to reduced pressure from modeled changes in HS for much of the eastern US.

Conclusions

LDA results are promising for classifying landscape-level FTs. Portraying potential changes in future FTs with departure scores may facilitate better management by aligning the spatial scales of information and not attributing changes to specific species or conditions.

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Availability of data and material

DISTRIB-II model output used to classify forest types is available from https://www.fs.fed.us/nrs/atlas, forest type and departure maps will also be included. All other material will be made available upon request.

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Acknowledgements

We are grateful to the field crews that collect the Forest Inventory and Analysis data used in our models, in which this work would not be possible as well as sources of digital environmental datasets. We thank Jonathan Knott, Andy Gougherty, and two anonymous reviewers who provided comments on earlier versions of this manuscript.

Funding

This research was funded by the U.S. Department of Agriculture Forest Service.

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Contributions

All authors contributed to the conceptualization and design of the analysis. Data preparation and modeling was performed by MPP. All authors reviewed model outputs and results. The manuscript was written by MPP with contributions from all co-authors.

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Correspondence to Matthew P. Peters.

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The use of trade, firm, or corporation names in this publication is for the information and convenience of the reader. Such use does not constitute an official endorsement or approval by the U.S. Department of Agriculture or the Forest Service of any product or service to the exclusion of others that may be suitable.

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Peters, M.P., Matthews, S.N., Prasad, A.M. et al. Defining landscape-level forest types: application of latent Dirichlet allocation to species distribution models. Landsc Ecol 37, 1819–1837 (2022). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-022-01436-6

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